The NFL season is quickly approaching! There are many players who are going to fluctuate in value between now and the season starting.
- Snake Draft Pick Strategy: Early | Middle | Late
- Draft Targets for Every Round: Early | Middle | Late
- Fantasy Football Draft Strategy
- 2023 Fantasy Football Draft Kit
ADP Player Values for the Late Rounds (Fantasy Football 2023)
Round 10: Rashod Bateman (WR – BAL)
As mentioned with Dobbins, this is a new offense, and the words that keep coming up in reports are pace and verticality. Monken will stretch the field and utilize players like Greg Roman never did. Odell Beckham Jr. is the highest-paid receiver on the Ravens, but he’s much more likely to be used in situational plays and in the red zone than Bateman, who likely leads the position in snaps. Bateman’s career has been interrupted by injuries, but he has a good chance to be healthy in time for the season. In the words of Lamar Jackson, he’s “WR1.”
Round 11: Geno Smith (QB – SEA)
In case you don’t remember, Geno Smith went to the Pro Bowl in 2022, and now he’s signed a contract that ties him to the Seahawks for, at a minimum, this year as the starter. Last year Smith had a QB rating of 105.3, which was behind only Tua Tagovailoa, and his 26 passing touchdowns were the fourth-most in the league. With an additional weapon in Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Smith looks like one of the best double-digit round quarterbacks.
Geno Smith pic.twitter.com/pGiTJ8vk8D
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) June 14, 2023
Round 12: Rondale Moore (WR – ARI)
Rondale Moore is often thought of as a pure slot receiver, but he did play on 39% of 2-WR sets during games he was active last year. New head coach Jonathan Gannon has talked about wanting to get Moore involved more vertically. If Moore plays on 2-WR sets consistently and is out there when Murray is healthy, it could be a fun time for fantasy football, with the Cardinals’ defense looking like they’ll put the offense in plenty of pass-heavy scripts.
Rondale Moore played on 39% of the Cardinals' 2-WR set snaps last year when active (more than I remembered), and I think this new offense will increase his aDOT.
Hard to really break out in Arizona, but things are aligning for his best year by a wide margin.
— Hayden Winks (@HaydenWinks) June 6, 2023
Round 13: Kyler Murray (QB – ARI)
At a certain point, there could be too many Cardinals in this article, but we can squeeze one more in because Murray absolutely looks like a value here. Murray has averaged 6.8 rush attempts per game throughout his four-year career in the NFL, along with 0.41 rushing touchdowns per game. This averages out to over six fantasy points per week before we consider Murray’s passing work. This has helped Murray to average 20.0 fantasy points per game over the last two years. If we are forced to reduce that rushing number by 50%, we’re still looking at 17 points per game, which is a healthy number for a quarterback in this range.
Round 14: Juwan Johnson (TE – NO)
Normally tight ends who perform above expectation pick up more steam than this, yet Juwan Johnson seems to be suppressed by Taysom Hill‘s shadow. Travis Kelce, Hill and George Kittle were the only tight end-eligible players to score more touchdowns than Johnson’s seven in 2022.
Round 15: Matthew Stafford (QB – LAR)
Matthew Stafford looks to be healthy ahead of a make-or-break season for him and the Rams. Last year, Stafford struggled behind an offensive line that was a mess, and led to him being sacked at a career-high rate of 27% on plays where pressure was generated by the defense. When Stafford was kept safe by his line, his clean pocket completion rate was 72.4%, identical to 2021. Even when pressured, Stafford’s completion rate jumped to a career-high 54.7%. If the Rams’ defense is as bad as expected, Stafford could be put in fantasy-friendly, pass-heavy scripts often.
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