We’ll help you navigate the trade waters of your fantasy football leagues all season. Not only is there the ‘Who Should I Trade?’ tool where you can get instant feedback, but you can also sync your league for free using My Playbook in order to get trade advice specific to your team through our Trade Analyzer and Trade Finder tools.
Here are all the players we’re buying and selling this week. And below let’s take a closer look at a few players to trade this week.
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Derrick Henry aka the Big Dog eats for 80 rushing yards and 1 TD on 25 carries. 3 catches on 4 targets and 15 yards. Saw his snaps climb back up to 71% after a low rate in Week 1. 28 total touches.
No.2 RB Tyjae Spears more than doubled his touches from a week ago, totaling 10 (8 carries, two receptions). Efficient rushing the ball 8 times for 49 rushing yards (37% snap share). The fact that Spears is this involved alongside a healthy Henry just tells you how talented and excited the team is for him. Think Spears’ constant involvement will cause issues for Henry sooner rather than later.
That was the case in Week 3…The Tennessee Titans fell behind 13-3 in the first half and it was lack luster day for Henry. 11 carries for just 20 yards. Zero targets.Spears out-snapped him in the first half – four carries for 6 yards. He also had four catches for 3 yards on 4 targets with the team facing negative game script.
Spears would go onto to out-snap Henry by a grand total of 56% to 38% in Week 3. Henry has now been out-snapped in two of three games by Spears. He has one game with above 50% snap share this season.
If Henry is their best player on offense, why is he not getting the ball more? Are the Titans losing faith? Either way, Spears constant usage is not going away and will hinder Henry for the rest of the season. The offensive line is still horrible. I’d be selling Henry for those that think he has true fantasy RB1 upside. Looks to me like a fantasy RB2 given his current situation.
Deebo Samuel had a MONSTER game. The over on his 4.5 receptions prop was like taking candy from a baby. Although it was a bit closer than the final results indicate because Samuel was targeted a whopping 12 times, “only” caught six for 129 receiving yards and 1 TD. He dominated with a 35% target share and 44% air yards share – which is usually held by Aiyuk.
Following Samuel was tight end George Kittle, who actually led the team with seven receptions, posting 90 yards on 9 targets (26% target share, 43% air yards share).
Through three games, Samuel owns a 33% target share. And as long as he’s healthy, I don’t imagine that goes away. After all, he was the target share leader last season when Brock Purdy as the starting quarterback.
However, from a buy/sell standpoint, there’s never been a better time to sell high on Samuel or Kittle given their extremely boosted production with Aiyuk out. Given both their long injury track records – Samuel also suffered a rib injury on Thursday night and is currently listed as day-to-day – I think it’s at least worth entertaining to see what you can acquire in return for either 49ers stud.
Always bet on the double-digit home dogs….
Arizona came up with the big home upset with James Conner operating as a bell cow per usual – 16 touches for over 100 yards and TD. 64% snap share.
He’s in the top-5 in touches this season and 3rd in rushing yards. But I did think it was slightly noteworthy that we did see a little bit more action from the backups who combined for 7 touches. With SF up next, don’t hate the idea of trading Conner as a “sell high.” Also, his injury track record precedes itself.
D.J. Moore is an obvious sell-high candidate given his back-to-back productive weeks. Seems likely he’s due for some regression, so I’d sell if able. Still, if you can’t get anything worthwhile in return, he will likely just settle into the fantasy WR2 range when it’s all said and done. But as bad as Denver is…a potential matchup versus cornerback Patrick Surtain is not one I want to play Moore in. Through three games, Moore only has a 20% target share averaging five targets per game.
I’d still try to sell high (now sell even higher) on Raheem Mostert given his injury history, 31-year-old age and Jeff Wilson Jr. lurking. I’d try to buy De’Von Achane (but it’s probably not likely he can be acquired for anything reasonable). Although it’s a committee right now, nobody will be surprised to see the super explosive rookie supplant the veteran RB.
Obviously Mostert has a slight lean (he came out of the game with starters while Achane stayed in with Mike White in Week 3) but the reading is on the wall of how this backfield will shake out in a few weeks. Achane also out-touched Mostert in the red zone, 8 to 3.
Christian Kirk came away with the TD score. But just a 15% target share. Five targets in the second half.
Still expected more with Zay Jones out of the lineup that the rest of the guys would pick up the slack.
Considering the Jaguars are coming off back-to-back duds, I’d view Ridley as the buy-low and Kirk as the sell-high. But my most confident transaction is definitely going after ETN, whereas I think the Jaguars WRs will be up and down all year with how many of them are involved in the offense.
It was a make-or-break time for Alexander Mattison. The final stat line looks solid – 20 for 93 yards on the ground, 5 catches for 32 yards on 7 targets. Played 80% of the snaps.
Sell. Sell. Sell.
He dropped a ball in the red zone. Fumbled with a clear recovery by LA but it was overturned because the whistle was blown. Stuffed at the goal line thrice.
Cam Akers is coming for this man’s job. Your window is open. Don’t miss it.
Even in a great positive game script, Dameon Pierce couldn’t get going. 14 for 31 but scored. Devin Singletary had more yards (41) on nine carries.
Pierce caught three balls to Singletary’s two. And when the team was up big in the fourth quarter – seems like prime Pierce grind out time – Singletary was in the game. Pierce is a good player, but his role is capped unless he scores. Still only managed to carve out a 54% snap share versus Singletary’s 39% snap share. Pierce has only 30 more rushing yards than Singletary despite 20 more carries (40 vs. 20).
Can’t imagine Pierce is set for a success versus the Steelers’ fierce defensive line in Week 4.
Jerome Ford has three carries in the 1st half. He finished with 10 carries for 18 yards on a 56% snap share but scored two TDs. He added two catches on three targets while leading the backfield in routes run. The matchup was brutal, so the bad efficiency was to be expected. Currently, he ranks 2nd-worst in the NFL in success rate (32%).
But the involvement from the other backs was puzzling. Pierre Strong got six carries for 27 yards (although the majority in garbage time up 27-3). Kareem Hunt (supposedly on a pitch count) got 5 carries for 13 yards after being signed this week (20% snap share). Hunt also had three targets on just five routes run. Also, I think it’s extremely noteworthy that Ford was not the first Browns player to earn a carry. Or the second. Or the third. Elijah Moore, Hunt and Strong all carried the ball before Ford’s first carry on the second drive.
If this is “RB1” usage for Ford, you must sell high after the two TDs. Schedule sucks and there is a bye week in Week 5. Ravens, Bye Week, 49ers and then Colts. If anything, I’d buy-low on Kareem Hunt. Looked decent in game after no training camp. He’s clearly the RB2 ahead of Strong. Only imagine he gets better as he get acclimated to game speed.
David Njoku panic button…might be time. Four catches for 20 yards. Bye Week approaching. Time to cut bait with his good not great role. Not enough targets. 11% target share through three games.
No David Montgomery led to a big usage game for Jahmyr Gibbs. 17 carries for 80 rushing yards on a 60% snap share. Craig Reynolds earned just four for 15 carries (three of which came in the 4th quarter). Zonovan Knight out-carried Reynolds in the first half (2 vs. 1) and was the next back up behind Gibbs. Knight is an interesting DFS option for the one-game Thursday night slate, as the No. 2 RB.
-Andrew Erickson
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