Since our last update, there has been plenty of movement in fantasy football average draft position (ADP) on Underdog. This is to be expected with organized team activities (OTAs) underway.
We’ll likely see more significant movement as mandatory mini-camps occur in the coming weeks. These are the biggest and most significant fantasy football risers and fallers in recent weeks.
Best Ball ADP Fantasy Football Risers & Fallers
Fantasy Football Best Ball ADP Risers
Jaylen Wright (RB – MIA) | ADP: 173 (+12)
It’s perhaps a little surprising to see Jaylen Wright in this section after he talked about gaining six pounds of muscle this offseason, while maintaining his speed, but it might be more of an indication of late-round running backs in general, with several falling in this area.
Wright had a quiet rookie season, behind De’Von Achane and Raheem Mostert, with only one double-digit touch game, but he did manage 86 yards in that game and could see an expanded role within the offense now that Mostert has moved on.
Will Shipley (RB – PHI) | ADP: 177 (+11)
In recent weeks, the conversation about how running backs fare coming off 400+ touches has picked up, and with it, an air of mild concern for Saquon Barkley has emerged. Not enough for Barkley to drop down in ADP, but enough for Will Shipley, the clear No. 2 RB in Philadelphia, to rise almost an entire round.
Behind Shipley is A.J. Dillon, who missed the entirety of 2024 with a neck injury and hasn’t looked good for a while.
Ray Davis (RB – BUF) | ADP: 140 (+6)
News filtered down via Adam Schefter last week that the Buffalo Bills and James Cook remain significantly apart in their contract valuations. Schefter doesn’t see a path to this being resolved any time soon.
Training camp has a habit of influencing and speeding these matters up, and things could change if Cook is at mandatory mini-camp (June 10th-12th), but for now, it’s giving people reason to be more bullish on Davis heading into his sophomore campaign. Davis had five top-24 finishes in 2024 and caught 15 of his 16 targets; at a minimum, he could see that valuable part of his role grow.
Roschon Johnson (RB – CHI) | ADP: 164 (+6)
Another week goes by where D’Andre Swift looks set to be the lead back in Chicago, and another week goes by where Roschon Johnson is the only meaningful backup. A year ago, many were high on Johnson, so it’s a little surprising to see an 83-spot differential between the two running backs. It wouldn’t be surprising if a third back of note was added to this mix.
Xavier Legette (WR – CAR) | ADP: 153 (+5)
The final pick of the first round in the 2023 NFL Draft, Xavier Legette, has shown more character than consistency so far. Legette averaged 8.34 half-PPR points in games without Adam Thielen last year, but only 4.69 when the two were on the field at the same time.
If Legette is going to pay off the draft investment any time soon, he’ll have to produce with Thielen still on the team and with the addition of Tetairoa McMillan.
Travis Etienne (RB – JAX) | ADP: 118 (+5)
One of the more divisive picks in best ball this year is Travis Etienne, who goes one pick ahead of rookie Bhayshul Tuten, and 32 picks ahead of Tank Bigsby. There is always an opportunity in ambiguous backfields, and this is as ambiguous as it comes.
Etienne is a former first-round pick who has had very fantasy-relevant seasons, but was largely outplayed by Bigsby in 2024. Meanwhile, the new regime couldn’t be more enamored with Tuten, despite his fumbling issues. How this one plays out is anyone’s guess.
Michael Pittman (WR – IND) | ADP: 97 (+4)
There is a wide receiver dead zone in 2025 drafts. After Michael Pittman, only four receivers are drafted in the next 21 picks. This has seen a rise in Pittman’s ADP, as drafters don’t want to be left scrambling for wide receiver depth when the tier ends. Whether Pittman should be rising while his quarterback situation is murky, at best, is a question for those drafting him.
Jordan Mason (RB – MIN) | ADP: 100 (+4)
If any running back in this range was set to jump another round or more in the coming weeks, it could be Jordan Mason. The Vikings were draft capital poor this offseason, but still decided to trade for Mason rather than run the gauntlet of the draft to find more depth behind Aaron Jones.
Mason forced missed tackles at the sixth-highest rate among backs last year, as well as having the seventh-highest yards per carry on zone concept runs, something the Vikings lean heavily into.
Bryce Young (QB – CAR) | ADP: 157 (+4)
Bryce Young was last year’s QB11 in points per game from Week 12 onwards, and he’s had a significant wide receiver upgrade with Tetairoa McMillan. Young also averaged 17.3 rushing yards per game last year. He might become one of the better value quarterbacks in this range.
George Pickens (WR – DAL) | ADP: 53 (+3)
In our last edition, George Pickens rose 19 spots after his trade away from Pittsburgh, and the improvement in situation hasn’t stopped the rise yet, with Pickens up another three spots.
If Pickens is to continue rising, he’ll be trying to push past the likes of Zay Flowers (50), DK Metcalf (49) and Courtland Sutton (47).
Isiah Pacheco (RB – KC) | ADP: 87 (+3)
Andy Reid remarked last week that Isiah Pacheco looked good at OTAs, which was all people needed to have a little more faith in him and bump him up three spots. Pacheco fractured his fibula in Week 2 and didn’t look the same when he returned after nine weeks.
Fibula injuries have been a little bit of a plague in recent years, with both Tony Pollard and Mark Andrews having slow recoveries from them, even when they’ve made it back onto the field. If Pacheco can return to form, he could be a league winner in this range.
Fantasy Football Best Ball ADP Fallers
It’s always worth remembering that players don’t tend to fall as easily as those who rise up draft boards. This, in part, is because of auto-drafters and the perception of getting a bargain as a player falls past ADP. Meanwhile, risers climb quickly as people reach to get what they perceive as a bargain against ADP.
Devin Neal (RB – NO) | ADP: 200 (-15)
Rookies tend to fall at this time of year. After the initial post-draft hype, we get to OTAs, and generally, it’s a learning curve for them, which leads to reports they’re lower on depth charts than we might like. Lo and behold, their ADP becomes more realistic. Devin Neal finds himself in that exact situation, behind a dart-throw quarterback and a poor offensive line.
Dylan Sampson (RB – CLE) | ADP: 199 (-14)
The same can be said mostly for Dylan Sampson.
Elic Ayomanor (WR – TEN) | ADP: 211 (-10)
The same can also be said for Elic Ayomanor, who will have to compete with Tyler Lockett for No. 2 WR snaps, at best. Also, don’t be surprised if Ayomanor climbs up draft boards as the summer goes on. Wide receivers don’t tend to have the same blockages to playing time as running backs do.
Keenan Allen (WR – FA) | ADP: 188 (-9)
In our last edition, Keenan Allen was down 15 spots to 188. This time, he falls a further nine, as he continues to be unsigned. One imagines we’ll be waiting until early July to see Allen sign anywhere.
Jonnu Smith (TE – MIA) | ADP: 102 (-6)
It emerged last week that Jonnu Smith was the subject of trade interest from the Pittsburgh Steelers, where he would link back up with his former offensive coordinator, Arthur Smith. Like most things involving Arthur Smith, people weren’t excited about that.
Smith had his first season with more than 70 targets last year (111) and smashed his previous career-high of 582 yards by recording 884 yards. Moving from Miami to Pittsburgh would be a definite downgrade on almost every level.
Caleb Williams (QB – CHI) | ADP: 105 (-6)
We may be seeing a dip in ADP for Caleb Williams after reports surfaced he wasn’t taught how to watch film in 2024 by Chicago’s poor coaching staff. If that’s the case, this fall might not be long-term, with the eventual Ben Johnson hype sure to pull Williams back up.
Pat Freiermuth (TE – PIT) | ADP: 170 (-4)
This fall is down to the Jonnu Smith rumors. If that trade were to come true, it would significantly harm Pat Freiermuth’s ceiling in 2025.
Kyle Pitts (TE – ATL) | ADP: 148 (-3)
Trade rumors. Sitting out OTAs with a foot injury. Exhaustion. Take your pick, they all make sense for this ADP drop.
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