Fantasy Football Player Notes
Week 6 PPR Rankings
|
1.
Brock Bowers
LV (vs . BUF)
Despite missing the first two games, Bowers is the TE5 on the season. Across three games, he has accumulated 35 targets, 24 receptions, 312 yards, and three touchdowns. That's an average of eight receptions, 104 yards, and a TD per game. Wild. The Raiders have some tough defenses coming up, however, starting in Week 7. This week they face the Bills, whose defense has slowly become one of the worst in the NFL. They average the second-most passing yards per game and the fifth-most points allowed to opposing offenses. If the Raiders are going to move the ball and try to keep up with Josh Allen, it's going to be through Bowers and Jeanty.
|
|
2.
Trey McBride
ARI (at LAR)
McBride has 10 or more targets in every game this season. That's incredible. He has one fewer than Amon-Ra St. Brown this season, making him the second most targeted player in the league. You really can't ask for better usage than that. These targets have also come with an absurd amount of catches; his 42 receptions are leading the league across positions. This week, he has the tough task against the Rams, who are coming off a heartbreaking loss to the Bills. After getting picked apart by Josh Allen, their defense will be out for blood against their divisional rivals. Thankfully, if the game gets out of hand, we know that Jacoby Brissett will continue to sling it around the yard. McBride is one of the elite fantasy TEs this season, and due to the tough matchup, he is my TE3 this week behind Brock Bowers and George Kittle.
|
|
3.
George Kittle
SF (vs . WAS)
George Kittle is having a great season. With six or more targets in each of his last three games, his involvement is back to normal after tearing his Achilles last season. Most impressively, he has played over 90% of snaps in each of the last two weeks. A full-time player on an offense that is firing on all cylinders is everything you want for your fantasy TE. Add in his explosive playmaking ability, and he is once again one of the best TEs in fantasy. Last week, they ran into arguably the best defense in the league, which held him to 24 yards on five catches. I wouldn't worry about that as they face the Commanders this week, who are allowing the second most fantasy points to the TE position. Kittle is firmly my TE2 this week behind Brock Bowers.
|
|
4.
Isaiah Likely
NYG (vs . NO)
After years of wondering what Isaiah Likely could be if he were a full-time player with the Ravens, we are finally seeing it come to fruition. Whether it was Jasxon Dart or Jameis Winston under center, Likely has been a focal point of this passing attack. Unfortunately, the Giants are an inconsistent offense, leading to inconsistent production. However, with 10 or more targets in three of five games, and two TE1 finishes, it's hard to ask more from your fantasy TE. This week, they face the Saints, whose defense has taken a nosedive since the start of the season. This game has sneaky shootout potential, setting up Likely for another strong game. Likely is firmly my TE4 this week behind Brock Bowers, George Kittle, and Trey McBride, respectively.
|
|
5.
Tyler Warren
IND (vs . TEN)
How Tyler Warren has been a consistent fantasy play is a little baffling. Every week he fails to top 25 yards, he finds the end zone. Then, in the games without a touchdown, he has over 40 yards and catches at least five passes. In the end, it doesn't matter how it happens, but he is producing fantasy. Last week, both the touchdowns and yards came together for the first time this season. Finishing with 84 total yards and a rushing TD, he is the focal point of this passing attack. The Colts appear to be on the verge of being a dysfunctional offense, however, Daniel Jones is doing just enough to keep Warren, Josh Downs, and Jonathan Taylor coming through on their preseason draft positions. This week, they take on the Titans, who are by far the worst team in the league. They are a below-average matchup for fantasy TEs, but Warren remains a TE1 option regardless of matchup.
|
|
6.
Travis Kelce
KC (vs . LAC)
Travis Kelce is the TE7 in fantasy points per game with a 16.4% target share, 2.34 YPRR, two red zone targets, two deep targets, and a 19.1% first-read share. On a per-route basis, he has been excellent. Among 48 qualifying tight ends, he ranks fourth-best in yards per route run and sixth-best in first downs per route run. Kelce should have a strong week against a pass defense that has allowed the ninth-most yards per target to tight ends.
|
|
7.
Tucker Kraft
GB (vs . DAL)
Tucker Kraft is warming up. Over the last two weeks, he has been the TE8 in fantasy points per game. In those games, Kraft has had a 68.8% route share with a 19.7% target share, 2.41 YPRR, four red zone targets, one deep target, and a 25.5% first-read share. Kraft is due for a big week. This could be it. Dallas has allowed the sixth-most yards per target and fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends.
|
|
8.
Juwan Johnson
NO (at NYG)
Despite last week's stinker, Juwan Johnson is the TE8 in fantasy points per game. Johnson has a 14.6% target share with 1.59 YPRR, seven red zone targets, one deep target, and an 18.4% first-read share. New York has been a tougher matchup for tight ends, holding the position to the sixth-fewest yards per target and the 12th-fewest fantasy points per opportunity. I lean on the side that their prowess against the position is more real than illusion after they held Trey McBride to seven receptions (12 targets) and only 31 receiving yards. Johnson will need a score this week to pay off for fantasy.
|
|
9.
Harold Fannin Jr.
CLE (vs . BAL)
Harold Fannin Jr. is the TE13 in fantasy points per game. He has earned a 17.6% target share with 1.09 YPRR, three red zone targets, one deep target, and a 15.2% first-read share. Fannin could see more work this week with KC Concepcion possibly out (concussion). Baltimore has faced the fourth-fewest tight end targets while allowing the seventh-most fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends (three scores). Fannin could be a TE1 this week.
|
|
10.
Dalton Kincaid
BUF (at LV)
After starting the season with two monster games, Dalton Kincaid has gone silent. He hasn't had more than 3.8 PPR points over the last three games. Joe Brady talked about getting him more involved moving forward, but we'll see if that starts this week. This would be a great matchup to do so, though. Kincaid has a 15.2% target share (64.5% route share or higher in four of five games) with 2.74 YPRR, one red zone target, three deep targets, and a 16.9% first-read share. The Raiders are 16th in yards per target allowed to tight ends, but against the position they have also given up the fifth-most receiving fantasy points per game, the third-most receiving touchdowns, and the fourth-most fantasy points per opportunity. Kincaid could feast this week.
|
|
11.
Dallas Goedert
PHI (vs . CAR)
In his two full games this season, Dallas Goedert has finished as the TE3 and TE11 in weekly scoring. In those games, Goedert has had a 21.5% target share with 2.17 YPRR, two red zone targets, one deep target, and a 23.3% first-read share. Goedert should have another strong TE1 week. Carolina has allowed the eighth-most receiving fantasy points per game and the 11th-most fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends. Goedert's median projection and ceiling take a small hit with Tanner McKee under center this week, but he's still a strong play.
|
|
12.
Brenton Strange
JAC (vs . HOU)
Brenton Strange is the TE14 in fantasy points per game with at least 10.3 PPR points in three of five games this season. Among 47 qualifying tight ends, Strange is eighth in target share (18.2%), sixth in YPRR (2.12), tenth in FD/RR (0.099) and sixth in first-read share (20.8%). Strange has three red zone targets and one deep target. Strange has been amazing on a per-route basis and has emerged as the consistent number two target for Trevor Lawrence. Strange could be a TE1 again this week. Houston has allowed the 12th-most yards per target to tight ends while facing the sixth-fewest targets to the position (tied).
|
|
13.
Pat Freiermuth
PIT (at TB)
Pat Freiermuth is a popular streaming tight end option for Week 6, and I'm going against the consensus and fading him this week. Last week, Freiermuth exploded with two scores as the TE4 for the week, leaving him as the TE10 in fantasy points per game for the season. Muth has a 13.4% target share, 1.30 YPRR, five red zone targets, three deep targets, and a 15.4% first-read share. The matchup on paper looks good for Muth, but the coverage structure isn't in his favor at all. Tampa Bay has allowed the 11th-most receiving fantasy points per game and the 14th-most fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends. Tampa Bay has the second-highest rate of single-high in the NFL (65.2%). Freiermuth has been one of their go-tos against two-high and usually non-existent vs. single-high. Against two-high, Freiermuth has a 29% target-per-route run rate and 2.12 YPRR, but against single-high he has only a 12% target-per-route run rate and 0.80 YPRR. Even going all the way back to 2025, Freiermuth has only had a 15% target-per-route run rate against single-high with 0.84 YPRR. Freiermuth will need a touchdown to likely save his fantasy day this week because I'm not projecting an encore of last week's game in Week 6.
|
|
14.
Colston Loveland
CHI (at ATL)
This hurts to type, but Colston Loveland is the TE36 in fantasy points per game. Good lawd, this is frustrating. To see him heavily involved in Week 4 and tank last week was tough. Overall, Loveland has a 70.2% route share, a 12.8% target share, 0.79 YPRR, six red zone targets, and an 18.7% first-read share. It feels like another middling week for Loveland against the Falcons. This week, he faces an Atlanta secondary that has the fourth-highest single high rate (64%). Against single high, Loveland has only a 14% target-per-route run rate with 0.67 YPRR. Atlanta has allowed the 13th-most receiving fantasy points per game to tight ends while ranking 15th in fantasy points per opportunity. I'm likely streaming a tight end over starting Loveland this week, but as has been the Bears all season, watch him pop off with a good game despite the analytics stacked against him.
|
|
15.
Tyler Higbee
LAR (vs . ARI)
Over the last two weeks, Tyler Higbee has finished as the TE12 and TE10 in weekly scoring. In those two games, Higbee has had a 68.8% route share, an 11.4% target share, 2.0 YPRR, zero red zone targets, zero deep targets, and a 13.9% first-read share. He could easily be a TE1 again this week. Arizona has allowed the most yards per target and the third-most fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends.
|
|
16.
Mark Andrews
BAL (at CLE)
With Mark Andrews solid per-route stats, it's kinda surprising that he has been a fantasy disappointment as the TE19 in fantasy points per game. Among 47 qualifying tight ends, Andrews is fourth in target share (21.9%), 16th in YPRR (1.64), ninth in first downs per route run (0.102), and fourth in first-read share (25.5%). Andrews has only one score while having five red zone targets and one deep target. Andrews could be a TE1 this week, but I think it's more likely he has a down week. Cleveland has allowed the tenth-fewest yards per target to tight ends while ranking 17th in fantasy points per opportunity to position.
|
|
17.
Dalton Schultz
HOU (at JAC)
Dalton Schultz is seemingly being phased out of the Houston passing attack. I don't know why, but it is happening. Schultz's route share has dropped in every game this season from 73.8% in Week 1 to only 44.4% last week. Since Week 3, Schultz has had only a 10.9% target share, 1.21 YPRR, and a 12.7% first-read share. In those three games, he has still seen three red zone targets and two deep targets. Schultz isn't a fantasy option this week. The Jags have held tight ends to the seventh-fewest yards per target and the tenth-fewest fantasy points per opportunity.
|
|
18.
Hunter Henry
NE (vs . NYJ)
Hunter Henry has been a fantasy ghost as the TE25 in fantasy points per game this season. Henry has posted double-digit PPR points in only one game. He has only a 11.5% target share with 1.53 YPRR, four red zone targets, one deep target, and a 14.4% first-read share. Henry isn't on the streaming radar this week. The Jets have held tight ends to the eighth-fewest yards per target and the 12th-fewest fantasy points per opportunity.
|
|
19.
Jake Ferguson
DAL (at GB)
Jake Ferguson is a touchdown-or-bust tight end option. Ferguson is the TE23 in fantasy points per game with a 10.9% target share, 0.73 YPRR, four red zone targets, zero deep targets, and a 9.9% first-read share. Sit Ferguson again this week. Green Bay has limited tight ends to the fifth-fewest yards per target and the 13th-fewest fantasy points per opportunity.
|
|
20.
Kyle Pitts Sr.
ATL (vs . CHI)
Kyle Pitts' playing time has been volatile this season. In his five games played, he has two weeks with route shares under 50% and three games with at least a 64% route share. In two of those outings, he had at least a 70% route share. One of those games was last week. Pitts has an 11.2% target share (17% TPRR) with 1.22 YPRR, two red zone targets, one deep target, and an 11.9% first-read share. Pitts is on the streaming radar this week against a Bears defense that has defended the fewest tight end targets in the NFL, but they have allowed the tenth-most yards per target to the position. Pitts could flirt with TE1 production this week, but he could also be a nothingburger in your lineup.
|
|
21.
Darren Waller
CAR (at PHI)
Darren Waller has seen his route share increase weekly with Carolina from 37.2% in Week 1 to 62.2% in Week 4. Excluding Week 1, as he had only a 37.2% route share, Waller has had an 18% target-per-route run rate, an 11.2% target share, 1.54 YPRR, three red zone targets, zero deep targets, and an 11.8% first-read share. Waller isn't on the streaming radar this week, though. Philly has held tight ends to the seventh-fewest fantasy points per opportunity and zero receiving touchdowns.
|
|
22.
AJ Barner
SEA (at DEN)
AJ Barner is the TE30 in fantasy points per game with only one game this season with more than double-digit PPR points, but he's on the streaming radar this week. Barner has a 13.6% target share with 1.07 YPRR, five red zone targets, and a 13.7% first-read share. Barner's touchdown equity in the passing offense is palpable. Denver has been vulnerable to tight ends, giving up the 12th-most yards per target and the 13th-most fantasy points per opportunity to the position. Barner could post low-end TE1 numbers this week.
|
|
23.
Chig Okonkwo
WAS (at SF)
|
|
24.
Michael Mayer
LV (vs . BUF)
With Brock Bowers in the lineup, Michael Mayer has had a 10.7% target share, 1.40 YPRR, one red zone target, and an 8.6% first-read share. In those three games, Mayer has one TE1 finish in weekly scoring (TE7). Mayer is on the streaming radar this week. Buffalo has allowed the 11th-highest yards per target to tight ends while ranking 18th in fantasy points per opportunity given up to the position.
|
|
25.
Cade Otton
TB (vs . PIT)
|
|
26.
Oronde Gadsden II
LAC (at KC)
|
|
27.
Darnell Washington
PIT (at TB)
Yes, I know you were expecting to see Pat Freiermuth's name here, but I lean toward Darnell Washington having the busier day in Week 6. This goes back to Tampa Bay's love of single high and how Pittsburgh has deployed these tight ends. Tampa Bay has the second-highest rate of single-high in the NFL (65.2%). Against single-high, Washington leads the team with a 25% target per route run rate with 2.0 YPRR. Freiermuth has been one of their go-tos against two-high and usually non-existent vs. single-high. Against two high, Friermuth has a 29% target per route run rate and 2.12 YPRR, but against single high he has only a 12% target per route run rate and 0.80 YPRR. Overall, Washington has a 65.3% snap rate and only a 35.8% route share with an 8.6% target share (22% TPRR), 1.79 YPRR, three red zone targets, one deep target, and a 10.3% first-read share. With the Steelers short on wide receivers and the coverage matchup, I could see Washington having a surprising game as a wonderful streaming option. Tampa Bay has allowed the 11th-most receiving fantasy points per game and the 14th-most fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends. Washington was a TE1 in Week 4 (TE12). He could be a TE1 again this week.
|
|
28.
Evan Engram
DEN (vs . SEA)
|
|
29.
Noah Fant
NO (at NYG)
|
|
30.
Mason Taylor
NYJ (at NE)
|
|
31.
Gunnar Helm
TEN (at IND)
|
|
32.
Colby Parkinson
LAR (vs . ARI)
|
|
33.
Dawson Knox
BUF (at LV)
|
|
34.
Eli Raridon
NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
35.
Theo Johnson
NYG (vs . NO)
|
|
36.
Charlie Kolar
LAC (at KC)
|
|
37.
Tommy Tremble
CAR (at PHI)
|
|
38.
Elijah Higgins
ARI (at LAR)
|
|
39.
Noah Gray
KC (vs . LAC)
|
|
40.
Cole Kmet
CHI (at ATL)
|
|
41.
Jeremy Ruckert
NYJ (at NE)
|
|
42.
Jonnu Smith
GB (vs . DAL)
|
|
43.
Foster Moreau
HOU (at JAC)
|
|
44.
Davis Allen
LAR (vs . ARI)
|
|
45.
Daniel Bellinger
TEN (at IND)
|
|
46.
Mitchell Evans
CAR (at PHI)
|
|
47.
Teagan Quitoriano
ARI (at LAR)
|
|
48.
Matt Hibner
BAL (at CLE)
|
|
49.
Kenyon Sadiq
NYJ (at NE)
|
|
50.
Elijah Arroyo
SEA (at DEN)
|
|
51.
Austin Hooper
ATL (vs . CHI)
|
|
52.
Zach Ertz
PHI (vs . CAR)
|
|
53.
Nate Boerkircher
JAC (vs . HOU)
|
|
54.
Jelani Woods
NYJ (at NE)
|
|
55.
Brevyn Spann-Ford
DAL (at GB)
|
|
56.
Luke Farrell
SF (vs . WAS)
|
|
57.
John Bates
WAS (at SF)
|
|
58.
Sam Roush
CHI (at ATL)
|
|
59.
Johnny Mundt
PHI (vs . CAR)
|
|
60.
Adam Trautman
DEN (vs . SEA)
|
|
61.
Josh Cuevas
BAL (at CLE)
|
|
62.
Mark Redman
GB (vs . DAL)
|
|
63.
Nate Adkins
DEN (vs . SEA)
|
|
64.
Luke Schoonmaker
DAL (at GB)
|
|
65.
Jackson Hawes
BUF (at LV)
|
|
66.
Charlie Woerner
ATL (vs . CHI)
|
|
67.
Ben Sinnott
WAS (at SF)
|
|
68.
Mo Alie-Cox
IND (vs . TEN)
|
|
69.
Oscar Delp
NO (at NYG)
|
|
70.
Blake Whiteheart
CLE (vs . BAL)
|
|
71.
Ian Thomas
LV (vs . BUF)
|
|
72.
Eric Saubert
SEA (at DEN)
|
|
73.
Cade Stover
HOU (at JAC)
|
|
74.
Hayden Rucci
LAC (at KC)
|
|
75.
Payne Durham
TB (vs . PIT)
|
|
76.
Drew Ogletree
IND (vs . TEN)
|
|
77.
Jake Briningstool
KC (vs . LAC)
|
|
78.
Brevin Jordan
HOU (at JAC)
|
|
79.
Colson Yankoff
WAS (at SF)
|
|
80.
Brayden Willis
SF (vs . WAS)
|
|
81.
Tanner Koziol
JAC (vs . HOU)
|
|
82.
Robert Tonyan
PIT (at TB)
|
|
83.
Josh Whyle
GB (vs . DAL)
|
|
84.
Chris Manhertz
NYG (vs . NO)
|
|
85.
Nick Vannett
BAL (at CLE)
|
|
86.
Quintin Morris
JAC (vs . HOU)
|
|
87.
Marlin Klein
HOU (at JAC)
|
|
88.
Kylen Granson
TEN (at IND)
|
|
89.
Nick Muse
ATL (vs . CHI)
|
|
90.
Connor Heyward
LV (vs . BUF)
|
|
91.
Pharaoh Brown
IND (vs . TEN)
|
|
92.
E.J. Jenkins
PHI (vs . CAR)
|
|
93.
David Martin-Robinson
TEN (at IND)
|
|
94.
Feleipe Franks
CAR (at PHI)
|
|
95.
Treyton Welch
NO (at NYG)
|
|
96.
Max Klare
LAR (vs . ARI)
|
|
97.
Ja'Tavion Sanders
CAR (at PHI)
|
|
98.
Tanner Arkin
NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
99.
Carsen Ryan
CLE (vs . BAL)
|
|
100.
Keleki Latu
BUF (at LV)
|
|
101.
Eli Stowers
PHI (vs . CAR)
|
|
102.
Cameron Latu
NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
103.
Bauer Sharp
TB (vs . PIT)
|
|
104.
Riley Nowakowski
PIT (at TB)
|
|
105.
Carter Runyon
LV (vs . BUF)
|
|
106.
Will Mallory
IND (vs . TEN)
|
|
107.
Ko Kieft
TB (vs . PIT)
|
|
108.
Nick Kallerup
SEA (at DEN)
|
|
109.
Shawn Bowman
ARI (at LAR)
|
|
110.
Thomas Fidone II
NYG (vs . NO)
|
