Fantasy Football Player Notes

Dobbins is extremely talented, there's no doubting that. However, if you think he's a breakout candidate to finish as a top-five running back, you're betting against the odds. Among the running backs who finished top-10 last year, just two of them finished there while seeing fewer than 39 targets. Those two running backs were Derrick Henry and Nick Chubb, who averaged 5.4 and 5.6 yards per carry, numbers no one can actually project to hit. They also scored 17 and 12 touchdowns on the ground, propping their numbers up. Dobbins saw just 24 targets last year, a number that's unlikely to move much considering he's in the same offense with the same quarterback, only with more weapons around him. If Dobbins can rush for over 5.0 yards per carry (he did last year) and score double-digit rushing touchdowns (again, hard to project), he's going to finish as a top-10 running back, but not top-five due to the lack of work in the passing game. He's best-suited as your RB2 who has RB1 in his range of outcomes.

Is it possible that Edwards is another version of Raheem Mostert? Someone who's never heavily used, but one who kills it with every opportunity he gets. He's averaged at least 5.0 yards per carry in each of his three seasons with the Ravens. Now that Mark Ingram is gone, it's possible we see Edwards top his 144-carry career mark from 2020, but the real issue is that he's obsolete in the passing game, totaling just 23 targets over 43 games. He's never caught more than two passes in a game. If J.K. Dobbins were to miss time, Edwards would be a solid RB2 in fantasy, though he'd be a bit more touchdown-dependent than most in that range.