Which WR3s Have WR1 Potential? (2018 Fantasy Football)
Owners drafting in the first few rounds expect to be able to acquire WR1s with their picks. Even as you venture into the WR15 to WR20 range, there are likely to be more than a few WR1 finishers by the end of the season. However, those diamonds in the rough come after the players expected to provide at least WR2 floors and being drafted as such.
Our writers take a look at players with ADPs over WR24 to provide you with current WR3s that have a legitimate shot at finishing the season as WR1s. Can it happen? Sure, just look at Adam Theilen last year.
With that, here are WR3s that carry WR1 potential.
The ADP numbers below come from our consensus ADP for PPR leagues.
Chris Hogan (NE) ADP WR25
At ADP 25.7 among wideouts, Hogan just barely qualifies, but he is the correct answer to this question. He proved it just last year. Prior to the injury his shoulder, Hogan was the 11th most valuable WR in 0.5 point-per-reception leagues over an eight-game game stretch. Now, with Brandin Cooks gone and Julian Edelman serving a four-game suspension, Hogan has even more upside. Tom Brady will be looking Hogan’s way early and often, so 1,000+ yards and 10+ TDs are entirely within reach.
Andrew Seifter – @andrew_seifter
I hate to be unoriginal, but Hogan is the only name that catches my attention here. He is going to be peppered with targets through the first four weeks of the season with Julian Edelman suspended and Brandin Cooks no longer in town, and as I have said multiple times, volume matters. I almost went with Jeffery, but he has an extensive history of soft-tissue injuries and that always scares me away. Keelan Cole is intriguing if he steps into Marqise Lee‘s role as the number one receiver in Jacksonville. They have the easiest schedule when it comes to facing off against opposing pass defenses.
Shane Davies – @fantasysd1
Corey Davis (TEN) WR26
When you watch the kid play, a younger Brandon Marshall immediately comes to mind. The Titans realize this too, which is why they spent a top-10 pick on him last year and are intending on focusing their passing attack around moving Davis all over the field. In order to finish that high, you need volume and touchdowns, both of which Davis not only can provide, but ought to be expected to provide. I’ve moved him into my top 20 wide receivers with no regret.
Bobby Sylvester – @bobbyfantasypro
Everything we’re hearing out of Titans training camp is that Davis is clearly the go-to guy in the offense. While some may scoff at that, we saw what Davis was capable in last year’s playoffs when healthy, hauling in nine passes for 98 yards and two touchdowns in the two games. Him struggling last year likely had to do with him missing almost all of training camp as a rookie and never developing chemistry with his quarterback. Now in a new offense with an entire offseason of work under his belt, there’s star potential here.
Mike Tagliere – @MikeTagliereNFL
Marquise Goodwin (SF) WR29
Currently being drafted as a mid WR3, Marquise Goodwin is the perfect candidate to finish as a shock top 12 WR. Quise is playing for a rapidly improving offense run by an offensive-minded head coach featuring the greatest quarterback in NFL history. He’s the clear No. 1 WR on his team and is proving to be more than just a deep man. He was the WR9 in an admittedly small sample size with Jimmy Garoppolo from Weeks 13-16 last season. The 49ers have a terrible defense and should be in a fair amount of shootouts. I would not be surprised if Jimmy G exceeded 600 pass attempts. With that type of volume, Goodwin could shock the world with a WR1 finish.
Jason Katz – @jasonkatz13
I am going to piggy back off of the Goodwin love. I’ve done three drafts so far, and I’ve landed him in all three leagues. This is great value for a guy who is the clear-cut No. 1 receiver in San Francisco. He started to develop some skills last season that made him an all-around receiver and not just a deep threat or a decoy. In the five games that Jimmy Garoppolo started last season, Goodwin averaged 4.5 receptions and 76.8 yards per game. He also only scored two touchdowns all of last year on 56 catches, so his TDs are sure to rise just on pure progression.
Jon Munshaw – @jon_munshaw
Emmanuel Sanders (DEN) WR31
Yes, Sanders had a bad 2017 season but he was plagued by injuries and poor QB play. He is now healthy, rejuvenated, and has a reliable quarterback. Denver beat writers are excited about Sanders and his connection with Case Keenum. If you believe the preseason and coach-speak, then he will play primarily out of the slot this year. Keenum loves to go to his slot receivers. Last year, he helped make Adam Thielen into a Top-10 WR. In 2014, Sanders was the No. 7 WR. Between 2014-2016, he averaged nearly 1,200 yards and 138 targets per year. He also had 20 TDs during that time.
Jamy Bechler – @WinningDFS101
Keelan Cole (JAC) WR64
Many of the high-upside options (Corey Davis, Sammy Watkins, Will Fuller, Robby Anderson) are doused in deep codings of risk, so I’m going to swing for the fences and say Keelan Cole, bay-bay. A WR1 finish is not ridiculously far-fetched considering he already did it in an abbreviated sample size as the WR9 from Weeks 11-17. He’s now Jacksonville’s top receiver with Marqise Lee out for the season, so volume and big-play potential could yield tremendous results for the sophomore.
Andrew Gould – @andrewgould4
So there you have it, players currently drafted as WR3s that have WR1 upside. More questions? Let us know @FantasyPros, and check out our other collaborative advice below.
Who’s Your RB1 in Standard-Scoring Leagues?
Who’s Your No. 1 Overall Pick in PPR drafts?
Who’s Your Must-Have Player?
Which Players Deserve a Second Chance?
Which Players Will You Never Draft Again?
Which Player Will Be 2018’s Top League Winner?
The Most Common Fantasy Football Draft Mistakes
Who’s Your RB5 in PPR Leagues?