Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate starts at 7:10 p.m. ET at DraftKings and FanDuel and has six games. The suggested pick ’em choices from Sleeper and Underdog are from the six-game slate. Here are our top MLB DFS picks for Monday.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
Today’s MLB DFS Picks & Player Props
Monday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Logan Webb (SF) vs. SD
Logan Webb is a stud at home. According to FanGraphs, in 134 innings at home since last year, Webb has twirled a 2.49 ERA, 2.90 xFIP, 1.07 WHIP, 4.3 BB% and 20.7 K%. He’s also pitching well this season and lately.
Webb doesn’t have a terrifying matchup tonight. The Padres are tied for 16th in wRC+ (103) with an 18.4 K% versus righties and tied for 19th in wRC+ (93) with a 20.3 K% on the road this year. Finally, the Giants are -175, and the game’s total is 7.0 runs.
Jack Flaherty (DET) at CWS
Jack Flaherty is having a rock-solid season with the potential for better results based on some of his underlying data. In Flaherty’s 11 starts spanning 59.1 innings this season, he’s had the following stats.
- 3.94 ERA
- 3.99 xERA
- 3.35 xFIP
- 3.17 SIERA
- 1.11 WHIP
- Three wins
- Three quality starts
- 7.9 BB%
- 29.9 K%
- 12.0 SwStr%
- 30.1 CSW%
Flaherty has an ideal matchup tonight. The White Sox are 28th in wRC+ (82) with a 22.7 K% versus righties and 25th in wRC+ (83) with a 22.9 K% at home this season. Thus, the Tigers are -205, and the game’s total is 8.5 runs.
Dustin May (LAD) vs. NYM
Dustin May isn’t a flawless pitcher and has a challenging matchup tonight. The Mets are tied for seventh in wRC+ (110) with a 20.4 K% versus righties and tied for 10th in wRC+ (101) with a 20.2 K% on the road in 2025.
Still, the Dodgers are -162 favorites, albeit in a game with a total of 9.0 runs. May also has some eye-catching numbers in his profile. For instance, he’s recorded a 2.96 ERA, 2.80 xFIP, 1.06 WHIP, 8.2 BB%, 29.1 K% and 56.1 GB% in 27.1 innings at home since last year. May has also had a 3.09 xFIP, 2.90 SIERA and 30.0 K% in his previous five starts, totaling 28.1 innings. Sadly, May also had a 4.45 ERA in those turns. May can help GPP teams if he pitches closer to his recent ERA estimators than his recent ERA in tonight’s turn against the Mets.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
According to the 2025 park factors at Baseball Savant, Sutter Health Park has the second-highest park factor for runs (125) and park factors of 110 for OBP, 112 for hits, 105 for singles, 132 for doubles, 123 for triples and 118 for homers. The Twins will enjoy the park-factor boost of playing there tonight. Additionally, Luis Severino has been unable to navigate the pitfalls of his hitter-friendly home ballpark this year. Severino has had a 6.20 ERA, 4.01 xFIP and 1.45 WHIP in seven starts at home.
Paul Blackburn is making his season debut for the Mets tonight. In seven starts in Triple-A this season, he’s tallied a 3.68 ERA, 3.95 xFIP, 1.09 WHIP, 11.5 BB% and 27.4 K%. Last season, Blackburn had a 4.66 ERA, 4.59 xERA, 4.14 xFIP, 4.33 SIERA and 1.29 WHIP in 14 starts in the Majors. He was also a train wreck on the road, with a 6.41 ERA and 4.12 xFIP in 39.1 innings on the road last year. The Dodgers have a plus matchup tonight, making them an intriguing offense to stack.
Core Studs
- Freddie Freeman has belted nine bombs with 33 runs, 38 RBIs, a .431 OBP, .258 ISO and 189 wRC+ in 204 plate appearances this season.
- In 489 plate appearances against righties since 2023, Matt Wallner has slugged 25 homers with a .391 OBP, .272 ISO and 163 wRC+.
- Max Muncy has tallied a .374 OBP, .259 ISO and 140 wRC+ against righties since 2023.
Value Plays/Punts
- Carlos Correa has had a .325 OBP, .155 ISO and 105 wRC+ against righties since 2023.
- Carlos Narvaez has hit two homers with a .365 OBP, .159 ISO and 121 wRC+ in 52 career plate appearances against lefties.
- Kody Clemens has hit five homers with 11 runs, 12 RBIs, a .341 OBP, .297 ISO and 149 wRC+ in 86 plate appearances this season.
Monday’s Top 3 Sleeper and Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Logan Webb: 19.5 Pitching Outs – Higher (Underdog)
Webb is a workhorse. He’s failed to exceed 19.5 pitching outs in back-to-back turns but did so in the three previous starts. Webb has also exceeded 19.5 pitching outs in three of five starts at home this season and 13 of 20 since last year.
Colt Keith: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Sleeper) (1.63x)
Colt Keith: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Underdog)
Colt Keith didn’t get off to a fast start this year, but he’s heated up. In his last 26 games and 93 plate appearances, Keith has rattled off 25 hits, 20 runs and 13 RBIs. He’s surpassed 1.5 hits plus runs and RBIs in six of his past seven contests. We project Keith to have 1.03 hits, 0.54 runs and 0.39 RBIs tonight, putting him over 1.5 hits plus runs and RBIs.
Matt Wallner: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Sleeper) (1.76x)
Matt Wallner: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Underdog)
In 20 games and 76 plate appearances this season, Wallner has amassed 17 hits, eight runs, five RBIs, a .270 batting average, .395 OBP, .508 SLG and .238 ISO. He has a hit in both games since returning from the injured list (IL), including launching a homer on Saturday. The Twins should take advantage of the hitter-friendly conditions at Sutter Health Park tonight, and we project Wallner to surpass 1.5 hits plus runs and RBIs tonight.
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
