Over the coming weeks, significant news will drive volatility in fantasy football, but looking back over the last month, there have been notable average draft position (ADP) movements based on reports from organized team activities (OTAs).
Fantasy football is always a game of values and deciding if you’re in or out on shifting player values. Below are the biggest Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC) risers and fallers since mid-June.
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Fantasy Football Risers & Fallers
Fantasy Football Risers
Aaron Rodgers (QB – PIT) | ADP: 162 (+6)
One of the smaller risers this month is Aaron Rodgers. Moving up six spots isn’t massive, but it is the most of any quarterback and shows the general vibes around the Steelers are starting to pick up.
Last season, the Steelers ranked 22nd in pass attempts per game and 18th in offensive passing EPA (expected points added). There’s hope that with Mike McCarthy running the offense, rather than the scourge of fantasy football, Arthur Smith, we should see more positive outcomes.
Adding Michael Pittman Jr. and Germie Bernard also hints at that outcome. Should that transpire, Rodgers can have late-round value.
Jaydon Blue (RB – DAL) | ADP: 181 (+26)
Everything we’ve heard from the Cowboys this offseason has been positive for Jaydon Blue, which you couldn’t say last year after he famously suffered severe foot blisters from wearing custom Louis Vuitton cleats to practice.
More Jaydon Blue buzz from ESPN today:
Worked with Dak Prescott on pass plays after practice during OTAs
Schotty said it’s “night and day” for Blue during the offseason program
Still has to work on pass pro
Going to be a huge part of what Cowboys want to do (if he keeps… pic.twitter.com/gGiKieIie1
— Zain Dhanani (@DhananiZain) June 26, 2026
The Cowboys re-signed Javonte Williams but added nobody else, leaving Blue to fight it out with Phil Mafah for No. 2 RB duties. This ADP rise might prove worth chasing if he continues to trend upward.
MarShawn Lloyd (RB – GB) | ADP: 180 (+24)
Marshawn Lloyd is healthy and, according to reports, has seen new doctors this offseason in an effort to get past his previous injury issues. The path is relatively clear for Lloyd to take the No. 2 RB role in Green Bay. Much like Jaydon Blue, the coaches seem to want him to do so.
Josh Jacobs has lingering off-the-field issues to contend with. Jacobs regressed last year, posting his lowest yards per carry (YPC) since 2021 and his lowest yards per reception (YPR) since 2022. Out of 21 running backs with 200+ attempts in 2025, Jacobs ranked 16th in yards after contact, 14th in missed tackles forced and 19th in yards before contact per attempt (YBCO/ATT), per the FantasyPoints Data Suite.
Unless you’re very into Jacobs, it makes sense to be cautiously in on Lloyd.
Rachaad White (RB – TB) | ADP: 95 (+10)
The Commanders didn’t give Rachaad White a particularly strong contract, barely paying him above the veteran minimum, but that doesn’t mean he won’t have a valuable role. White has had back-to-back seasons of 4.3 YPC and a success rate above 50%. Those were numbers he struggled with in his first two seasons.
Rachaad White's rushing data has steadily improved across his four-year career. pic.twitter.com/pxjk4bGs7K
— Jacob Gibbs (@jagibbs_23) July 16, 2026
White makes up for inefficiency in the ground game with his pass-catching upside. Now that he is at least more competent in those areas on paper, offenses can do more with him on the field. White may never be an incredible runner, but over the course of his career, he has averaged 51 receptions and 7.1 yards per reception.
If new offensive coordinator David Blough is able to get the Commanders back on track, White could be the mid-round running back who provides great value.
Adonai Mitchell (WR – NYJ) | ADP: 183 (+25)
Reports from New York during OTAs and minicamp all had Adonai Mitchell ahead of the rest of the Jets’ pass-catchers vying for No.2 WR duties.
Mitchell was someone the Jets sought to include in the Sauce Gardner trade, and he flashed down the stretch. Mitchell’s downfield abilities should pair significantly better with Geno Smith than they did with Tyrod Taylor or Justin Fields.
Quentin Johnston (WR – LAC) | ADP: 94 (+21)
The Chargers are a buzzy team right now, and let’s be real, we’ve seen this act from them before. Still, optimism pulls strongly, and what if this is the year?
Mike McDaniel is expected to help all the fantasy-relevant players, and a healthy offensive line should do enormous things for them also. Quentin Johnston hasn’t been the hit that the Chargers hoped for when they took him in the first round, but he’s averaged over 600 yards per season and has 16 touchdowns in his last two years.
If McDaniel can keep this unit upright and marching down the field, Johnston is the clear second target behind Ladd McConkey, and he might offer more touchdown upside, too.
Ryan Flournoy (QR – DAL) | ADP: 177 (+15)
The clear No. 3 WR for a team that our projections expect to have the second-most passing yards and the fourth-most passing touchdowns. In best ball, that makes sense to have exposure to.
Ryan Flournoy had 56 targets and four touchdowns last season. He’s a good option when you’ve already added Dak Prescott.
Greg Dulcich (TE – MIA) | ADP: 140 (+14)
The ‘someone has to catch it’ arguments are flimsy at best and a nightmare at worst. Greg Dulcich is being hyped up because Miami’s top three receivers and he account for fewer than 130 total NFL catches.
Dulcich has averaged fewer than 17 receptions per season in his four-year career, ranking 39th in routes run among tight ends during the games he was active for. His efficiency did pop slightly, though, and that’s where a lot of this hype comes from.
Dulcich will need to find the ball in the end zone to pay off. Thus far in his career, he has three career touchdowns on 104 targets. The hype won’t be for everyone, but the price is still fairly reasonable. For now.
Terrance Ferguson (TE – LAR) | ADP: 165 (+14)
Another late-round tight end on the rise is Terrance Ferguson, who has a clear path to value with the Rams lacking outside of their two stud wide receivers. Ferguson caught 10 passes for 210 yards and three touchdowns in his final game.
Terrance Ferguson listed as Rams breakout pick
Continually hearing that he is effectively their WR3 (not this post) and should see a volume boost this season (in this post)
Rare deep threat TE pic.twitter.com/DUFZH7319V
— Zain Dhanani (@DhananiZain) July 14, 2026
Ferguson will need to be significantly more relevant than that to be a late-round gem. It does take time for rookies to acclimate to Sean McVay’s system, and the buzz has been positive.
Fantasy Football Fallers
Nicholas Singleton (RB – TEN) | ADP: 213 (-23)
We quite often see this with rookies. Post-draft, the hype and hope are still there. Then reality sets in: Their role is firmly behind that of veterans, and their value declines. That’s Nicholas Singleton behind Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears.
Singleton is a fun prospect, but he faces an uphill battle to be relevant on a team that will still most likely be a bottom-eight scoring team.
Malik Nabers (WR – NYG) | ADP: 43 (-10)
This dip will only increase when Malik Nabers heads to the physically unable to perform (PUP) list at the start of training camp.
Latest reports suggest it could be Week 5 or 6 before Nabers is back to full health. That’s a lot of missed time for an early draft pick.
Brandon Aiyuk (WR – SF) | ADP: 217 (-17)
Nobody but Brandon Aiyuk is to blame for this. With every social media outburst, it becomes harder and harder to imagine Aiyuk playing football this year.
Chris Bell (WR – MIA) | ADP: 227 (-12)
Much like Malik Nabers, we’re probably going to get a further dip on Chris Bell when he starts training camp on the PUP list. Bell suffered a torn ACL in November 2025 in the midst of a breakout season for Louisville (917 yards and 72 receptions).
Bell is fast and releases well from the line of scrimmage. At 6-foot-2 and 222 pounds, he has the size to be a No. 1 WR for a team. It remains to be seen whether Bell can get on the field soon and whether his game translates against a poor Miami offense.
Kenyon Sadiq (TE – NYJ) | ADP: 142 (-10)
Despite his freak athletic abilities, ADP and the market aren’t overly high on rookie Kenyon Sadiq, even though he secured excellent draft capital. Sadiq will likely be third or fourth in the Jets’ pecking order and will share time with Mason Taylor, who looked reasonable as a rookie himself.
If you’re playing best ball, Sadiq is still a fine play as your third or fourth option, but counting on too much might be a mistake with our projections expecting Geno Smith to rank 27th in passing yards and 23rd in passing touchdowns.
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