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Players to Sell
Nico Collins caught 7 of 15 targets for 136 yards in Week 10 against the Jaguars, his most receiving yards in a game this season. Collins averaged a season-most 13.9 air yards per target, hauling in 4 of 9 targets on throws of 10+ air yards for 111 yards, his most receiving yards on such throws since Week 4 of 2024 against the Jaguars (Next Gen Stats). Collins also saw 6 RZ targets.
This is a matchup that Nico has predictably dominated. And 54 of his yards came on a Hail Mary attempt at the end of the second half.
And that’s why he is a screaming sell high.
Houston’s ROS schedule:
Bottom-3 for QBs in the playoffs and bottom-5 for WRs. And that was before the Colts acquired star CB Sauce Gardner.
The QB schedule has ZERO stars per the SOS tool from Weeks 15-17.
Bottom-2 for QBs rest of the season.
Collins makes sense as a logical “Sell” candidate – but what you will actually get for him is really the main point. After a big game, C.J. Stroud potentially coming back, you don’t need trade persuasion (S/O the tools on FantasyPros Trade Central) to spin a positive narrative for Collins, who ranks second to last in expected points scored UNDER expectation this season.
Definitely not interested in buying (especially with the Colts as tougher WR matchups).
I’d consider all of the Texans as sell candidates.
Breece Hall caught a 42-yard TD to go with 21 carries for 83 yards. He is the workhorse of this offense (70% snaps). High touch floor every week with the ability to rip off explosives at any given time.
But it’s another brutal matchup versus the Patriots. The schedule is tough. Weeks 15-16 are both on the road, and Week 17 is the Pats. Love Hall, but there’s a lot of risk being too heavily invested in the Jets in the fantasy postseason – I think you’ve got to sell high.
Michael Pittman Jr. (WR – IND)
Michael Pittman Jr. had just 2 catches for 19 yards on 2 official targets, though he lost another target to a penalty. With the passing volume heavily tilted toward Warren and Pierce — and the ground game dominating — Pittman was largely an afterthought in this game. He also drew the toughest CB matchup against Falcons’ CB A.J. Terrell.
Now, admittedly, the schedule ROS isn’t great. Bottom-10 ROS for WRs featuring teams like the Chiefs, Texans, and Seahawks.
49ers/Jags are awesome, but the overall schedule suggests some volatile play with the Colts’ No. 1 WR. Pittman is just WR33 in expected points per game this season compared to WR11 in actual points per game. The TDs are helping boost his numbers dramatically.
And his usage is actually very close to Pierce. Targets are near even in the 8 games they have played together. But Pierce has more yards with his big-play ability, while Pittman has more receptions (5.5/game).
I don’t want to overreact. The Colts attempted only 26 passes; Pittman remains the team’s WR1 but will fluctuate weekly in this run-heavy offense. But I think if somebody wants to pay for him as a clear-cut alpha WR, I think you can sell.
Between four talented pass catchers and JT, somebody will undoubtedly get left out in this Colts’ pass attack weekly. And the schedule is not great for WRs ROS.
But no Colts WR is playing better now than Pierce.
Keenan Allen saw a small usage role again—just 60% of the routes run on a 51% snap rate.
His second catch was in garbage time in an effort to get him to break the all-time Chargers receptions record (he needed two catches to achieve this).
The long-time veteran’s routes have now also dipped dangerously low in the last three games – sub-61%. Allen’s targets have dipped dramatically as a result of the last three games (five per game). That’s not a coincidence.
Worth noting that this playoff/late-season schedule could be tough on Caleb Williams. Look to sell high after Bengals/Giants.
Deebo Samuel continued to serve as Washington’s offensive engine. He tied for the team lead with a 23% target share (5 targets), catching 4 passes for 29 yards and a touchdown, while also drawing three red-zone targets and a 2-point conversion look.
Samuel’s tendencies to fall off in the second halves of seasons – especially in what looks like a lost year for Washington – are concerning. Samuel has finished outside the top-45 fantasy WRs in three of his last four games…despite averaging over five targets/game.
Had it not been for the TD – Samuel would have busted with under 45 yards for the four straight game. Sell-high ahead of the Miami matchup.
Keon Coleman followed closely with 8 targets (20%), converting 3 catches for 46 yards and a touchdown — but left 130 incomplete air yards on the field (44% air yards share).
Coleman continues to be Allen’s primary deep threat and contested-catch option, while Shakir thrives in the short and intermediate zones as the team’s de facto slot weapon.
The Bills are lacking WR playmakers. Coleman has underperformed despite training camp hype.
The lack of pop from Coleman since the season-opener has been sad to see. I don’t think he’s had the best matchups, but the second-year WR has not done enough.
There has been a clear decline in usage and production over the last three games. Obviously, this week he scored (although not efficiently) and he has a full-time role in this offense with a ton of high-value opportunities.
Hold him and see if he can build off this game. The Buccaneers are a solid matchup for WRs in Week 11. Or sell-high after he made a nice TD grab. After all, selling high after Week 1 would have netted you a great amount.
But if he can’t…add Joshua Palmer. He might return this week from IR. Palmer is also averaging over 2 yards per route run this season and has more 50-plus yard games than Coleman this season (out since Week 7). The coaches have be talking about Palmer and his impact when he returns. Keep in mind that Palmer was looking to be on track for a huge game versus Atlanta before he got hurt. And this current coaching staff is not satisifed with the current WR room…given the trade request they sent to try and acquire Jaylen Waddle.
Tyrone Tracy led the backfield in rushing. He wasn’t heavily involved as a receiver (2 targets, 1 catch for 0 yards). Tracy Jr played 66% snaps
Singletary handled 34% snaps with 8 carries, 8 routes and 3 targets. 8 carries for 20 yards (2.5 YPC) but making a bigger impact as a receiver with 3 catches for 53 yards, including a 41-yard catch-and-run on a broken play.
Tracy led the backfield, but Singletary reared his ugly head in the red zone with two GL carries. Even with Tracy as the lead, Singletary is often used in this capacity (inside the RZ).
After their fourth-quarter loss (their 4th this season when they were winning by 10-plus points on the road), the Giants fired HC Brian Daboll.
Mike Kafka will take over as the interim HC – so I wouldn’t expect a dramatic shift in offensive personnel usage. Although…Singletary has been well-known as Daboll’s guy, so this could be solid for Tracy.
But as I alluded to last week…the schedule does Tracy no favors, as the schedule is the toughest according to the FP SOS tool (especially over the next four weeks after the Bears game).
You might be able to ship Tracy off to an RB-needy roster.
Alvin Kamara totaled 25 touches for over 100 yards (64% snaps). 22 carries for 83 yards (3.8 YPC) and catching 3 passes for 32 yards, totaling 115 yards from scrimmage. Even so…he couldn’t crack fantasy RB1 status.
Devin Neal provided a spark off the bench with 4 carries for 22 yards (5.5 YPC) and 3 catches for 9 yards, showing burst and balance on limited touches. He continues to serve as a valuable complement to Kamara, especially when spelling him on passing downs or outside runs.
Not good for Kamara that the rookie tied him in targets despite running half the routes.
Taysom Hill was also involved. Hill (7 carries, 20 yards on a 37% snap rate) was involved situationally.
This backfield still features three different ball carriers. And Kamara is still PFF’s lowest graded RB. Sell. This could be the last time the Saints win this season.
But I will admit…a glimmer of light might be the ROS schedule. Decent overall, and top 10 for RBs in the playoffs: Jets/Titans Weeks 16-17.
Hence, why you should stash Neal in case Kamara is completely checked out by then.
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