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FanDuel NBA Lineup Advice: Tuesday (8/25)

Aug 25, 2020

Welcome to the Tuesday edition of FanDuel NBA lineup advice from the bubble. Some of the first-round series have wrapped up, which leaves us with just two games to navigate on today’s slate. Thankfully there are still plenty of values to take advantage of, and there are a handful of studs who could go nuclear in the pair of Western Conference game fives. Let’s dive in.

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Value Plays: Point Guard 

Name (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Seth Curry (DAL) @ LAC $4,800 ⭐⭐⭐ MEDIUM
Monte Morris (DEN) vs. UTH $4,000 ⭐⭐⭐ HIGH

Seth Curry hasn’t put up any huge performances yet in the bubble, but he has averaged nearly 30 minutes on the court in the series with the Clippers. On a short slate like this, there are only so many options at each position. Curry’s minutes give him a solid floor, while his ability to get hot from deep gives him a nice potential ceiling.

Most of the same arguments can be made to a lesser degree for Monte Morris. He’s also seeing plenty of time on the court and has flashed some big games throughout the season. He isn’t likely to be highly owned and could be a huge difference-maker in lineups if he catches fire. 

Shooting Guard

Name (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Paul George (LAC) vs. DAL $7,500 ⭐⭐⭐ MEDIUM
Jordan Clarkson (UTH) @ DEN $5,100 ⭐⭐⭐ MEDIUM

Paul George is in no man’s land on FanDuel’s pricing for Tuesday’s slate. He’s sandwiched between the high-priced studs and the popular bench players on the salary scale. He isn’t generally considered a stud right now, but we’ve seen enough examples of him blowing up to know that he’s capable of it every time he takes the court.

Clarkson simply seems underpriced for the production he’s put up lately. He’s averaged 28.7 FD points so far in the series, yet his salary has barely cracked $5,000. He should have no problem returning value at that cost.

Small Forward

Name (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL) @ LAC $5,200 ⭐⭐ MEDIUM
Joe Ingles (UTH) @ DEN $4,900 ⭐⭐⭐ MEDIUM

Finney-Smith doesn’t do anything great, but he does everything good enough to compile consistent FD points. He comes with almost no ceiling, but he also isn’t likely to tank your lineup.

Ingles is coming off a rough scoreless outing in Game 4, but he should be a safe bet to bounce back. Like Finney-Smith, Ingles doesn’t come with a big ceiling, but he should do enough to pay off his reasonable $4,900 salary.

Power Forward

Name (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Marcus Morris (LAC) vs. DAL $5,300 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ LOW
Maxi Kleber (DAL) @ LAC $4,900 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ MEDIUM

Morris averaged 32.8 FD points in the first three games of the series before struggling in Game 4. He’s still locked into minutes and is in a great spot to bounce back and hit value on Tuesday.

As of this writing, it’s unclear whether or not Kristaps Porzingis will play on Tuesday, but you can roster Max Kleber either way. He’s averaged more than 34 minutes so far in the four-game series that has only been without Porzingis one time. The Clippers have been giving up FD points to power forwards all season, and Kleber should take advantage again.

Center

Name (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Rudy Gobert (UTH) @ DEN $7,600 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ LOW
Ivica Zubac (LAC) vs. DAL $4,600 ⭐⭐ MEDIUM

Gobert may typically be considered a stud, but he has to be counted as a value when he’s $1,600 cheaper than the only other stud on the slate at the position. He had a down performance in Game 4 but is a good bet to return to the form we saw in the first three games of the series, where he averaged 41.2 FD points.

For some reason, Zubac is priced cheaper than his teammate Montrezl Harrell. Zubac is averaging over eight more FD points than Harrell and has topped 25 FD points in two games so far in the series, more than enough to hit value on his budget price

5 Studs Worth Their Salary

Luka Doncic (DAL) $11,000: If you’ve actually been watching the Mavericks’ series, you know how special Doncic has been. He isn’t likely to top 80 FD points again Tuesday, but would it really surprise anybody if he got close?

Kawhi Leonard (LAC) $10,400: Leonard finds another gear when the playoffs start. He’s topped 50 FD points in all four playoff games so far, and there’s no reason he won’t top it again today.

Donovan Mitchell (UTH) $8,500: Mitchell has topped 50 real points in two of the four playoff games with the Nuggets. He may be the hottest player in the playoffs other than Doncic, and you don’t want to risk fading him on a slate like this one.

Jamal Murray (DEN) $7,800: His performances haven’t been quite as impressive as Mitchell’s, but Murray has also been putting up big games in the Nuggets-Jazz series. He’ll continue to be the focal point of Denver’s offense Tuesday.

Mike Conley (UTH) $6,500: Conley has put up two solid performances in his two games since returning to the bubble and clearing quarantine. He’s an extremely safe play against Denver and could put up a massive game if he can dish out a few more assists.

5 Notable Players to Fade

Kristaps Porzingis (DAL) $9,600: Porzingis was scratched late before Sunday’s Game 3. Even if he does play on Tuesday, he may be hampered by the sore knee and will likely take a back seat to the red hot Doncic.

Nikola Jokic (DEN) $9,200: Jokic hasn’t been worth his price so far in this series, but his price has barely moved. As stated earlier, I’d much rather take the discount with Rudy Gobert.

Michael Porter (DEN) $5,500: Porter’s price tag has plummeted, but it still isn’t enough to get him in my lineups. He’s averaged just 19 minutes and 13.2 FD points since taking on a bench role in Game 3.

Lou Williams (LAC) $6,200: Williams is coming off a nice performance on Sunday, but I can’t talk myself into trusting him on Tuesday. He’s simply not consistent enough, and there are too many better options at the position on the slate.

Montrezl Harrell (LAC) $4,800: Harrell has been flat-out bad in the series after sitting out the entire seeding round. He still has some name value from putting up better games before the spring shut down, but I won’t be rostering him until he shows he can play better again.

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Aaron Larson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Aaron, check out his archive and follow him @aalarson.

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