Fantasy Football Player Notes
Week 9 Half PPR Rankings
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1.
Brock Bowers
LV (at SF)
This has been an incredible season for Bowers. With Kirk Cousins on pace for 40 touchdowns, Bowers has taken full advantage, scoring five times in six games. He also has eight or more targets in each game and has yet to have fewer than 70 yards. He is the perfect mix of a usage floor and touchdown upside. This week, they have the tough task against a rested 49ers team that will be out for blood after dropping their first game before the bye week. The 49ers are allowing the sixth fewest points per game and the eighth fewest fantasy points to the TE position. With a floor of five catches for 70 yards, he remains atop the TE rankings. However, this may be a tough matchup for him to have a high-ceiling game.
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2.
George Kittle
SF (vs . LV)
George Kittle has turned back the clock and is once again a fantasy force at the position. With five of his last six games inside the top 10 at the position and three of his last six inside the top five, he is right in the mix with Bowers, McBride, and Likely atop the position. This week, he faces the Raiders, who are allowing the third most passing touchdowns and the fourth most fantasy points to the position. The 49ers have had to stew on their loss to the Falcons for two weeks and will be ready to put on a show at home against Vegas. Kittle is in line for a big game, and an argument could be made for ranking him as the TE1 overall this week.
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3.
Trey McBride
ARI (at SEA)
We have a QB change in the desert. Not only do we have Gardner Minshew taking over the team, but we also have Jacoby Brissett being shipped off to Baltimore. With Minshew under center in the fourth quarter, we saw McBride catch four passes, including a 14-yard touchdown strike with two minutes left in the game. We know that McBride is elite, and Minshew is good enough to keep this team's fantasy players afloat. There is always uncertainty with a new QB, and especially against the Seahawks defense, this could be a tough one for the star TE. The Seahawks are allowing the fourth-fewest fantasy points to the TE position, and Minshew could struggle. McBride remains a top option, but it may be tough for him to have a huge game this week for fantasy.
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4.
Colston Loveland
CHI (vs . TB)
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5.
Sam LaPorta
DET (at MIA)
Sam LaPorta has been quiet over the last two games with only 51 total receiving yards, but this is the eruption spot for LaPorta. Sammy Ballgame is the TE6 in fantasy points per game. LaPorta has a 15.7% target share with 1.72 YPRR, nine red zone targets, one deep target, and a 16.6% first-read share. Over their last five games, Miami has allowed the ninth-most yards per target, the second-most receiving touchdowns, and the third-most fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends.
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6.
Isaiah Likely
NYG (at PHI)
Sitting as the TE3 coming off his bye week, it has been a great year for the veteran TE. Now, with a bye week to fully integrate J.J. McCarthy into the offense, we could see some more great games for the breakout TE. Before their bye week, we saw a dominant run game by the Giants, scoring four rushing TDs against the Texans. This week, they face another difficult defense in the Eagles. With Joe Milton commanding the Eagles, who knows if McCarthy will need to keep up on the scoreboard. Either way, Likely is a top target on this team and should see plenty of volume regardless of game script. That said, the Eagles are holding TEs to the third-fewest fantasy points per game. This keeps Likely as a top option, but may limit his ceiling in a difficult matchup.
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7.
Tyler Warren
IND (vs . DAL)
Tyler Warren is the TE5 in fantasy points per game. Warren has a 22.3% target share with 1.26 YPRR, five red zone targets, zero deep targets, and a 21.8% first-read share. He'll need a touchdown this week to finish as a TE1 because one of the few things Dallas has been doing well is defending tight ends. Over their last five games, they have allowed the seventh-fewest yards per target and the eighth-fewest fantasy points per opportunity to the position.
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8.
Harold Fannin Jr.
CLE (at NO)
After last week's monster game, Harold Fannin is the TE8 in fantasy points per game. Fannin has a 19.1% target share with 1.72 YPRR, four red zone targets, two deep targets, and a 19.6% first-read share. This week, he'll face a Saints defense that has the second-highest single high rate in the NFL (65%). Against single-high, Fannin has a 22% TPRR (second on the team) with 1.91 YPRR. Fannin should post another strong TE1 stat line this week. Over their last five games, New Orleans has allowed the sixth-most yards per target and the fifth-most fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends.
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9.
Travis Kelce
KC (vs . NYJ)
Travis Kelce keeps motoring along as a low-end TE1 as the TE11 in fantasy points per game. Kelce has a 17.7% target share with 2.23 YPRR, three red zone targets, three deep targets, and a 20% first-read share. Kelce has had at least 50 receiving yards in five of seven games this season. Kelce should produce as a TE1 again this week. Over the last five games, New York has allowed the 11th-most yards per target and the 12th-most fantasy points per opportunity (tied) to tight ends.
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10.
Tucker Kraft
GB (at NE)
After a slow start, since Week 4, Tucker Kraft has been the TE6 in fantasy points per game. Since Week 4, Kraft has had a 70.8% route share, a 17% target share, 1.77 YPRR, eight red zone targets, three deep targets, and a 20% first-read share. Kraft isn't likely to have a blow-up game this week, but with his touchdown equity in the Packers' passing attack, he could easily be a solid TE1. Over their last five games, New England has allowed the 11th-most receiving fantasy points per game and ranked 18th in yards per target against tight ends.
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11.
T.J. Hockenson
MIN (vs . BUF)
T.J. Hockenson is the TE10 in fantasy points per game. Hockenson has an 18.7% target share with 2.22 YPRR, seven red zone targets, and a 20.6% first-read share. He could easily be a TE1 again this week against a defense that, over its last five games, has allowed the fifth-most yards per target to tight ends.
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12.
Kyle Pitts Sr.
ATL (vs . CIN)
Since Week 5, Kyle Pitts has been the TE6 in fantasy points per game. In those four games, Pitts has had a 66.9% route share, a 17.5% target share, 1.40 YPRR, six red zone targets, and a 21.2% first-read share. Cincy still can't stop tight ends. They have been hopeless against them, which makes Pitts a strong start this week with huge upside. In their last five games, Cincy has allowed the most yards per target and the second-most receiving yards to tight ends.
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13.
Dallas Goedert
PHI (vs . NYG)
Since Week 6, Dallas Goedert has been the TE19 in fantasy points per game. Goedert has had a 15.4% target share with 1.65 YPRR, one red zone target, and a 24% first-read share. This week he's a must-sit. Over their last five games, the Giants have held tight ends to the third-fewest yards per target and the seventh-fewest fantasy points per opportunity.
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14.
Dalton Kincaid
BUF (at MIN)
Dalton Kincaid is the TE8 in fantasy points per game. He had a big bounce-back game last week as the TE4 for the week. That was the first game he had crossed 12 PPR points since Week 2. Overall, he has a 61.6% route share, a 17.1% target share, 2.75 YPRR, six red zone targets, five deep targets, and a 21.4% first-read share. This feels like another down week incoming for Kincaid. This week, he'll face a Vikings secondary that has the fourth-highest two-high rate in the NFL (64%). Against two-high, Kincaid has a 20% TPRR with 1.44 YPRR. Over their last five games, Minnesota has allowed the fourth-fewest yards per target and the fewest fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends.
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15.
Brenton Strange
JAC (at BAL)
After last week's limited volume performance, Brenton Strange has fallen to TE15 in fantasy points per game. Strange has a 17.4% target share with 2.26 YPRR, three red zone targets, one deep target, and an 18.9% first-read share. Strange could easily bounce back this week as a strong TE1. Over their last five games, Baltimore has allowed the 14th-most yards per target and the fourth-most fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends.
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16.
Greg Dulcich
MIA (vs . DET)
Greg Dulcich has emerged as a big part of the Miami passing offense over his last three games. Since Week 5, Dulcich has had a 62.6% route share, a 20% target share, 2.68 YPRR, two red zone targets, one deep target, and a 25.5% first-read share. Dulcich is a wonderful streaming option this week, and he could be a TE1 this week. Over their last five games, Detroit has allowed the third-most yards per target, the most receiving fantasy points per game, and the most fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends.
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17.
Mike Gesicki
CIN (at ATL)
Mike Gesicki is the TE12 in fantasy points per game. Overall, he has a 47.8% snap rate, a 54.7% route share, a 9% target share, 1.53 YPRR, five red zone targets, two deep targets, and an 11.1% first-read share. What has propped up his fantasy value is his insane touchdown runout, as he has six scores this season. Last week, without Erick All, Gesicki did see a jump in his playing time with a 71.7% route share and 67.1% snap rate. I expect those numbers to carry over into Week 9. Gesicki is an interesting streaming option this week. The coverage matchup is in his favor, but Atlanta has been tough against tight ends, so he has a wide range of outcomes this week. Atlanta has the third-highest rate of single high (60.7%). Against single-high, Gesicki has seen his TPRR increase to 20% with 2.00 YPRR. However, over their last five games, Atlanta has allowed the 11th-fewest fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends while ranking 16th in yards per target. Gesicki could be a TE1 this week or disappoint. It's a coin flip.
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18.
Chig Okonkwo
WAS (vs . LAR)
Since Week 6, Chig Okonkwo has been the TE21 in fantasy points per game with one TE1 outing (TE11). In those two games, Okonkwo has had a 15.9% target share with 1.58 YPRR, one red zone target, one deep target, and a 21.3% first-read share. This isn't the matchup to consider streaming Okonkwo. Over their last five games, the Rams have held tight ends to the 11th-fewest yards per target and the sixth-fewest fantasy points per opportunity.
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19.
Juwan Johnson
NO (vs . CLE)
Juwan Johnson has seen his role decline. In his last two games, Johnson has had only a 56.8% snap rate, 56.2% route share, 4.4% target share, and a 7% first-read share. Over their last five games, Cleveland has ranked 15th in receiving fantasy points per game against tight ends while giving up the 12th-most fantasy points per opportunity to the position. This would put Johnson on the streaming radar this week, but I'm not starting him in most formats. I need to see his role rebound before I'm comfortable plugging him into a starting lineup.
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20.
Tyler Higbee
LAR (at WAS)
Ok, well, here we go. I'm doing the Tyler Higbee thing again. There's no way that this backfires, right? (Colby Parkinson and Davis Allen say hi) Since Week 3, Higbee has been the TE21 in fantasy points per game. In his last three games, he has failed each week to surpass five PPR points. This is after three strong games in a row in Weeks 3-5. Since Week 3, he has had a 12.6% target share with 1.47 YPRR, two red zone targets, and a 15% first-read share. Higbee is a solid streaming option again this week (crossing my fingers). Over their last five games, Washington has allowed the sixth-most yards per target and the fifth-most fantasy points per opportunity.
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21.
Eli Raridon
NE (vs . GB)
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22.
Michael Mayer
LV (at SF)
Since Week 3, Michael Mayer has been the TE9 in fantasy points per game. In those six games, Mayer has had a 13.3% target share, 1.83 YPRR, only two deep targets, one red zone target, and an 11.9% first-read share. He has been efficient with limited volume and doesn't have much high cholesterol usage in this offense. Even if I could get past all that, he has a tough matchup this week. The 49ers have been tough on tight ends. Over their last five games, they have allowed the fifth-fewest yards per target and the tenth-fewest fantasy points per opportunity. Sit Mayer.
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23.
Dalton Schultz
HOU (at LAC)
Dalton Schultz is the TE18 in fantasy points per game, but that ranking is really just carried by his outing against Cincy. Schultz hasn't had double-digit PPR points in any other game this season. Schultz has a 57% snap rate, a 62.1% route share, a 17.7% target share with 1.91 YPRR, five red zone targets, four deep targets, and an 18% first-read share. Schultz is on the streaming radar this week. Across their last five games, the Bolts have allowed the most yards per target to tight ends while giving up the 13th-fewest fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends.
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24.
AJ Barner
SEA (vs . ARI)
AJ Barner is a low-end tight end streaming option this week. It's all based on the matchup. Barner has a 12.3% target share with 0.96 YPRR, seven red zone targets, and a 13.7% first-read share. Barner is the TE27 in fantasy points per game, with only one game this season with double-digit PPR points. Over their last five games, Arizona has allowed the 14th-most receiving fantasy points per game and fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends.
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25.
Mason Taylor
NYJ (at KC)
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26.
Darren Waller
CAR (vs . DEN)
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27.
Mark Andrews
BAL (vs . JAC)
In Weeks 4-8, Mark Andrews has been the TE34 in fantasy points per game. He had eclipsed six PPR points only once during that span. Since Week 4, he has had a 15.1% target share with 0.81 YPRR, six red zone targets, two deep targets, and a 16.8% first-read share. Volume and red zone equity haven't been the issue. Andrews just isn't doing anything with the opportunities. I think this week is more of the same. Sit Andrews. Over their last five games, the Jags have allowed the fewest yards per target and the third-fewest fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends.
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28.
Cade Otton
TB (at CHI)
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29.
Oronde Gadsden II
LAC (vs . HOU)
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30.
Kenyon Sadiq
NYJ (at KC)
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31.
Tommy Tremble
CAR (vs . DEN)
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32.
Davis Allen
LAR (at WAS)
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33.
Noah Fant
NO (vs . CLE)
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34.
Brevyn Spann-Ford
DAL (at IND)
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35.
Evan Engram
DEN (at CAR)
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36.
Charlie Kolar
LAC (vs . HOU)
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37.
Hunter Henry
NE (vs . GB)
Hunter Henry (foot) opened this week with a DNP. I'll update his outlook on Friday. He could easily miss Week 9.
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38.
Noah Gray
KC (vs . NYJ)
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39.
Elijah Higgins
ARI (at SEA)
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40.
Jake Ferguson
DAL (at IND)
Jake Ferguson sustained an ankle injury last week. He opened this week with a DNP. I'll update his outlook on Friday.
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41.
Foster Moreau
HOU (at LAC)
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42.
Dawson Knox
BUF (at MIN)
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43.
Sam Roush
CHI (vs . TB)
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44.
Nate Boerkircher
JAC (at BAL)
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45.
Josh Cuevas
BAL (vs . JAC)
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46.
Colby Parkinson
LAR (at WAS)
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47.
Eli Stowers
PHI (vs . NYG)
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48.
Drew Sample
CIN (at ATL)
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49.
Mitchell Evans
CAR (vs . DEN)
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50.
Austin Hooper
ATL (vs . CIN)
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51.
Adam Trautman
DEN (at CAR)
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52.
Brock Wright
DET (at MIA)
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53.
Theo Johnson
NYG (at PHI)
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54.
Nate Adkins
DEN (at CAR)
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55.
Terrance Ferguson
LAR (at WAS)
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56.
Will Kacmarek
MIA (vs . DET)
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57.
Mo Alie-Cox
IND (vs . DAL)
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58.
Matt Hibner
BAL (vs . JAC)
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59.
Jack Endries
CIN (at ATL)
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60.
Luke Schoonmaker
DAL (at IND)
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61.
Will Mallory
IND (vs . DAL)
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62.
Luke Farrell
SF (vs . LV)
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63.
Charlie Woerner
ATL (vs . CIN)
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64.
Mark Redman
GB (at NE)
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65.
Oscar Delp
NO (vs . CLE)
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66.
Eric Saubert
SEA (vs . ARI)
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67.
Ian Thomas
LV (at SF)
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68.
Blake Whiteheart
CLE (at NO)
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69.
Gavin Bartholomew
MIN (vs . BUF)
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70.
Teagan Quitoriano
ARI (at SEA)
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71.
John Bates
WAS (vs . LAR)
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72.
Jeremy Ruckert
NYJ (at KC)
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73.
Ben Yurosek
MIN (vs . BUF)
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74.
Cade Stover
HOU (at LAC)
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75.
Ben Sinnott
WAS (vs . LAR)
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76.
Drew Ogletree
IND (vs . DAL)
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77.
Jackson Hawes
BUF (at MIN)
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78.
Tyler Conklin
DET (at MIA)
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79.
Jake Briningstool
KC (vs . NYJ)
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80.
James Mitchell
DAL (at IND)
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81.
Tanner Koziol
JAC (at BAL)
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82.
Johnny Mundt
PHI (vs . NYG)
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83.
Brevin Jordan
HOU (at LAC)
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84.
Payne Durham
TB (at CHI)
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85.
Josh Whyle
GB (at NE)
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86.
Max Klare
LAR (at WAS)
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87.
Jelani Woods
NYJ (at KC)
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88.
Nick Muse
ATL (vs . CIN)
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89.
Seydou Traore
MIA (vs . DET)
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90.
Hayden Rucci
LAC (vs . HOU)
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91.
Quintin Morris
JAC (at BAL)
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92.
Thomas Fidone II
NYG (at PHI)
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93.
David Njoku
LAC (vs . HOU)
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94.
Chris Manhertz
NYG (at PHI)
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95.
Bauer Sharp
TB (at CHI)
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96.
Grant Calcaterra
PHI (vs . NYG)
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97.
Brayden Willis
SF (vs . LV)
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98.
Cameron Latu
NE (vs . GB)
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99.
Ko Kieft
TB (at CHI)
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100.
Stephen Carlson
CHI (vs . TB)
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101.
Colson Yankoff
WAS (vs . LAR)
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102.
Nick Kallerup
SEA (vs . ARI)
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103.
Tanner Arkin
NE (vs . GB)
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104.
Feleipe Franks
CAR (vs . DEN)
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105.
Cam Grandy
CIN (at ATL)
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106.
Zach Ertz
PHI (vs . NYG)
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107.
Jonnu Smith
GB (at NE)
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108.
Keleki Latu
BUF (at MIN)
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109.
Carsen Ryan
FA (BYE)
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110.
Justin Joly
MIA (vs . DET)
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111.
Nick Vannett
BAL (vs . JAC)
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112.
Pharaoh Brown
IND (vs . DAL)
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113.
Connor Heyward
LV (at SF)
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114.
Michael Trigg
DAL (at IND)
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115.
John FitzPatrick
CLE (at NO)
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116.
Shawn Bowman
ARI (at SEA)
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117.
Pat Freiermuth
PIT (BYE)
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118.
Gunnar Helm
TEN (BYE)
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119.
Darnell Washington
PIT (BYE)
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120.
Daniel Bellinger
TEN (BYE)
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121.
Brady Russell
SEA (vs . ARI)
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122.
Kylen Granson
TEN (BYE)
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123.
Jared Wiley
KC (vs . NYJ)
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124.
Robert Tonyan
PIT (BYE)
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125.
Treyton Welch
NO (vs . CLE)
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126.
Zach Gentry
FA (BYE)
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127.
Riley Nowakowski
PIT (BYE)
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128.
David Martin-Robinson
TEN (BYE)
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129.
Patrick Herbert
LAC (vs . HOU)
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130.
Tanner Hudson
CIN (at ATL)
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131.
Marlin Klein
HOU (at LAC)
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132.
Dallen Bentley
DEN (at CAR)
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133.
Josh Oliver
MIN (vs . BUF)
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134.
Jordan Akins
FA (BYE)
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135.
Drake Dabney
GB (at NE)
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136.
Peyton Hendershot
FA (BYE)
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137.
Jake Tonges
SF (vs . LV)
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138.
Jack Stoll
SF (vs . LV)
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139.
Luke Musgrave
GB (at NE)
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140.
Lucas Krull
DEN (at CAR)
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141.
Jack Westover
WAS (vs . LAR)
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