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Top Dynasty Asset & Sell Candidate: NFC South (2022 Fantasy Football)

Jun 26, 2022
DJ Moore

Several factors go into building a consistently elite dynasty team. One of those is identifying the top player on every NFL team. Another is knowing which players you should trade away before their fantasy value decreases.

Typically the starting quarterback is the top dynasty asset on every NFL team in Superflex leagues. However, they are rarely the top asset in 1QB leagues. To help you build the best dynasty team possible, I will identify the top dynasty asset and sell candidates for every NFL team.

Today I breakdown the NFC South teams: the Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, New Orleans Saints, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Fantasy Football Redraft Draft Kit

The Top Dynasty Asset

Kyle Pitts (TE – ATL)

Many considered Pitts the dynasty TE1 even before the Falcons used the fourth overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft on him. While his rookie season failed to meet the ultra-high expectations, Pitts had over 1,000 receiving yards and 100 targets. Despite scoring only one touchdown, Pitts ended the year as the TE6, averaging 10.4 PPR fantasy points per game. More importantly, Pitts has plenty of room to grow from here. Last year, the top-five tight ends in PPR averaged 7.4 receiving touchdowns. If Pitts had scored 7.4 touchdowns instead of one, he would have ended the year as the TE3. The sky is the limit for Pitts.

DJ Moore (WR – CAR)

Despite a merry-go-round of disastrous quarterbacks, Moore has averaged at least 14 PPR fantasy points per game each of the past three years. Furthermore, he has finished as a top-24 PPR wide receiver every year since 2019 despite scoring under five touchdowns each season. After four productive years, Moore signed a three-year extension this offseason. He is now under contract through the 2025 season. More importantly, the Panthers haven’t added anyone to challenge Moore’s role as the No. 1 wide receiver in Carolina. So while the quarterback situation is still a mess, Moore has proven he’s quarterback-proof.

Chris Olave (WR – NO)

The New Orleans offense looks drastically different than it did a year ago. Arguably the biggest addition was Olave. He was a force at Ohio State, averaging 15.4 yards per reception in his college career. Furthermore, Olave had a breakout age of 19.2, putting him in the 85th percentile. While the Saints signed Jarvis Landry after the draft, it was only a one-year deal. Furthermore, Michael Thomas has played only seven games the past two years because of injuries and still isn’t 100% because of an ankle injury. So not only is Olave the WR1 of the future for the Saints, but he might also need to step into that role as a rookie.

Chris Godwin (WR – TB)

While the veteran is coming off a torn ACL, Godwin has been one of the better PPR wide receivers over the past three years. He has averaged 83 receptions for 1,092 receiving yards and seven touchdowns per year, averaging 17.7 PPR fantasy points per game during that span. Furthermore, Godwin had two top-16 finishes in the past three years, including the overall WR2 in 2019. After signing a three-year extension this offseason, Godwin is under contract through the 2024 season. While Tom Brady might not play another three years, Godwin had his best fantasy season in 2019 with Jameis Winston. Regardless of who is under center for the Buccaneers, Godwin will remain a PPR machine for the next few years.

The Top Sell Candidate

Cordarrelle Patterson (RB – ATL)

Over the first eight years of his career, Patterson wasn’t much of a fantasy asset. He averaged over six PPR fantasy points per game only once before last season. Furthermore, Patterson had 18 receiving and rushing touchdowns over the first seven years of his career. By comparison, he had 11 touchdowns last year. However, Patterson struggled to close out last season. Over the first 14 weeks of the year, Patterson was the RB7 in PPR, averaging 17.7 fantasy points per game. However, he was the RB51, averaging only 5.5 fantasy points per game over the final four weeks of the year. Now is the time to trade away the veteran.

Christian McCaffrey (RB – CAR)

McCaffrey has been a fantasy superstar when healthy. He has averaged 25.6 PPR fantasy points per game since his rookie season. However, McCaffrey has struggled to stay healthy recently, missing 70% of the games the past two years. By comparison, he never missed a game over the first three years of his career. His struggles with injuries over the past few years are partly due to his heavy workload. McCaffrey had 729 touches during the 2018 and 2019 seasons. After those two years is when the injuries started. The Panthers will likely limit McCaffrey’s workload to keep him healthy. If they don’t, it’s only a matter of time until he suffers another injury. Trade the former superstar before another injury hits.

Alvin Kamara (RB – NO)

The veteran running back has been a fantasy superstar since he entered the NFL. Kamara has averaged 13.4 scrimmage touchdowns and 20.9 PPR fantasy points per season for his career. However, he showed signs of slowing down last season. Kamara missed a career-high four games dealing with a knee injury. He also had a career-low 234.7 PPR fantasy points and a career-low 3.7 yards per rushing attempt.

Furthermore, his work in the passing game took a massive hit after Drew Brees retired after the 2020 season. Kamara averaged 6.8 targets per game in the four years with Brees. By comparison, he averaged only 5.2 per game last season. So unless you are a contending team, now is the time to trade away Kamara.

Tom Brady (QB – TB)

After a quick 40-day retirement, Brady is back. Despite his young age of 44, Brady led the league in several passing categories last season, including passing yards (5,316), passing touchdowns (43) and passes completed (485). While Brady has a talented trio of wide receivers, he recently lost his favorite target in Rob Gronkowski. Furthermore, Godwin likely won’t be ready for Week 1. More importantly, Todd Bowles is the new head coach in Tampa. The offense will remain the same, but Bowles will want to run the ball and rely on the defense more than Bruce Arians did last year. So take advantage of Brady’s short return and trade away the GOAT unless your championship window is this season.

CTAs


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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.

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