6 Overvalued Fantasy Football Draft Picks to Avoid on Yahoo (2026)

6 Overvalued Fantasy Football Draft Picks to Avoid on Yahoo (2026)

The 2026 NFL preseason is underway, meaning we’ve officially hit the start of redraft fantasy football season. Therefore, it’s time to do all the preparation fantasy players ignored over the past few months. Many factors go into fantasy players winning their redraft league every year. However, the top factor is arguably avoiding players that will bust or are overpriced.

Overvalued Fantasy Football Players to Avoid on Yahoo

Let’s look at six players who are overpriced draft picks based on Yahoo ADP for redraft leagues.

Josh Allen (BUF) – ADP 19.6 | QB1

I have no problem with Allen being the clear-cut QB1 after the Bills added DJ Moore and Skyler Bell this offseason. The superstar has finished as a top-two quarterback in five consecutive years, including back-to-back seasons as the QB1 despite lacking a big-name wide receiver. However, his 19.6 ADP is the problem, as the quarterback position has never been deeper for fantasy players. Furthermore, Brock Bowers (21.1), Nico Collins (22.1) and A.J. Brown (25.1) have a later ADP than Allen, and all three should get drafted over the superstar quarterback.

Christian McCaffrey (SF) – ADP 5.5 | RB3

No one scored more PPR fantasy points than Christian McCaffrey last year (416.6). Unfortunately, the superstar turned 30 this offseason and is a ticking time bomb because of his age and injury history. He had 413 touches in 2025, a career high. The last time McCaffrey had over 400 touches in a year, the superstar missed 69.7% of the games over the next two seasons with an injury. More importantly, the superstar has missed time during training camp with muscle tightness, giving fantasy players PTSD from the 2024 season.

Saquon Barkley (PHI) – ADP 12.5 | RB6

Many had concerns about Barkley last year after the superstar had 482 touches in 2024, including the playoffs. The former Penn State star averaged 14.5 PPR fantasy points per game last season, his lowest mark since 2021. Furthermore, he averaged 4.1 yards per rushing attempt and had 13 breakaway runs last year. By comparison, Barkley averaged 5.8 yards per rushing attempt and had 25 breakaway runs during his fantasy MVP season in 2024. After finishing last year as the RB14, fantasy players should avoid drafting Barkley as a mid-range RB1.

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De’Von Achane (MIA) – ADP 15.8 | RB8

Achane was one of five running backs to average over 20 PPR fantasy points per game last year (20.2). However, he was the most dependent of the five on his role in the passing game to hit that fantasy points-per-contest mark. Over half of his fantasy production during the past two years has come in the passing game. Furthermore, Achane’s fantasy production tanked when Tua Tagovailoa was sidelined. I won’t draft him as a mid-range RB1 and would like to avoid picking Achane altogether with Malik Willis under center.

Jameson Williams (DET) – ADP 65.7 | WR26

Last season, Williams quietly finished as the WR12, showing what a down year it was at the wide receiver position. His 12.9 PPR fantasy points per game average ranked 19th on a points-per-game basis, ranking behind Wan’Dale Robinson (13.6) and Christian Watson (13.2). Furthermore, Williams was hard to trust every week, scoring 6.6 or fewer fantasy points in 41.2% of the games, including zero twice. Fantasy players should avoid drafting the former Alabama star at his sixth-round and WR26 ADP and target a pass catcher with less volatility.

Dalton Kincaid (BUF) – ADP 99.8 | TE11

While Kincaid was one of my favorite sleeper tight ends last year, he finished as the TE20, averaging 10.5 PPR fantasy points per game, missing five contests because of injury. Kincaid set a career high with five receiving touchdowns. However, he never saw more than six targets in any game, hitting that mark in only three contests. More importantly, Kincaid no longer has a realistic shot at being first or second on his team in targets, which is necessary to justify his ADP, after the Bills traded for DJ Moore.

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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.