The 2023 NFL Draft is in the books. With the NFL Draft comes dynasty rookie draft season! We have you covered with our dynasty rookie draft coverage, and of course, you can complete fast and FREE dynasty rookie mock drafts using our mock draft simulator. While you take that simulator for a spin to prepare for your dynasty rookie mock drafts, check out our latest dynasty rookie mock and analysis from our analysts.
- Dynasty Trade Value Chart
- Dynasty Rookie Primers: QB | RB | WR | TE
- Dynasty Rookie Draft Sleepers: QB | RB | WR | TE
- Dynasty Rookie Draft Simulator
Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft
1.03 – Bryce Young (QB – CAR)
Bryce Young has the arm strength to make all the NFL-level throws, but he’ll never be confused as a quarterback with a rifle for an arm. When he fails to set his feet in the pocket and attempts to put zip on the ball, he can get erratic with low throws or sailing the ball. His accuracy on the run is surprisingly good and fluid, though, as he throws with touch with enough juice. Young can lace some balls into tight windows and deep to the boundaries when he’s in rhythm and feeling it (Georgia SEC Championship 2021).
He can also be erratic, especially past 25-30 yards downfield. Young’s pocket presence is solid as he displays escapability and playmaking ability outside of structure. He can utilize multiple arm angles in the pocket and on the move to facilitate accurate passes. His rushing upside is real at the NFL level. He rarely takes big hits, protecting himself well by sliding. His open-field agility and burst are nice.
Young has all the tools to succeed in the NFL, but some areas of his game still need to be polished. He is sometimes slow on the trigger, looking a second behind on some progressions and throws. Young will lock onto his first read and attempt some head-scratching passes into tight coverage when open receivers are running crossers over the middle of the field. This is more evident in his 2022 film, with a downgraded cast of characters surrounding him. It still popped up in 2021, but he played with more confidence in this season with Jameson Williams and John Metchie at his side.
Young reminds me of watching Trevor Lawrence‘s final season film in that regard. Young plays with tempered aggression, but he’s still learning. He has no issues fitting the ball into a tight window in the short and intermediate regions or taking the check down when nothing is open. In 2022, he opted for check downs or to take off running more which can be a reflection of his surrounding cast, but it’s also a reflection of him. There are moments during that season where he bailed clean pockets or missed open wide receivers when he failed to come off his first read. Young is still trying to find the perfect balance between aggression and taking what the defense gives him.
Dynasty Outlook: The Carolina Panthers held to their word and selected Bryce Young first overall in the NFL Draft. Young is in good hands under Frank Reich and Josh McCown, who should create a stable environment for the talented rookie to grow. Young will have a solid offensive line to sit behind and toss darts. Last year Carolina was the 10th-highest-graded offensive line per PFF, allowing the fourth-lowest pressure rate. Young has a decent set of pass catchers to throw to, with D.J. Chark, Adam Thielen, Jonathan Mingo, Terrace Marshall and Hayden Hurst leading the way. Young should be helped by Reich’s love for incorporating screens in his passing game. In two of his last three seasons directing an NFL offense, his starting quarterback finished top-10 (fifth, ninth) in screen attempts (per PFF). Young’s fantasy ceiling remains in question, but his floor should be high as a strong QB2 in fantasy as soon as 2023. Young is a top-four pick in superflex dynasty rookie drafts.
2.03 – Marvin Mims (WR – DEN)
Marvin Mims is a smooth run-after-the-catch field chewer. His long, striding open field speed sneaks up on corners. He transitions from receiver to runner well. His fluid hips serve him well with subtle direction changes on posts and working underneath with stop routes and quick outs. Mims was tasked with a limited route tree at Oklahoma, with stops, screens, crossers, and posts making up most of his repertoire.
Mims should be utilized as a slot option in the NFL from the outset. His best reps come inside against off-coverage, where he can win with his speed and after-the-catch ability. He looks clunky when saddled with go routes and double moves on the outside. Corners that can run with him have no problem staying in his back pocket. He routinely leaves corners unstacked on the perimeter, which leads to problems at the catch point. Mims can beat man or press coverage with speed if the opposing corner isn’t up to the foot race. Mims isn’t a 50/50 ball dominator, but his strong vertical jump (89th percentile) shows up when asked to high-point balls. He also flashes impressive body control on these throws and near the boundary.
Dynasty Outlook: Sean Payton traded up in the second round to get his guy. Mims could be a part-time player this season, with Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, and Tim Patrick filling out three-wide sets. He may beat out Patrick in camp for the final starting spot. Patrick can be cut after this year, saving the Broncos nearly $11 million against the cap. The current coaching staff has no allegiances to Patrick, so Mims starting in Week 1 wouldn’t be a shock. Mims is a borderline first-round rookie draft pick, but in many drafts, he’ll still be available in the early second round.
3.03 – Luke Musgrave (TE – GB)
Luke Musgrave’s intriguing raw athleticism needs to translate to the field more. People will fawn over his testing metrics, but the sad thing is he is only a gym shorts hype machine. Musgrave managed only two missed tackles forced and 3.8 yards after the catch per reception in his collegiate career. These numbers are dreadful. Musgrave is a catch-and-fall down tight end. Musgrave can get knocked off his routes by physical linebackers easily. His lack of play strength also shows up at the catch point and in the blocking department. Musgrave secured only 38.9% of his contested targets in college.
He is a matador in blocking. At this point, he lacks the tenacity required to become even an average blocker. He looks like a player just going through the motions when blocking as he engages passively with oncoming defenders. He rarely anchors well and never drives a defender back. Musgrave does flash an impressive burst off the line with the speed to stretch the seam. His route running is raw at this juncture, but he does have fluid hips that allow him to turn on a dime. His catch radius is solid, especially when asked to adjust to shoestring targets.
Dynasty Outlook: We’ve seen Green Bay utilize a hyper-athletic tight end to some fantasy success (Robert Tonyan) in the past. I’m notably lower on Musgrave than consensus. His theoretical upside is tied to his impressive athletic profile. If you take that away, he has little on-field production to back up the hope and hype. If you’re looking for a mid or late-round tight-end dart for your dynasty squad, I get tossing it in his direction. Musgrave is my TE7 for this class (Tier 5). If you’re following my ranks closely for your rookie drafts, you’re unlikely to draft Musgrave much, and I’m OK with that. I’d rather dynasty GMs attempt to move around in drafts to snag his teammate Tucker Kraft over Musgrave.
4.03 – Deuce Vaughn (RB – DAL)
Deuce Vaughn was one of the most productive backs in the class who runs with patience, burst, suddenness and a surprising amount of power for a player with his frame. He was also a bigger part of his team’s passing game than many of his peers in the class. However, although he plays bigger than his size, he is much smaller than usual for a pro running back at 5-foot-5, 179 pounds, which will likely limit him to a third-down/change-of-pace role at the next level.
Dynasty Outlook: Dallas addressed running back in the sixth round of this year’s NFL Draft, adding Vaughn. It’s hard to look past the sheer dominance Vaughn displayed in his three years at Kansas State. He totaled over 4,800 yards from scrimmage and 43 TDs en route to a class-leading 35% career college dominator rating.
He’s not a bruiser by any means, but he could emerge as a nice breather-back for No. 1 rusher Tony Pollard.
5.03 – Tyler Scott (WR – CHI)
Tyler Scott’s burst and short-area quickness pop immediately on film. He’s immediately lightning with the ball in his hands. Scott has an easy change of direction ability with little to no speed sacrificed in the process. He flashes a deep and varied release package at the line. He can win with speed or precision footwork. Scott varies his tempo with his releases and his route pacing. He can win from the outside (96.2% of his snaps in college as a perimeter receiver). Scott has fantastic ball tracking on deep routes. He saved his quarterback more than a few times by adjusting to underthrown balls. Scott plays bigger than his size. His catch radius is larger than his frame would suggest because of his strong hands and high-pointing skills.
Dynasty Outlook: The selection of Scott in the fourth round by Ryan Poles was with an eye toward the future. Chicago has a fully stocked starting lineup of wide receivers, but Chase Claypool and Darnell Mooney are unrestricted free agents after this season. Scott won’t be a main contributor this season unless injury strikes, but he could move into the starting lineup in 2024. Scott is a final-round dart/taxi squad stash.
Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft Results & Board
More Dynasty Rookie Mock Drafts
- Superflex, TE-Premium
- Superflex, 4 Rounds
- Superflex, 5 Rounds
- Superflex, 12-Team
- Superflex, 10-Team
- 12-Team, PPR, 3 Rounds
- 12-Team, PPR, 2 Rounds
- Superflex, 5 Rounds (Early Pick | Middle | Late)
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio
