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Early ADP Report: 14 Undervalued Players

Early ADP Report: 14 Undervalued Players
Donte Moncrief has a great shot and breaking out and is a bargain at his current ADP

Donte Moncrief has a great shot and breaking out and is a bargain at his current ADP

It’s just June, but fantasy football is alive and well with our Consensus Average Draft Position (ADP) list growing in sources. In fact, players have been moving up and down the rankings for the past month with drafts already taking place.

As with any set of rankings, you may or may not agree with them. To evaluate this, we’ve asked our featured pundits to name who they feel is undervalued according to their ADP.

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Q: Based off of our Consensus ADP, which RB, WR and QB is currently the most undervalued in drafts?

Running Backs

Frank Gore, Colts
ADP: #74 Overall | #30 RB

What’s your take: Is he undervalued?

The Colts did very little to bring in competition to take carries away from Frank Gore, which means the aging veteran should be in line for a lot of carries for a good offense. With the return of a healthy Andrew Luck, the Colts offense should bounce back. Gore is a sleeper candidate to approach 1,000 rushing yards and a nice target in the 8th round for fantasy drafters that start off their drafts with a “zero RB” approach.
Jody Smith (Gridiron Experts)

Jerick McKinno, Vikings
ADP: #164 Overall | #59 RB

What’s your take: Is he undervalued?

“This one’s a bit of a home run swing considering he’s buried on the depth chart behind an all-time great who led the NFL in rushing last season, but Jerick McKinnon has win-your-league potential as the 59th running back off the board. Adrian Peterson didn’t slow down last season, but he is 31 years old. Prior to sitting out nearly all of 2014 due to suspension, he suffered a torn ACL, high-ankle sprain, mid-foot sprain, and had two groin surgeries in the three previous years. That’s a whole lot of leg injuries for a running back with nearly 2,400 career carries. McKinnon’s 1.14 PPR fantasy points per touch in 2015 suggest he’s graduated from athletic project to highly-efficient NFL running back (for fantasy purposes anyway). In the (likely?) event he inherits the lead-back role at some point in 2016, it will pay handsomely to reach for McKinnon a round or two before his ADP.”
Phil Alexander (Footballguys)

Danny Woodhead, Chargers
ADP: #85 Overall | #34 RB

What’s your take: Is he undervalued?

“With an NFL-high (for RBs) 81 catches (including at least five catches in nine games), Danny Woodhead finished 2015 as a top-12 fantasy RB in PPR formats. Even if Melvin Gordon becomes the back the Chargers hoped for when selecting him in the first round of the 2015 draft, Woodhead’s overall role has been consistent in San Diego. In 2013, he had 106 carries for 429 yards and two touchdowns and 76 catches for 605 yards and six touchdowns before an injury limited him in 2014. In addition, that impressive 2013 output came with Ken Whisenhunt as his play caller. Whisenhunt returns to that role this year. Bottom line? It’s hard to find a better value play at the position in PPR formats.”
Bob Harris (Football Diehards)

DeAndre_Washington_Raiders_72x100DeAndre Washington, Raiders
ADP: #196 Overall | #72 RB

What’s your take: Is he undervalued?

“Washington is being severely undervalued according to ADP Rankings. The Raiders have said multiple times that they want a more consistent RB presence than what Latavius Murray has provided. Washington has the skills and vision to succeed at the NFL level, all he needs is an opportunity and a decent OL. Luckily, Oakland invested heavily in their OL this offseason and they ranked top 3 last year in rushing attempts. Outside of Kenneth Dixon and Ezekiel Elliott, Washington is my top rookie RB for 2016.”
Taylor Christianson (FFLockerRoom)

Duke Johnson, Browns
ADP: #94 Overall | #32 RB

What’s your take: Is he undervalued?

“Johnson coming off the board around the 32nd RB taken means I’m going to own a ton of his shares. I value him higher than that and believe his ADP will skyrocket as the preseason goes on. He’s in a time share with Isaiah Crowell, but he gets the lion’s share of receiving downs and has big play ability with his elusiveness. The combination of talent and coaching from Hue Jackson has me very high on Johnson this year.”
Dennis Esser (Coach Esser)

Wide Receivers

Mike Wallace, Ravens
ADP: #181 Overall | #59 WR

What’s your take: Is he undervalued?

“Apparently, the Ravens were not convinced that last year’s first-round pick Breshad Perriman is an immediate lock to fill their need for a deep threat. They signed Wallace in hopes to fill that void. Clearly, Wallace wasn’t the perfect fit in an Adrian Peterson-centric offense in Minnesota or with Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill the two seasons before that. As ESPN.com noted, Baltimore will give Wallace the chance to do what he does best: Run straight down the field (and hopefully past defenders). Remember, in Joe Flacco’s first seven seasons, he threw 108 passes that traveled 40 yards or more in the air. That’s 20 more than any other quarterback over that span. He completed 28 of them. Last season, Vikings QB Teddy Bridgewater attempted four such passes. He connected on none of them. If Wallace can cash in on this opportunity, he’s going to far outproduce his current WR4/5 ADP.”
Bob Harris (Football Diehards)

Donte Moncrief, Colts
ADP: #83 Overall | #34 WR

What’s your take: Is he undervalued?

“It seems Andrew Luck’s extended absence has made people forget Donte Moncrief was on his way to a breakout last year. The soon-to-be 23-year-old averaged 14 PPR fantasy points per game in Luck’s seven starts. All told, he turned in one of the better statistical seasons in the last 15 years for a 22-year-old wide receiver. With Andre Johnson and Coby Fleener leaving behind a combined 161 targets, Moncrief will have every opportunity to take a huge step forward in his third season. He’s being drafted behind at least 10 wide receivers he shouldn’t be.”
Phil Alexander (Footballguys)

Kamar Aiken, Ravens
ADP: #229 Overall | #68 WR

What’s your take: Is he undervalued?

“Aiken had 83 targets for 50 receptions, 611 yards, and 3 TDs during the second half of the 2015 season (after the Ravens Week 9 bye). He is being ranked outside the top 50 of every site and is unranked on several. There are plenty of questions surrounding Baltimore’s receiving corp, so the 27-year-old is likely to see the most snaps of the bunch. He could be a WR2 every week, yet he is being drafted as a WR4 or later. Buy now.”
Taylor Christianson (FFLockerRoom)

Randall Cobb, Packers
ADP: #43 Overall | #20 WR

What’s your take: Is he undervalued?

“I expect Cobb to bounce back with Jordy Nelson back in the lineup for Green Bay. Cobb is a nice WR2 target with top-10 potential. Also, I like San Diego’s passing offense this season, and newly-signed Travis Benjamin should have a big role, while going fairly late in drafts. Finally, Torrey Smith is going after 52 other wideouts, but is currently a WR1 for an offense led by a supposed guru in Chip Kelly.”
Jody Smith (Gridiron Experts)

Torrey Smith, 49ers
ADP: #151 Overall | #53 WR

What’s your take: Is he undervalued?

“Torrey Smith is going off the board roughly as the 53rd wide receiver taken. I have that as criminally undervalued. When you combine what #1 WRs with speed have done in Chip Kelly’s system, and the fact that Anquan Boldin is no longer in San Francisco, you have the outlook for a nice bounce-back season for Smith. Between shoddy QB play and the 49ers’ offensive ineptitude last season, you have to give Smith a break on his 2015 numbers. I believe Gabbert will win the job and be a serviceable NFL quarterback in 2016. Do I believe Smith is going to be a week-to-week WR2? No, but I do believe he will occasionally be streamed as a #2 WR and have nice upside as a WR3 for 2016.”
Dennis Esser (Coach Esser)

Quarterbacks

Jay Cutler, Bears
ADP: #190 Overall | #27 QB

What’s your take: Is he undervalued?

“Cutler is coming off a season in which he posted the second-highest completion percentage (64.4%), and highest yards per pass attempt average (7.58) of his career. Departed offensive coordinator Adam Gase received much of the credit for Cutler’s increased efficiency, but new Bears offensive coordinator Dowell Loggains (the quarterbacks coach under Gase last season) has worked closely with Cutler and plans to maintain the principles of Gase’s system in 2016. Assuming Alshon Jeffery and Kevin White remain healthy, Cutler will have one of the most talented wide receiver combos in the league at his disposal. If Cutler only performs to his current ADP, it will be something close to the worst possible outcome. He’s a solid late-round quarterback committee member with top-12 upside.”
Phil Alexander (Footballguys)

Jay Cutler is ranked outside the top 20 QBs according to every site, yet Kirk Cousins comes in at QB 16 overall. I’d argue that Cutler has more experience, a better coaching situation, and better offensive weapons than the QBs ahead of him. Alshon Jeffery, Kevin White, Zach Miller, and a RBBC can provide Cutler with enough fire power to finish as a top 15 QB in fantasy this season.”
Taylor Christianson (FFLockerRoom)

Eli Manning, Giants
ADP: #98 Overall | #11 QB

What’s your take: Is he undervalued?

“Eli Manning has now posted two of his best statistical seasons in Ben McAdoo’s offense. The newly-promoted head coach expects even more in 2016. “Eli, I still think his best football is in front of him,” McAdoo recently said. As ESPN.com noted, Manning averaged 4,421 passing yards, 32.5 touchdown passes, 14 interceptions and completed 62.8 percent of his passes in two years with McAdoo as the coordinator. His career averages in those categories are 3,922 yards, 26 touchdowns, 17 interceptions and a 59.3 completion percentage. Given the way he’s taken to McAdoo’s system, Manning looks like a lock to continue playing well. The fact that Odell Beckham offers him a home-run threat with every snap doesn’t hurt. Also worth noting: Manning has started every game for the Giants since becoming their starter midway through his rookie season in 2004.”
Bob Harris (Football Diehards)

Philip Rivers, Chargers
ADP: #105 Overall | #14 QB

What’s your take: Is he undervalued?

“Rivers annually produces top-10 passing numbers and averaged around 30 touchdown tosses per season, but he’s being dramatically overlooked this year. First, he’s back playing for QB-guru Ken Whisenhunt, which should only help the San Diego passing attack. The Chargers also still employ a rushing attack that is questionable at best, meaning they’ll continue to rely on Rivers’ arm to move the ball. Finally, the Chargers improved their receiving corps via the draft and free agency. I see Rivers as a top-10 passer this year that comes with a steep discount price tag.”
Jody Smith (Gridiron Experts)

Joe Flacco, Ravens
ADP: #246 Overall | #32 QB

What’s your take: Is he undervalued?

“Flacco is the forgotten man in Baltimore. He was having one of his best statistical seasons in 2015, his first under Marc Trestman, before injuries hit. He was on pace for over 4,400 passing yards and 27 combined TDs. Right now he is going off the board at QB32 which is a bit insane to me. He is one of my favorite targets in best ball and 2-QB leagues with the way he is being treated by the drafting community. With Breshad Perriman finally healthy and the additions of Ben Watson and Mike Wallace, we could see a career year from the Super Bowl winner.”
Dennis Esser (Coach Esser)

Thank you to our experts for contributing their thoughts, you can follow them on Twitter here.

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