Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate features six games starting at 6:35 p.m. ET at DraftKings and FanDuel. Today’s pick ’em suggestions at Sleeper and Underdog are also from the six-game slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Monday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Jack Flaherty (DET) at HOU
According to FanGraphs, among tonight’s probable starters, Jack Flaherty has the lowest ERA (2.63), xERA (3.55), xFIP (3.09), SIERA (2.96) and WHIP (1.02). The veteran righty also has the highest strikeout rate (30.6 K%). Flaherty is unquestionably the best pitcher on tonight’s DFS main slate.
The veteran righty has a plus matchup and decent betting info. The Astros are tied for 24th in wRC+ (87) with a 22.7 K% versus righties and 19th in wRC+ (103) with a 21.4 K% at home in 2025. Additionally, the Tigers are -115, and the game’s total is 8.0 runs.
JP Sears (ATH) at TEX
JP Sears is an unexciting DFS pick. Still, on a slate light on high-end talent, he’s an adequate selection, namely at a cheaper salary than the forthcoming pitcher at DraftKings. In five starts spanning 28 innings this year, Sears has had the following stats.
- 3.21 ERA
- 3.83 xERA
- 4.36 xFIP
- 3.99 SIERA
- 1.11 WHIP
- Three wins
- Three quality starts
- 5.2 BB%
- 19.8 K%
Sears doesn’t have a pristine profile. Nevertheless, it’s rock-solid, and he has a favorable matchup and palatable betting info.
The Rangers are tied for 17th in wRC+ (86) with a 25.9 K% versus lefties and tied for 23rd in wRC+ (93) with a 21.7 K% at home this season. The Athletics are -110, and the game’s total is 9.0 runs.
Dustin May (LAD) vs. MIA
Dustin May is another solid-if-unspectacular pitching selection tonight. Among tonight’s probable starters, May has the fourth-best ERA (3.68), third-best xERA (3.67) and third-best xFIP (3.69). LA’s righty also has a 1.18 WHIP and 20.7 K% in four starts spanning 22 innings.
May can thrive in a tasty matchup tonight. The Marlins are 23rd in wRC+ (89) with a 24.7 K% versus righties and tied for 18th in wRC+ (84) with a 26.0 K% on the road this season.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
The Rockies have a mouthwatering matchup tonight in their hitter-friendly home ballpark. In four starts this year, Bryce Elder has been lit up for a 5.57 ERA, 4.50 xERA, 4.51 xFIP, 4.66 SIERA and 2.14 HR/9. Since last year, he’s coughed up a .389 wOBA to lefties and a .353 wOBA to righties. Colorado should crush him.
- Road (Globe Life Field)
- Game Total/Moneyline: 9.0 Runs/ATH -110
In three starts this year, Patrick Corbin has a 3.77 ERA. However, his 4.91 xERA, 4.26 xFIP and 4.56 SIERA indicate he was lucky. The veteran lefty’s body of work over the previous handful of seasons also suggests his ERA is due for significant regression. Among qualified pitchers since 2021, Corbin’s 5.67 ERA is the second-highest. The right-handed batters for the Athletics have the best opportunity to explode. The 666 righties who’ve faced Corbin since last season have had a .371 wOBA.
Core Studs
- In 341 plate appearances against lefties since 2023, Brent Rooker has had 22 homers, a .358 OBP, .273 ISO and 154 wRC+.
- In 399 career plate appearances against righties at home, Brenton Doyle has had 18 homers, a .311 OBP, .221 ISO and .335 wOBA.
- Michael Toglia is a matchup- and park-factor-driven pick at DraftKings, but less appealing on FanDuel. In 288 career plate appearances against righties at home, Toglia has had a .326 OBP, .158 ISO and .314 wOBA.
Value Plays/Punts
- In 27 games and 106 plate appearances this season, Jacob Wilson has three homers, 15 runs, 14 RBIs, one stolen base, a .340 OBP, .144 ISO and 135 wRC+.
- Jordan Beck is having a monstrous season at the dish. In 17 games and 54 plate appearances this year, Beck has five homers, nine runs, 10 RBIs, four stolen bases, a .352 OBP, .370 ISO, .414 wOBA and 151 wRC+. He’s comically underpriced at DraftKings and reasonably priced at FanDuel.
- In 107 plate appearances against southpaws since 2023, Luis Urias has four homers, a .333 OBP, .182 ISO and 110 wRC+.
Monday’s Top 3 Sleeper and Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Brent Rooker: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher (Sleeper) (1.66x)
Brent Rooker: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher (Underdog)
The 666 right-handed batters who’ve faced Corbin since last year have had 192 hits (126 singles, 34 doubles, seven triples and 25 homers) a .313 batting average and .513 slugging. Conversely, in 342 plate appearances against lefties since 2023, Rooker has had 86 hits (48 singles, 15 doubles, one triple and 22 homers), a .286 batting average, .561 slugging and .276 ISO.
Matt Olson: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Sleeper) (1.53x)
Matt Olson: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Underdog)
Matt Olson has had brutal batted-ball luck this year, as evidenced by his .221 batting average, .277 xBA, .389 slugging and .577 xSLG. Still, in 27 games and 117 plate appearances, he has 21 hits, 13 runs and 15 RBIs. Furthermore, Olson will get a lift from the park factors at Coors Field and facing Ryan Feltner tonight. Since last season, Feltner has coughed up a .270 batting average. .342 OBP and .436 slugging to 419 left-handed batters.
Jordan Beck: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Sleeper) (1.78x)
Jordan Beck: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Underdog)
In 17 games and 54 plate appearances this season, Beck has 12 hits, a .261 batting average, .208 xBA, .630 slugging, .541 xSLG, nine runs and 10 RBIs. He’s batted second in his previous two games after hitting leadoff three games ago. Thus, Beck is in an excellent spot for run production. Furthermore, Elder has yielded a .295 batting average and .486 slugging to 154 righties since last season.
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
