Josh Shepardson | Fri, Jul 3rd 2026, 7:02am EDT

MLB DFS Picks & Underdog Player Props: Friday (7/3)

Friday’s MLB DFS main slate features 12 games on FanDuel and 11 on DraftKings, starting at 6:45 p.m. ET on FanDuel and 7:05 p.m. ET on DraftKings. The Underdog pick’em selections are also from the night’s games.

Friday’s Top MLB DFS Picks & Player Props

Friday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings (7/3)

Shohei Ohtani (SP – LAD) vs. San Diego Padres

Shohei Ohtani is spinning it this year. According to FanGraphs, among 110 pitchers with at least 70 innings pitched this year, Ohtani is second in ERA (1.58), second in xERA (2.67), 18th in xFIP (3.33), 17th in SIERA (3.38) and fourth in WHIP (0.90). The two-way stud also has a fantasy-friendly 27.5% strikeout rate, eight wins and 11 quality starts in 13 starts spanning 79.2 innings.

Ohtani has a plus matchup and betting info tonight. The Padres are 26th in wRC+ (90) with a 22.9% strikeout rate against righties and 23rd in wRC+ (91) with a 23.5% strikeout rate on the road in 2026. The Dodgers are -245 favorites, and the game’s total is eight runs.

Luis Castillo (SP – SEA) vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Luis Castillo looked like he might be cooked earlier in the year, but he’s settled into good form lately. In his last six appearances (four starts) spanning 30.1 innings, Castillo has recorded the following numbers:

2 wins
1 quality start
2.67 ERA
2.98 xERA
4.22 xFIP
4.09 SIERA
1.05 WHIP
6.3% walk rate
20.6% strikeout rate
11.7% SwStr%
26% CSW%
96 stuff+
112 location+
103 pitching+

Castillo can stay hot in a favorable matchup. The Blue Jays are 18th in wRC+ (100) with a 19.6% strikeout rate versus righties and 24th in wRC+ (88) with an 18.8% strikeout rate on the road this year. Toronto is also tied for 11th in wRC+ (102) with a 19% strikeout rate in the previous 30 days. The Mariners are slight underdogs (+110), but the game’s total is a pitcher-friendly seven runs.

Logan Webb (SP – SFG) at Colorado Rockies

There’s always a risk to using a pitcher at Coors Field, but Logan Webb might be worth rolling the dice on in GPPs in Colorado. San Francisco’s ace is on a white-hot heater, pitching at least seven innings in five straight starts, allowing two earned runs in one of those turns, one in another and zero in the other three. Webb has also struck out at least five batters in four straight starts.

The Rockies are a tasty matchup for Webb. Colorado is 23rd in wRC+ (96) with a 21.8% strikeout rate versus righties and tied for 28th in wRC+ (84) with a 22.3% strikeout rate at home this season. The Rockies are also dead last in wRC+ (61) with a 28.2% strikeout rate in the previous 30 days. Finally, the Giants are -155 favorites, albeit with a terrifying game total of 11 runs.

Suggested Lineup Stacks

Road (Coors Field )
Game Total/Moneyline: 11.0 Runs/SF -155

Ryan Feltner is listed as Colorado’s starting pitcher, but RosterResource projects Tomoyuki Sugano to get the ball tonight. Both pitchers are right-handed punching bags and a favorable matchup for the Giants.

San Francisco’s projected starting lineup features only one player with a sub-100 wRC+ against righties since 2024 and six with at least a 117 wRC+. They should take advantage of the hitter-friendly confines at Coors Field in a tantalizing matchup.

Home (UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium)
Game Total/Moneyline: 8.0 Runs/LAD -240

The Dodgers hung a dozen runs on the board last night. Los Angeles has another opportunity to hang an eye-popping number on the scoreboard tonight.

In Michael King‘s last seven starts, he’s been battered to the tune of a 5.45 ERA, 6.49 xERA, 5.21 xFIP and 5.19 SIERA. King allowed at least three runs in six of those starts and at least four runs in four of them.

Core Studs

Bryce Eldridge has hit six homers with 23 runs, 16 RBI, a .364 on-base percentage (OBP), .190 ISO, .361 wOBA, .363 expected wOBA (xwOBA) and 131 wRC+ in 176 plate appearances this season.
Mookie Betts has drilled 37 dingers with a .340 OBP, .182 ISO, .343 wOBA and 120 wRC+ in 988 plate appearances against righties since 2024.
Luis Arraez has ripped four round-trippers, with 43 runs, 32 RBI, six stolen bases, a .361 OBP, a .137 ISO, a .353 wOBA and a 126 wRC+ in 358 plate appearances this season.

Value Plays/Punts

Samuel Basallo has cracked 12 long balls with 29 runs, 37 RBI, a .318 OBP, .194 ISO, .333 wOBA, .339 xwOBA and 113 wRC+ in 267 plate appearances in 2026.
Caleb Durbin has hit six homers with 13 runs, 13 RBI, four stolen bases, a .375 OBP, .333 ISO, .438 wOBA and 180 wRC+ in his past 72 plate appearances.
Victor Bericoto is excelling in his first taste of the Majors, with four homers, five runs, six RBI, a .325 OBP, .333 ISO, .410 wOBA and 164 wRC+ in 40 plate appearances for the Giants.

Friday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props

Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet

Gerrit Cole (SP – NYY): 5.5 Strikeouts — Lower

Gerrit Cole has struck out fewer than six batters in back-to-back starts and five out of seven this season. The 35-year-old righty also has a career-low 7.7% SwStr% this season.

Trevor Rogers (SP – BAL): 5.5 Strikeouts — Lower

Trevor Rogers has cleared 5.5 strikeouts in back-to-back starts. Still, his season high is just seven strikeouts, and he’s fallen short of six strikeouts in 11 out of 15 starts this year.

CJ Abrams (SS – WSH): 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs — Higher

CJ Abrams has rattled off 85 hits, including 18 homers, with 52 runs, 60 RBI, a .273 batting average, .355 OBP, .238 ISO, .373 wOBA and 137 wRC+.

Conversely, Mitch Keller has yielded 61 hits, a .276 batting average, .339 OBP and .448 slugging rate to 245 left-handed batters faced in 2026.

Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.

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