The players below are the ones I’m looking at for NFL DFS GPP considerations this week. Salaries marked with an * indicate a strong value in pricing difference on FanDuel.
Week 8 NFL DFS GPP Advice & Picks
Quarterbacks
Caleb Williams has been frustrating and inconsistent this year. Still, he has shown upside in excellent matchups, particularly his Week 3 matchup with Dallas, where he threw for nearly 300 yards and four touchdowns, finishing as the QB1 on the week.
The players below are the ones I’m looking at for NFL DFS GPP considerations this week. Salaries marked with an * indicate a strong value in pricing difference on FanDuel.
Week 8 NFL DFS GPP Advice & Picks
Quarterbacks
Caleb Williams has been frustrating and inconsistent this year. Still, he has shown upside in excellent matchups, particularly his Week 3 matchup with Dallas, where he threw for nearly 300 yards and four touchdowns, finishing as the QB1 on the week.
Williams is a matchup play this week. Baltimore is second only to the Dallas Cowboys in fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks. We should also see low rostership on Williams this week after he was a busted popular play last week.
Lamar Jackson will be a popular play this week, but with good reason. He has the highest ceiling of any quarterback on the slate, and we’re getting a nice discount on his salary. You likely won’t be able to touch him at this price again. The Ravens have been struggling overall, but from a fantasy perspective, Jackson has finished as a top-five quarterback in three of his four starts against Buffalo, Cleveland and Detroit.
Over those three games, Jackson had 10 total touchdowns and zero interceptions. The Ravens’ defensive struggles are beneficial for us from a fantasy perspective because they force Jackson to chase points. This week’s matchup against Chicago should be more competitive, but Chicago’s defense is still an excellent matchup.
Additional Considerations
Running Backs
Despite having three touchdowns against Philadelphia just two weeks ago, Cam Skattebo isn’t projected for high rostership this week. Whether that’s skepticism around his production, his increased salary or expectations around a stronger performance from the Eagles’ defense this time around, take advantage of the low rostership.
Skattebo’s performance against the Eagles in Week 6 was the highest fantasy points the Eagles have allowed to a starting back, but it wasn’t an outlier. Multiple running backs have had strong performances against the Eagles this season.
Bo Nix will be one of the more popular plays this week, and Dobbins is a nice pivot from the chalk. Dallas has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs — that’s easy to forget just a week after Jacory Croskey-Merritt was a chalk play against Dallas and failed to reach five fantasy points. Dobbins has four touchdowns this season, is averaging nearly five yards per carry and his sub-$6,000 pricing on DraftKings makes him a solid value play.
Bears players aren’t projected for significant rostership, while all of the Ravens will be incredibly popular plays this week. That concept makes sense — the Bears have been inconsistent from a fantasy perspective, and the Ravens are in a must-win game. The Bears are also a seven-point underdog, but that isn’t a major issue because the over/under for this game is 49.5.
Points are expected on both sides of the ball, and using players from Chicago gives you an excellent combination of ceiling and low rostership. Over the past two weeks, D’Andre Swift has had over 100 yards on the ground in each game and a touchdown in each. The Ravens aren’t necessarily a layup against the run, but they have allowed big games to a variety of backs, especially ones with receiving upside, so Swift still has a big opportunity here.
Additional Considerations
Wide Receivers
Marvin Mims (WR – DEN) vs. DAL | DraftKings: $3,900/FanDuel: $5,200
Courtland Sutton is the priority here. His rostership should be half of the higher-priced chalk players, and No. 1 WRs have thrived against Dallas. Dallas’ defense has allowed big games to nearly every quarterback they’ve faced, including Bryce Young, Justin Fields and Russell Wilson. Dallas’ defensive struggles and the likelihood of a high-scoring game make this the perfect setup for all Broncos to produce.
Troy Franklin and Marin Mims are also strong value plays. Franklin has firmly established himself as the No. 2 WR behind Courtland Sutton, ranking second in both targets and snaps. When Bo Nix throws with volume, Franklin delivers. Mims is the flashier player and has the lower salary, so he’ll likely garner the higher rostership. Don’t be shocked if Mims’ rostership gets elevated to that of Sutton. Sean Payton continues to use him creatively, offering rushing upside as well. Frankin is a stronger contrarian value play, but both are playable.
Emeka Egbuka will be one of the most popular plays this week. While Tez Johnson doesn’t have the same ceiling as Egbuka, he offers solid value for his salary. He’s priced up a bit, but still has very reasonable pricing for a player who will be the clear No. 2 WR for Baker Mayfield in an excellent matchup against a New Orleans defense that can be exploited.
Johnson had four receptions on nine targets with a touchdown last week for a top-20 finish at the position despite Mayfield having his worst performance of the year. Mayfield should bounce back this week, and Johnson will be a direct beneficiary with both Mike Evans and Chris Godwin out.
Jaylin Noel is another solid value play this week, with Christian Kirk and Nico Collins trending towards being out. Collins’ absence likely benefits Jayden Higgins more, but with the Texans’ offensive line struggles, there’s higher value in production in the slot, giving Noel the edge in upside this week. Noel has averaged 10 fantasy points over the past two games.
Additional Considerations
Tight Ends
Mason Taylor will likely have low rostership despite having the best matchup of the week for tight ends. Cincinnati’s fantasy points allowed to tight ends are inflated by the onslaught of Steelers tight ends in Week 7, but they’ve been exploited all year.
Taylor is the only Jets tight end to record a reception over the past two weeks, and Garrett Wilson‘s status is still unclear. Even with a new quarterback, Taylor has an elevated ceiling in this matchup. Note that Taylor is dealing with an injury. If he’s unable to play, pivot to another tight end.
Dallas Goedert had an excellent performance in the first matchup between the Eagles and Giants with nine receptions on 11 targets for 110 yards and a touchdown.
However, because he’s coming off a performance where volume tilted back to the receivers, and Goedert had just three receptions for 18 yards, rostership should be fairly reasonable. Even with A.J. Brown out, Goedert should still have moderate rostership.
Additional Considerations
D/ST
Buffalo D/ST @ CAR | DraftKings: $3,300/FanDuel: $4,700
This is a boom-or-bust play. Andy Dalton is likely the starter, which means one thing — he’s either throwing three interceptions with fewer than 200 yards or three touchdowns with over 300 yards. That’s the Andy Dalton experience at this point.
Carolina has good weapons, and Dalton has played in this offense for multiple years, but Dalton is prone to volatility. Use Buffalo’s defense as an extreme high-upside play with the possibility of a pick-six, but differentiate with a safer option like the Bengals or Patriots.
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