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5 Wide Receivers to Avoid (2022 Fantasy Football)

Jul 1, 2022
Tyreek Hill

Our analysts are here to share a few of the running backs they are avoiding this fantasy football draft season. And be sure to check out their full list of players to avoid as part of our 2022 Fantasy Football Draft Kit.

Rankings noted using FantasyPros half-PPR Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR) and Consensus ADP.

Fantasy Football Redraft Draft Kit

5 Fantasy Football Wide Receivers to Avoid

Courtland Sutton (DEN)
ECR WR22 | ADP WR30

Mention Sutton’s name to my colleagues Derek Brown and Andrew Erickson, and they’ll act like little kids who just heard the ice cream truck roll into the neighborhood. Don’t tell Derickson that I’m completely out on Sutton.

When Jerry Jeudy missed six games with a high-ankle sprain early last season, Sutton had 37-525-2 in Jeudy’s absence, averaging 9.2 targets a game over that stretch. When Jeudy returned, Sutton had 20-237-0 over the Broncos’ final 10 games, averaging 4.0 targets per contest. Jeudy wasn’t especially prolific down the stretch — he topped 70 receiving yards only once after his return in Week 8 — but his presence completely nuked Sutton’s target share. I just can’t get over that.

Maybe Russell Wilson‘s arrival is the magic elixir. But if I want to get a piece of the Denver passing game, I’ll probably eschew both Sutton and Jeudy and just try to grab No. 3 WR Tim Patrick on the cheap.

– Pat Fitzmaurice

Chase Claypool (PIT)
ECR WR45 | ADP WR41

Chase Claypool went from 11 TD to two last year and although Ben Roethlisberger certainly wasn’t a world-beater at the end, Mitchell Trubisky and Kenny Pickett are unproven QBs at the NFL level. George Pickens was drafted by the Steelers and I already think he has more talent than Claypool. He could end up the way of Devin Funchess. Big-bodied WR that teased and then never delivered.

– Joe Pisapia

Adam Thielen (MIN)
ECR WR34 | ADP WR29

Adam Thielen finally started to show his age last year. Thielen’s yards per route run fell to 1.63, which ranked 48th among qualifying wide receivers (50 or more targets, per PFF). The Vikings consolidated passing attack, and Thielen’s red zone role could help him retain value in fantasy football, but if father time is nipping at his heels, the ceiling is capped. Even if Thielen posts another productive WR3-type season in 2022, the chances of reaching his WR14 and WR11 levels of the two previous seasons are slim. Give me better upside propositions near his ADP in drafts.

– Derek Brown

Tyreek Hill (MIA)
ECR WR9 | ADP WR8

Heading into 2021, Tyreek Hill was a consensus top-three receiver option. But he came in slightly under expectations. The ‘Cheetah’ wrapped a bow on the year as the WR6 overall and in points per game (14.2).

It’s worth noting that Hill posted a career-low in yards after the catch per reception (4.3, 42nd) and yards per route run (2.14, 11th). Hill’s aDOT also dipped dramatically to 10.6, which was the lowest it’s been since his rookie season.

Hill was then traded to the Miami Dolphins this offseason, but it’s undeniable that going from Patrick Mahomes to Tua Tagovailoa is a massive downgrade for Hill. Tagovailoa has yet to show that he can properly fuel a fantasy WR1, so it’s hard to expect Hill to deliver a top-10 season with a lesser passer. His current ADP and ECR ranking is WR9.

Especially with Tagovailoa’s lack of a confident deep ball — 34th in aDOT last season — a prominent running game, and second-year wide receiver Jaylen Waddle also heavily involved in the offensive game plan. Sure, Hill will have his weeks when he is peppered with low-value targets in PPR formats, but the massive downfield touchdowns will happen much less frequently.

Case in point, quick-hitters and yards after the catch will be the focal point of the Dolphins’ offense in 2021 as new head coach Mike McDaniel stems from the 49ers’ YAC-heavy passing offense. Hill finished seventh in yards after the catch last season, so he’s a candidate to take full advantage of Tagovailoa’s “YAC attack”.

49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo ranked 29th in aDOT in 2021 (7.6) after ranking 39th and 35th in the category the two years prior.

With Hill’s efficiency marks trending in the wrong direction amid a massive quarterback downgrade, he remains a player you need to be extremely price-sensitive drafting.

– Andrew Erickson

Darnell Mooney (CHI)
ECR WR33 | ADP WR25

Maybe Mooney is a good player. He did have 1,055 yards receiving on 140 targets last year — but he feels a little too 2013 to me. Why 2013? Because that’s when Harry Douglas (132 targets, 1,067 yards), Kendall Wright (139 targets, 1,079 yards), and Brian Hartline (133 targets, 1,016 yards) all looked like No. 1 wide receivers … but very much were not actual No. 1 wide receivers. Mooney seems like he’s in line to see 140-ish targets once again, and yet I can’t get over the fact that he’s a former small-school fifth-rounder who entered college as a two-star recruit and never had 1,000 yards in an undergraduate season. Guys like that tend not to have multiple seasons of NFL success: The gravity of their priors eventually pulls them back down to earth.

– Matthew Freedman

FantasyPros Staff Consensus 2022 Redraft Fantasy Football Rankings

2022 Fantasy Football Rankings powered by FantasyPros

 

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