Top Dynasty Asset & Sell Candidate: AFC West (2022 Fantasy Football)
Several factors go into building a consistently elite dynasty team. One of those is identifying the top player on every NFL team. Another is knowing which players you should trade away before their fantasy value decreases.
Typically the starting quarterback is the top dynasty asset on every NFL team in Superflex leagues. However, they are rarely the top asset in 1QB leagues. So, to help you build the best dynasty team possible, I will identify the top dynasty asset and sell candidates for every NFL team.
Today I breakdown the AFC West teams: the Denver Broncos, Kansas City Chiefs, Las Vegas Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers.
- Top Dynasty Asset & Sell Candidates: AFC East
- Top Dynasty Asset & Sell Candidates: AFC North
- Top Dynasty Asset & Sell Candidates: AFC South
The Top Dynasty Asset
No one was happy to hear Melvin Gordon re-signed with the Broncos this offseason as Williams was on his way to a featured role in 2022. However, Denver re-signed the veteran running back to a one-year deal. While that isn’t ideal for Williams’ fantasy value, it’s not the end of the world either. Williams averaged 12.1 PPR fantasy points per game last season, making him the RB26 on a per-game basis.
Meanwhile, Gordon averaged 12.2 PPR fantasy points per game and was the RB24 on a per-game basis last year. The new coaching staff will want to use both running backs, but Williams should take over as the lead back. Hopefully, Williams will have the featured role starting in 2023 and turn into a top-five dynasty running back.
Despite his “down” year in 2021, Mahomes still finished as the QB4, averaging 21.3 fantasy points per game. More importantly, Mahomes finished the year as a top-seven quarterback every season since taking over as the starter, throwing for at least 37 touchdowns in three of those years.
The loss of Tyreek Hill hurts Mahomes’ long-term value to some degree. However, the Chiefs did an excellent job adding weapons this offseason, including draft darling Skyy Moore. Unless Travis Kelce forgets how to play football, Mahomes has enough weapons around him to remain a top-three dynasty startup quarterback for the next several years.
While the move from Green Bay to Las Vegas wasn’t ideal for his fantasy value, Adams remains one of the top five wide receivers in fantasy football. Derek Carr isn’t Aaron Rodgers, but he is coming off arguably his best year in the NFL. Having Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow on the team will hurt and help Adams’ fantasy production. While he won’t see a 31.6% target share as he did in Green Bay last year, Adams won’t consistently see a double or triple team either. As a result, he may not have overall WR1 upside anymore. However, Adams should remain a high-end WR1 for the next few years despite the change in his situation.
After dealing with injuries as a rookie, Williams had 10 receiving touchdowns in his second NFL season. He then had 1,000 receiving yards the following year. While his 2020 numbers were down, it was Justin Herbert‘s first year in the NFL. However, Williams exploded last year with career-highs across the board. More importantly, Williams ended the year as the WR9 in non-PPR and the WR12 in PPR despite Keenan Allen finishing the year as a top-15 wide receiver in both scoring formats. Williams re-signed with the Chargers this offseason and is now under contract through the rest of Herbert’s rookie deal. With Allen recently turning 30 years old, Williams should replace him as the WR1 in Los Angeles this year or next.
The Top Sell Candidate
Gordon has been one of the more consistent fantasy running backs. He has averaged at least 12.2 PPR fantasy points per game every year since his rookie season, including 18 or more in three of those years. However, Gordon had the worst year of his career in the passing game last season, averaging only 3.8 PPR fantasy points per game in the air.
Furthermore, he recently turned 29 years old and is at the end of his career. Gordon is still a valuable piece to a contending team as he is an injury to Williams away from a likely top-15 finish. However, fantasy teams with no shot at winning the title this year should trade Gordon away in the next few months.
There hasn’t been a more dominant tight end in the history of fantasy football than Kelce. He has finished as a top-two tight end in six straight seasons despite averaging 7.8 touchdowns per year during that span. While Kelce has been a fantasy superstar for years, now is the time to trade him away, especially if you aren’t a contending team. He will turn 33 years old during the 2022 season. While he likely remains with the team for another couple of years, his decline could be right around the corner. If you can land a 2023 first-round pick and a young tight end with upside like Dalton Schultz, that’s a deal you should accept for Kelce.
While he has averaged only 3.95 yards per rushing attempt since his rookie year, Jacobs has averaged at least 15 PPR fantasy points per game every year during that span. However, the Raiders declined his fifth-year option this offseason, making Jacobs a free agent after this season. They also signed a pair of running backs in free agency and used a fourth-round pick on Zamir White.
Head coach Josh McDaniels and general manager Dave Ziegler come from New England and likely have a similar mindset of not paying their running backs. Unless he has a magnificent 2022 season, Jacobs won’t have a featured role next season regardless of where he lands. Now is the time to sell the veteran running back.
Trading away Ekeler might be a tough pill to swallow. Last year he finished as the RB2, averaging a career-high 21.5 PPR fantasy points per game. However, his touchdown rate jumped to 7.3% last year. By comparison, it was only 4.1% before the 2021 season. Furthermore, Ekeler had 25 touchdowns in his first 56 career games.
Last year he had 20 touchdowns, most in the NFL. Despite a career-high 206 rushing attempts, Ekeler failed to rush for 920 yards last season. The Chargers also used a fourth-round pick on Isaiah Spiller, who should impact Ekeler’s touchdown production. With all the weapons the Chargers have on offense, Ekeler isn’t critical to the team’s success. Rebuilding teams need to move Ekeler sometime this offseason.
If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant – which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and by how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.