Fantasy Football Player Notes
Week 18 Half PPR Rankings
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1.
Travis Kelce
KC (at LV)
Just pull out a spoon and eat the Kelce chalk on this small slate. Kelce will carry one of the highest rostership percentages in this two-game slate. While I don't disagree with it at all, there's also leverage to be had by building lineups with two Mahomes' pass catchers not named Kelce. This is also a slate that presents double tight end as an option for lineup building. Kelce has a 24.7% target share (third-best) while ranking eighth in deep targets and first in red zone targets among tight ends. Las Vegas ranks 22nd in fantasy points per game and catch rate allowed to tight ends. They have surrendered the ninth-most receiving touchdowns to the position.
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2.
George Kittle
SF (vs . ARI)
Kittle has been a monster with Purdy under center. He has had a 25.2% target share, a 75% end zone target share, a 28.9% air yard share, and 2.9 yards per route run. This has occurred without Samuel in the lineup, which is notable. Kittle's splits without Samuel have been nice. With Samuel in the lineup, Kittle's fantasy points per game (PPR) have fallen from 15.6 to 14.3, and his receiving touchdowns have dipped from 0.73 per game to 0.36. This doesn't mean that Kittle can't continue his run of dominance, but Samuel's return could sting. Arizona remains a prime matchup for tight ends ranking 32nd in fantasy points per game, 31st in catch rate, and 30th in receiving yards per game conceded to tight ends.
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3.
T.J. Hockenson
MIN (at CHI)
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4.
Evan Engram
JAC (vs . TEN)
Toss the last game out for the same reasons that we're disregarding Etienne's Week 17 performance. Engram destroyed this defense the last time he faced them with 15 targets, 11 receptions, and 162 receiving yards (two touchdowns). This is why he could rival Kelce as the most popular tight end on the slate (or at least get close). In Weeks 13-16, Engram played at an elite level with a 27% target share, 18.2% end zone target share, 77% route run rate, and 2.89 yards per route run. If Kirk and Jones don't crush Tennessee, Engram certainly can. Tennessee ranks 32nd in receiving yards, 29th in receptions, and 28th in yards per reception allowed to tight ends.
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5.
Dalton Schultz
HOU (at IND)
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6.
Dallas Goedert
PHI (vs . NYG)
Since returning to the starting lineup, Goedert has filed in behind Brown and Smith for targets with a 13.5% target share (4.5 targets per game). The positive is that he has been playing every down with an 87.3% route run rate. It also has to be mentioned that the last two teams the Eagles have played have been strong against tight ends all season (DAL, NO). That's definitely not the case with the Giants, who are 30th in catch rate, 24th in fantasy points per game, and 20th in yards per reception allowed to tight ends. Double stacking Hurts with Sanders, and Goedert is an easy way to be different with this slate and separate yourself from other Hurts stacks.
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7.
Taysom Hill
NO (vs . CAR)
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8.
Pat Freiermuth
PIT (vs . CLE)
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9.
David Njoku
CLE (at PIT)
With Watson under center, Njoku has had a 21.3% target share (5.8 targets per game), 80.3% route run rate, and 1.11 yards per route run. Njoku has nine red zone targets over his last four games. His touchdown equity in this offense has been massive even though, to this point, it's only amounted to one score. Since Week 11, Pittsburgh has been 27th in catch rate, 23rd in fantasy points per game, and 24th in receiving yards per game allowed to tight ends.
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10.
Dawson Knox
BUF (vs . NE)
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11.
Darren Waller
NYG (at PHI)
Waller has not played a full-time role since his return. Since Week 15, he has had a 13.8% target share with a 58.8% route run rate. Waller has played 40-57% of the snaps over the last three games. He's been immensely efficient with a 2.66 yards per route run, but he's only drawn one red zone look. Waller is in play, but he's TE3 or TE4 on this slate. The Chiefs are 21st in DVOA against tight ends, allowing the fifth-most receiving touchdowns to the position.
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12.
Tyler Higbee
LAR (at SEA)
With Mayfield under center, Higbee has garnered a 23.5% target share (5.8 targets per game) with a 50% end zone target share, a 68.1% route run rate, and 1.77 yards per route run. Seattle has been dreadful at stopping tight ends ranking 31st in fantasy points per game, 31st in receiving yards per game, and 32nd in yards per reception allowed.
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13.
Cole Kmet
CHI (vs . MIN)
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14.
Tyler Conklin
NYJ (at MIA)
Conklin is a cheap mini stack partner with El Jefe. He's a matchup-based play. Miami has struggled all year to stop tight ends. They are 32nd in catch rate, 25th in receiving yards per game, and 30th in fantasy points per game allowed to tight ends.
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15.
Juwan Johnson
NO (vs . CAR)
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16.
Gerald Everett
LAC (at DEN)
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17.
Noah Fant
SEA (vs . LAR)
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18.
Hunter Henry
NE (at BUF)
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19.
Hayden Hurst
CAR (at NO)
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20.
Trey McBride
ARI (at SF)
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21.
Robert Tonyan
CHI (vs . MIN)
Tonyan has been a ghost for most of the season, with a 12.5% target share and only three TE1 weeks. Tonyan gets mentioned here because the matchup is mouthwatering. Detroit ranks 26th in fantasy points per game and 29th in catch rate allowed to tight ends. Detroit has surrendered the most touchdowns (11) to tight ends this season.
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22.
Cade Otton
TB (at ATL)
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23.
Jordan Akins
CLE (at PIT)
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24.
Isaiah Likely
BAL (at CIN)
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25.
Chigoziem Okonkwo
TEN (at JAC)
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26.
Jelani Woods
IND (vs . HOU)
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27.
Logan Thomas
WAS (vs . DAL)
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28.
Austin Hooper
LV (vs . KC)
I know. You were expecting Chigziem Okonkwo's name here, right. Sadly Okonkwo only ran eight routes last week, while Hooper saw a beautiful 66.7% route run rate and 15.8% target share (six targets). Hooper is a fantastic contrarian play. Jacksonville is 31st in DVOA, allowing the tenth-highest catch rate, third-highest yards per reception, and fifth-most receiving yards to tight ends.
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29.
Mike Gesicki
NE (at BUF)
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30.
Albert Okwuegbunam
DEN (vs . LAC)
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31.
Daniel Bellinger
NYG (at PHI)
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32.
Brock Wright
DET (at GB)
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33.
Noah Gray
KC (at LV)
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34.
Shane Zylstra
DET (at GB)
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35.
Tommy Tremble
CAR (at NO)
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36.
Colby Parkinson
SEA (vs . LAR)
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37.
Foster Moreau
NO (vs . CAR)
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38.
MyCole Pruitt
FA (BYE)
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39.
Harrison Bryant
CLE (at PIT)
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40.
Donald Parham Jr.
LAC (at DEN)
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41.
Ian Thomas
CAR (at NO)
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42.
Mo Alie-Cox
IND (vs . HOU)
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43.
Josh Oliver
MIN (at CHI)
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44.
Adam Trautman
DEN (vs . LAC)
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45.
Brycen Hopkins
LAR (at SEA)
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46.
James Mitchell
DET (at GB)
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47.
Brevin Jordan
HOU (at IND)
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48.
Eric Saubert
MIA (vs . NYJ)
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49.
Josiah Deguara
GB (vs . DET)
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50.
Durham Smythe
MIA (vs . NYJ)
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51.
Anthony Firkser
NE (at BUF)
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52.
Nick Vannett
FA (BYE)
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53.
Dan Arnold
PHI (vs . NYG)
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54.
Marcedes Lewis
FA (BYE)
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55.
Zach Gentry
PIT (vs . CLE)
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56.
John Bates
WAS (vs . DAL)
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57.
Johnny Mundt
MIN (at CHI)
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58.
Geoff Swaim
FA (BYE)
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59.
Peyton Hendershot
DAL (at WAS)
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60.
Ko Kieft
TB (at ATL)
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61.
Kyle Rudolph
FA (BYE)
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62.
Irv Smith Jr.
CIN (vs . BAL)
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63.
Cameron Brate
FA (BYE)
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64.
Jake Ferguson
DAL (at WAS)
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65.
Stephen Sullivan
CAR (at NO)
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66.
Tyler Kroft
MIA (vs . NYJ)
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67.
Connor Heyward
PIT (vs . CLE)
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68.
O.J. Howard
LV (vs . KC)
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69.
Teagan Quitoriano
HOU (at IND)
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70.
Quintin Morris
BUF (vs . NE)
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71.
Tre' McKitty
LAC (at DEN)
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72.
Eric Tomlinson
FA (BYE)
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73.
Ryan Griffin
FA (BYE)
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74.
Mitchell Wilcox
FA (BYE)
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75.
Jack Stoll
PHI (vs . NYG)
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76.
Chris Manhertz
DEN (vs . LAC)
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77.
Andrew Beck
HOU (at IND)
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78.
Stephen Anderson
FA (BYE)
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79.
Parker Hesse
ATL (vs . TB)
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80.
Pharaoh Brown
IND (vs . HOU)
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81.
Chris Myarick
NYG (at PHI)
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82.
Matt Sokol
NE (at BUF)
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83.
Stone Smartt
LAC (at DEN)
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84.
Blake Bell
KC (at LV)
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85.
Grant Calcaterra
PHI (vs . NYG)
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86.
Maxx Williams
FA (BYE)
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87.
Kenny Yeboah
NYJ (at MIA)
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88.
Tyler Mabry
SEA (vs . LAR)
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89.
Charlie Kolar
BAL (at CIN)
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90.
Sean McKeon
DAL (at WAS)
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91.
Nikola Kalinic
FA (BYE)
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92.
Luke Farrell
JAC (vs . TEN)
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93.
Devin Asiasi
CIN (vs . BAL)
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94.
Nick Boyle
FA (BYE)
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95.
Tyler Davis
GB (vs . DET)
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96.
Kevin Rader
TEN (at JAC)
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97.
Jeremy Ruckert
NYJ (at MIA)
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98.
Jesper Horsted
LV (vs . KC)
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99.
Hunter Long
LAR (at SEA)
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100.
Giovanni Ricci
CAR (at NO)
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101.
Cole Turner
WAS (vs . DAL)
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102.
Trevon Wesco
TEN (at JAC)
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103.
Nick Muse
MIN (at CHI)
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104.
Charlie Woerner
SF (vs . ARI)
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