San Diego Padres 2020 Fantasy Baseball Preview
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Welcome back to our 2020 team-by-team previews. Today we will be checking out one of the teams with the most star-studded talent in fantasy this year, the San Diego Padres.
You can find all of our 2020 fantasy baseball MLB team previews here.
- Better in OBP formats: Tommy Pham, Trent Grisham
- Worse in OBP formats: Eric Hosmer
- Better than his ADP: Trent Grisham (305), Jurickson Profar (364), Wil Myers (295)
- Worse than his ADP: Manny Machado (57)
- Bench bat(s) worth rostering: Franchy Cordero
- Player(s) most likely to lose a starting spot: Francisco Mejia
Quick notes: This team is loaded with talent. Fernando Tatis is a risk/reward pick in the early rounds, but he could be a top-5 pick in 2021. Eric Hosmer is boring, but it’s nice to see him finally coming around on analytics and trying to elevate the ball. He’s an accumulator. Trent Grisham is a guy that you should target and grab in every draft at his current price. There’s nothing but value there.
- Better than his ADP: Garrett Richards (285)
- Worse than his ADP: Dinelson Lamet (125), Joey Lucchesi (234)
- Starter least likely to stick in the rotation: Zach Davies
- Non-starter most likely to enter the rotation: MacKenzie Gore, Cal Quantrill, Adrian Morejon
Quick notes: Chris Paddack is a bonafide ace. Don’t overthink it. Speaking of aces, just wait until you see MacKenzie Gore when he gets called up, as he has top-10 overall upside at SP. The Padres have no reason not to let Garrett Richards throw as many innings as he possibly can since he’s a pending free agent. The strikeouts will be nice, but Dinelson Lamet is a two-pitch pitcher (with one elite pitch), who gets hit hard when the batters make contact, and he struggles with walks. He’s a reliever long-term, and this year, if you want his production, just wait a few rounds and take Robbie Ray instead.
- Projected closer: Kirby Yates (Job Security: MEDIUM-HIGH)
- Top backup: Andres Munoz, Emilio Pagan
- Premier holds option: Drew Pomeranz
- Sneaky holds option: Craig Stammen
Quick notes: Kirby Yates has a strong hold on the closer’s role, but if he slips up at all, there are many guys in the wings that the Padres — who are feeling the pressure to compete this year — can turn to in a moment’s notice.
- Relevant in 2020: MacKenzie Gore
- Worth a look for 2021 and beyond: Luis Patino, Taylor Trammell, C.J. Abrams, Luis Campusano,
- Don’t believe the hype: Gabriel Arias (has good power — impressive 17 homers in a tough ballpark in the Cal League — but a lot of holes in his swing.)
Other Helpful Fantasy Info
- Park Factor: 90.4 for runs, 87 for homers, 95.7 for singles, 94.6 for doubles, 87.1 for triples.
- Green Light Rating: Unknown (new manager).
- Likeliest 2020 roster moves: Acquiring a bullpen arm and bench bats.
- Bold Fantasy Prediction: Trent Grisham posts a 27/18 homer/steals line.
- Bland Fantasy Prediction: Manny Machado finishes outside of the top-12 at 3B and SS.