Let’s take a look at some of the players with the largest standard deviation between high and low expert ranks in FantasyPros’ expert consensus rankings (ECR). Which players are the safest starts, and who poses the biggest risk to your fantasy football lineup in Week 11?
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Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice
Week 11 Risky Fantasy Football Starts
Jameis Winston (QB – NYG) vs. Green Bay Packers
- Highest Rank: QB18
- Lowest Rank: QB37
Jameis Winston is officially the Giants’ Week 11 starter, but is he worthy of being a starter in your fantasy lineup? Winston can absolutely sink your week or single-handedly win it. Looking at Winston’s 2024 numbers, his floor was a two-point fantasy performance against Kansas City, while his ceiling was a 35-point performance against Denver. He’s the purest definition of a risky start at quarterback, with the potential to finish as an overall QB1 or somehow finish outside of the top 32, even with multiple teams on bye.
This decision would be easier if Winston had a more moderate defensive matchup, but the Giants face Green Bay this week. Jalen Hurts had just 12 fantasy points last week against Green Bay. However, Jacoby Brissett, Joe Flacco and Dak Prescott have all had strong performances against the Packers. Winston’s weapons are a bit depleted, but we must trust Wan’Dale Robinson, Theo Johnson and Darius Slayton. With several borderline QB1s in bad matchups or underperforming, Winston is an interesting streaming option this week — a risky but high-upside play.
My Projected Finish: QB18
Xavier Worthy (WR – KC) @ Denver Broncos
- Highest Rank: WR31
- Lowest Rank: WR43
Xavier Worthy’s recent underwhelming performances are tied to the return of Rashee Rice. However, his production had been disappointing even before Rice’s return, and 2025 as a whole has been a struggle. Excluding the first game of the season, where he exited early, Worthy is averaging just 8.5 fantasy points in half PPR —WR47 over that span.
Since Rice’s return, Worthy hasn’t finished inside the top 40 at wide receiver. To make matters worse, this week’s matchup is a major issue. Pat Surtain II has been out with an injury, but Denver’s defense has remained stout. Their tougher coverage tends to lean toward receivers with a higher average depth of target (aDOT) — meaning Worthy would likely see tougher coverage. Given the number of trustworthy streaming options emerging at wide receiver, Worthy is too risky a play this week and should be benched for better options.
My Projected Finish: WR39
Tre Tucker (WR – LV) vs. Dallas Cowboys
- Highest Rank: WR25
- Lowest Rank: WR40
With the trade of Jakobi Meyers, we expected Tre Tucker to become the clear No. 1 WR for the Raiders, but our expectations weren’t met. The Meyers trade opened opportunities specifically for one person: Tyler Lockett. In his second game with the Raiders, Lockett’s snaps increased significantly, and he led the receiving corps in receptions and targets. This was against Denver, so it’s possible Tucker drew the tougher coverage, and he could bounce back this week against a softer Dallas defense.
Dallas added multiple weapons at the trade deadline, but we’ll need to see how much those efforts actually fix the broken defense. The last time Tucker had a double-digit fantasy performance was in Week 6 against Tennessee. His targets have remained well below his early-season usage, and he hasn’t scored a touchdown since opening the year with four touchdowns in his first three games. While Pete Carroll’s loyalty has him leaning heavily on Lockett, given the matchup and the likelihood that the Raiders will be chasing points against a high-scoring Dallas offense, Tucker is a high-upside play. Just be aware that his floor is a legitimate five fantasy points.
My Projected Finish: WR36
More Risky Starts
Week 11 Safe Fantasy Football Starts
Zach Charbonnet (RB – SEA) @ Los Angeles Rams
- Highest Rank: RB25
- Lowest Rank: RB32
Zach Charbonnet isn’t the starter, yet he is actually the safer option in the Seattle backfield. We’ve held out hope for Kenneth Walker, but he’s continually iced out of the red zone to the point where even George Holani managed a touchdown over Walker. It may feel uncomfortable trusting a running back who’s played fewer than 40% of the snaps in the past two games, but Charbonnet has the higher value touches and has had a minimum of nine touches this season.
Charbonnet is coming off a performance of 14 carries for 83 yards and a touchdown against Arizona. Week 11’s matchup is arguably one of the worst in the league. However, Charbonnet’s value comes at the goal line. Seattle should move the ball well against the Rams through the air and set Charbonnet up for success inside the five. Running back gets extremely thin after the top 24. Charbonnet’s touchdown equity makes him a far safer start than most running backs in the Flex range.
My Projected Finish: RB25
Tez Johnson (WR – TB) @ Buffalo Bills
- Highest Rank: WR27
- Lowest Rank: WR37
Since Tez Johnson became a starter in Week 6, the Buccaneers have played four games. Johnson has scored between nine and 20 fantasy points in every game with four touchdowns over that span. Emeka Egbuka is the team’s No. 1 WR, no question, but Baker Mayfield is a high-volume quarterback, and Johnson is clearly the No. 2 WR.
This week’s matchup also offers sneaky good upside. The overall numbers don’t show it because they’ve played subpar competition, but the Bills have been very wide receiver friendly with multiple receivers far overshooting their typical output, including Stefon Diggs, Zay Flowers and Tetairoa McMillan. Johnson has been solid in difficult matchups and should offer a double-digit fantasy point floor with an elevated ceiling in a plus matchup with a high point total.
My Projected Finish: WR27
Parker Washington (WR – JAX) vs. Los Angeles Chargers
- Highest Rank: WR31
- Lowest Rank: WR38
There is some inherent risk with starting Parker Washington this week. Brian Thomas Jr. returned to practice, and Jakobi Meyers should see an increased role in his second week with the team. However, Parker Washington has — oddly enough — been more reliable than Thomas, despite not being the focal point of the offense for the majority of the season.
In Week 10, Washington stepped up with three receptions on seven targets for 33 yards and a touchdown in one of the most difficult matchups this season. He’s become Trevor Lawrence‘s most reliable target and has had a minimum of seven targets in the past three games. This week’s matchup against the Chargers isn’t ideal, but Parker remains a safe play based on pure volume.
My Projected Finish: WR32
More Safe Starts
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