While the 2026 NFL regular season is still months away, now is the time to start preparing for fantasy football drafts. Many factors go into fantasy players winning their redraft league every year. However, the top factor is arguably avoiding players that will bust or are overpriced.
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Overvalued Fantasy Football Players to Avoid on RTSports
Let’s look at six players who are overpriced draft values based on RTSports’ average draft position (ADP) for redraft leagues.
Jalen Hurts (QB – PHI) | ADP 80.38 (QB6)
Jalen Hurts averaged 18.7 fantasy points per game last season, posting an average below 20.8 points for the first time in his career as the full-time starting quarterback despite totaling a career-high 25 passing touchdowns.
Unfortunately, Hurts’ rushing production regressed, totaling single-digit rushing touchdowns for the first time since his rookie season. While the Eagles added several pass-catchers this offseason, none of them will make up for the loss of A.J. Brown. Fantasy players can draft Justin Herbert nearly 1.5 rounds later and get similar upside out of the quarterback position.
Bucky Irving (RB – TB) | ADP 36.65 (RB21)
After finishing his rookie season as the RB13, averaging 14.4 PPR fantasy points per game, Bucky Irving regressed last year and struggled to stay healthy, missing seven contests.
Furthermore, Irving had offseason shoulder surgery and might not be fully ready for training camp. More importantly, Irving averaged two fewer yards per rushing attempt and 0.28 fewer fantasy points per touch last year compared to his rookie season.
The Buccaneers signed Kenneth Gainwell to a significant contract in free agency, showing their lack of trust in Irving as a featured running back.
TreVeyon Henderson (RB – NE) | ADP 42.72 (RB22)
While fantasy players had high hopes for TreVeyon Henderson as a rookie, he was unstartable for most of the season, finishing as the fantasy RB21. His 12.1 PPR fantasy points per game average was lower than Kenneth Gainwell’s (13) and Rhamondre Stevenson‘s (12.8).
More importantly, Henderson averaged 11.3 touches and 9.5 fantasy points per game during the regular season with Stevenson healthy. By comparison, he averaged 19 touches and 24.3 fantasy points per game without the veteran playing. Neither Patriots running back should get drafted as more than a mid-range FLEX option.
George Pickens (WR – DAL) | ADP 25.88 (WR8)
George Pickens had a breakout season in his first year with the Cowboys, finishing as the WR5, averaging 17.2 PPR fantasy points per game. Meanwhile, CeeDee Lamb averaged 16.6 fantasy points per game when playing over 46% of the snaps. More importantly, Pickens wasn’t as productive with Lamb on the field.
Pickens averaged 8.7 targets and 26.3 fantasy points per game with the superstar wideout sidelined. By comparison, Pickens averaged 7.9 targets and 15.2 points with Lamb playing. While he should be drafted as a low-end WR1, Pickens doesn’t belong in the top eight.
Luther Burden III (WR – CHI) | ADP 43.11 (WR17)
The hype around Luther Burden III is out of control. While everyone says Burden was a superstar during the fantasy playoffs, he missed Week 16 and took advantage of an injury-obliterated San Francisco 49ers defense in Week 17, where Rome Odunze didn’t play. He totaled eight receptions on nine targets for 138 receiving yards, a touchdown and 27.8 fantasy points.
Furthermore, Burden scored 12.2 fantasy points on 14 targets during Chicago’s two playoff games.
Harold Fannin Jr. (TE – CLE) | ADP 59.49 (TE4)
Unfortunately, Harold Fannin Jr. will face intense competition for targets in 2026 after the Browns drafted KC Concepcion and Denzel Boston. He averaged 9.3 PPR fantasy points per game in 11 contests with seven or fewer targets last season.
By comparison, Fannin averaged 16.9 fantasy points per game in five contests with eight or more targets. Fantasy players can take Tyler Warren a few picks later or wait nearly 2.5 rounds and select Tucker Kraft (TE9). I would rather have both tight ends over Fannin, even at the same draft cost.
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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.