MLB DFS Picks & Underdog Player Props: Monday (8/10)

Monday’s MLB DFS main slates on DraftKings and FanDuel feature 10 games, starting at 7:07 p.m. ET. The Underdog player props are also from those 10 games.

Monday’s Top MLB DFS Picks & Player Props

Monday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings (8/10)

Tarik Skubal (SP – LAD) vs. Kansas City Royals

Tarik Skubal is having another sensational season. According to FanGraphs, in 17 starts spanning 102.2 innings this season, Skubal has amassed the following numbers:

7 wins
10 quality starts
2.81 ERA
2.99 xERA
2.63 xFIP
2.74 SIERA
0.92 WHIP
4% walk rate
30.7% strikeout rate
16.2% SwStr%
30.9% CSW%
117 stuff+
106 location+
121 pitching+

Skubal has a tasty matchup tonight. The Royals are tied for 16th in wRC+(95) with a 21.1% strikeout rate versus lefties and 25th in wRC+ (88) with a 22.2% strikeout rate on the road in 2026.

Kansas City is also tied for 22nd in wRC+ (87) with a 19.7% strikeout rate in the previous 30 days and 20th in wRC+ (90) with a 17.2% strikeout rate in the previous 14 days. The Dodgers are commanding -300 favorites, and the game’s total is a pitcher-friendly 7.5 runs.

Trevor Rogers (SP – BAL) at Minnesota Twins

Trevor Rogers is on fire. In his previous four starts, totaling 25.1 innings, the lefty has recorded the following stats:

1 win
3 quality starts
3.2 ERA
2.15 xERA
2.48 xFIP
2.66 SIERA
0.99 WHIP
1% walk rate
28.4% strikeout rate
14.2% SwStr%
32.6% CSW%
104 stuff+
113 location+
113 pitching+

Rogers can stay hot in a favorable matchup. The Twins are tied for 18th in wRC+ (94) with a 21.9% strikeout rate versus lefties and tied for 19th in wRC+ (101) with a 19.5% strikeout rate at home this year.

Minnesota is 21st in wRC+ (88) with an 18.9% strikeout rate in the previous 30 days and tied for 14th in wRC+ (97) with a 17.2% strikeout rate in the previous 14 days. The Orioles are listed at -110 on the Moneyline, and the game’s total is 8.5 runs.

Jacob Lopez (SP – ATH) vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Jacob Lopez is risky because of his hitter-friendly home ballpark and wretched full-season numbers. That said, the lefty is in a groove. In Lopez’s last five starts spanning 21.1 innings, he’s spun the following numbers:

1 win
0 quality starts
2.11 ERA
2.20 xERA
4.22 xFIP
3.51 SIERA
1.08 WHIP
10.2% walk rate
31.8% strikeout rate
15.1% SwStr%
30.5% CSW%
101 stuff+
104 location+
100 pitching+

Lopez has an OK matchup and somewhat alarming betting info. The Rays are tied for 22nd in wRC+ (91) with an 18.3% strikeout rate versus lefties and tied for 11th in wRC+ (99) with a 19.4% strikeout rate on the road this season.

Tampa Bay is also 11th in wRC+ (102) with a 19.7% strikeout rate in the previous 30 days but tied for 25th in wRC+ (82) with a 19.8% strikeout rate in the previous 14 days.

The Athletics are underdogs (+130) at home, and the game’s total is a hitter-friendly 10 runs. Regardless, Lopez’s recent performance warrants rolling the dice on him at his bargain salary in GPPs as an SP2 on DraftKings.

Suggested Lineup Stacks

Road (Oracle Park )
Game Total/Moneyline: 8.5 Runs/HOU -155

Blade Tidwell has much to prove, with a 5.91 ERA, 4.41 xERA, 5.37 xFIP and 4.98 SIERA in 13 career appearances (10 in relief and three starts) since debuting in the Majors last season.

Tidwell also had an unimpressive 4.38 ERA, 4.46 xERA and 5.12 xFIP in 16 appearances (15 starts) in Triple-A this year. The righty has also allowed a .396 wOBA to 68 left-handed batters and .329 wOBA to 79 right-handed batters in his young career.

Houston’s offense will also get a lift from facing San Francisco’s bullpen, which ranks tied for 21st in ERA (4.33).

Road (Rogers Centre)
Game Total/Moneyline: 8.5 Runs/BOS -155

Jameson Taillon has pitched dreadfully this season, as evidenced by his 5.96 ERA, 6.05 xERA, 4.75 xFIP and 4.50 SIERA in 16 starts. The 34-year-old righty has ceded a .350 wOBA to 167 right-handed batters and a .391 wOBA to 179 left-handed batters in 2026.

Core Studs

Yordan Alvarez has belted 35 bombs with 79 runs, 86 RBI, a .435 on-base percentage (OBP), .303 ISO, .439 wOBA and 188 wRC+ in 517 plate appearances this season.
Wilyer Abreu has totaled 20 homers, 64 runs, 63 RBI, seven stolen bases, a .330 OBP, .205 ISO, .340 wOBA and 114 wRC+ in 496 plate appearances this season.
Caleb Durbin has drilled two dingers with 19 runs, 15 RBI, four stolen bases, a .415 OBP, .110 ISO, .381 wOBA and 143 wRC+ in 109 plate appearances in the previous 30 days.

Value Plays/Punts

Taylor Trammell has hit seven homers with a .345 OBP, .206 ISO, .355 wOBA and 129 wRC+ in 148 plate appearances against righties this season.
Jackson Holliday has hit five homers with a .352 OBP, .158 ISO, .332 wOBA and 114 wRC+ in 165 plate appearances against righties this year.
Andruw Monasterio has hit two homers with 12 runs, 18 RBI, one stolen base, a .476 OBP, .265 ISO, .478 wOBA and 210 wRC+ in his previous 83 plate appearances.

Monday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props

Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet

Trevor Rogers (SP – BAL): 4.5 Strikeouts — Higher

Trevor Rogers‘ heater has included ample strikeouts. He’s struck out more than 4.5 batters in four straight starts and six of his last eight.

Jameson Taillon (SP – TOR): 14.5 Outs Recorded — Lower

Jameson Taillon has been roughed up all season. As a result, he’s struggled to log innings. The veteran righty has recorded fewer than 15 outs in four straight starts and five of his past seven.

Pete Alonso (1B – BAL): 1.5 Total Bases — Higher

Pete Alonso has rattled off 64 singles, 22 doubles, 25 home runs, a .252 batting average, a .472 slugging rate and a .220 ISO in 511 plate appearances this year.

Conversely, Dean Kremer has allowed a .254 batting average and a .524 slugging rate to 68 right-handed hitters this season.

Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.

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About Author

Josh Shepardson

@BChad50

Josh is a savvy, grizzled veteran in the realm of make-believe sports. He's thoroughly experienced playing in season-long re-draft leagues, keeper formats and daily games. His fantasy advice for baseball and football has been found at many locations around the internet. He's finished in the top 10 accuracy scores among experts here, at Fantasy Pros, in three of four years competing with his colleagues including a first-place finish in 2012.