4 Overvalued Fantasy Football Draft Picks to Avoid on Fantrax (2026)

With such a small number of players on any given fantasy football roster, making a pick that does not return value — at any point in the draft — can be dangerous and lead to a season spent out of the postseason. Finding the right players in a draft on any platform, including Fantrax, is essential to building a championship roster.

All drafts are different, and Fantrax has its own unique average draft position (ADP) and nuances when you enter a league on their platform. After participating in several mock drafts on that site, I have noticed several players being selected much too high compared to FantasyPros’ ADP.

Overvalued Fantasy Football Players to Avoid on Fantrax

Let’s look at four players to avoid based on Fantrax ADP compared to consensus ADP for redraft leagues.

Rashee Rice (WR – KC) | ADP: 23.7 (WR8)

Based on what information is available to us in mid-June, there is just too much risk here to make Rashee Rice a top-10 wide receiver in redraft leagues, and for him to return value as the WR8 is asking a lot.

Rice’s legal troubles continue to linger after he broke parole, and a recent knee procedure forced him to miss organized team activities (OTAs), in addition to the jail time. I’m sure over time, his ADP on Fantrax will catch up to the market, but if you are drafting right now, there are more reliable players at the wide receiver position available at the end of the second round.

Rice goes is the WR13 (32.3 overall) in consensus ADP. At that value, your team can roster two superstars before you consider taking on the risk of a player like Rice in the third round. When you roster Rice, you need his knee to be healthy, his legal troubles to go away, for him to avoid suspension and for Patrick Mahomes to come back strong in 2026.

Jeremiyah Love (RB – ARI) | ADP: 19.3 (RB12)

If you take Jeremiyah Love at pick 19 on Fantrax, instead of pick 26 (his consensus ADP), consider the players you are skipping to roster a rookie with an uncertain role in 2026: Derrick Henry, Nico Collins, A.J. Brown and Josh Allen. All of these players have proven their value with elite fantasy seasons.

Are you 100% certain that Love will not have an Ashton Jeanty or Marvin Harrison Jr. rookie season? That’s the gamble you are taking if you select Love in the middle of the first round on Fantrax.

Love certainly could come in and dominate in his rookie season. He had back-to-back seasons with at least 1,100 rushing yards and 19 total touchdowns in college. But we know that Tyler Allgeier and James Connor are on the roster, and this offense is in flux, with a quarterback battle still to come. A rookie taken before pick 20 is risky.

Get ready to dominate your draft with the 2026 Fantasy Football Draft Kit from FantasyPros.

Joe Burrow (QB – CIN) | ADP: 42.5 (QB2)

Seeing Joe Burrow go ahead of quarterbacks like Lamar Jackson and Drake Maye is quite shocking, but Burrow is firmly going as the QB2 on Fantrax. On other platforms, Burrow is the QB3 and goes a full seven picks later, after Jackson.

If Burrow were to have another season like 2024, with 45 total touchdowns and almost 5,000 passing yards, he would be worthy of this selection. But we also have to consider the possibility of a repeat of his 2025 season, in which Burrow played only eight games and threw 17 passing touchdowns while finishing with fewer than 2,000 yards in half a season.

We have seen what can happen if Burrown puts together a full season, and the Bengals’ defense doesn’t seem to have improved to the point where we won’t expect shootouts between the Bengals and their opponents.

But when selecting an elite quarterback, I want as little risk as possible. Lamar Jackson and Jayden Daniels certainly have their injury risk as well, but they also have the rushing upside that Burrow will never be able to match.

Malik Nabers (WR – NYG) | ADP: 28.4 (WR11)

We don’t yet know the full timeline for Malik Nabers’ recovery from a torn ACL and MCL, but there is a real chance he could end up on the physically unable to perform (PUP) list to start the season. If he does, and he misses the first four weeks of the season, Nabers can’t be drafted as the WR11 at the beginning of the third round.

Based on consensus ADP, Nabers comes off the board around pick 35, at the end of the third round in 12-team leagues. That value is still quite steep for a player with such an ambivalent timeline, but it’s more palpable.

In his four games last season, Nabers averaged 14.3 fantasy points and was starting to emerge as an elite wide receiver. He never got to play with Jaxson Dart, so there may be a whole other level that Nabers can unlock when healthy.

Nabers had a 28% target share and a 24% red-zone target share. Those numbers could increase with Dart, but I would much rather pay a late-third- or early-fourth-round price to find out rather than pick 28.