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NFL Week 4 DFS GPP Lineup Advice & Picks (2023 Fantasy Football)

NFL Week 4 DFS GPP Lineup Advice & Picks (2023 Fantasy Football)

We were all over the map regarding results last week, but that will be common when recommending GPP players! These are meant to be risky options, and they won’t always hit. That can be frustrating at times, but picking the right ones should lead to some sizable payouts! We have an interesting group to talk about this week, so let’s get into it!

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The players below are ones I’m looking at for GPP considerations for Week 4:

DraftKings Quarterbacks

Justin Fields (QB – CHI): $6,600 vs. DEN

We had Fields in this section last week, which didn’t go well. We’re willing to go back to the well, though, because Fields has massive upside in this matchup. We’re talking about a guy who led all quarterbacks in fantasy points in the second half of last season, facing the worst defense in football. Denver’s disastrous defense allowed 70 points last week, and Chicago is projected to score more than 24 points here! If they surpass that, Fields will be an immense value.

C.J. Stroud (QB – HOU): $5,600 vs. PIT

It can take rookies some time to get going, but Stroud showed some strides in the last two weeks. The Rookie of the Year candidate has scored 21 and 25 DraftKings points in his two most recent outings! That’s absurd from a sub-$6K player, especially a rookie with this massive upside. Pittsburgh sounds like a pitiful matchup on the surface, but the Steelers own an 18th OPRK against opposing quarterbacks.

FanDuel Quarterbacks

Anthony Richardson (QB – IND): $7,600 vs. LAR

This rookie has missed most of the last two games, but he had a historic start to his career. He impressed fans with 22 FanDuel points in Week 1 and 18 FD points through the opening quarter of Week 2. A concussion knocked him out of that game way too early, but it’s hard to overlook such a ridiculous run from a rookie like this. The matchup is no cakewalk, but Aaron Donald‘s pressure could force Richardson to run a ton, which is huge for his fantasy value.

Matthew Stafford (QB – LAR): $6,600 at IND

The fantasy production hasn’t been elite from Stafford, but he’s playing some of the best football in the NFL right now. He’s averaging 42 pass attempts and 303 passing yards per game despite playing without his top target! The touchdowns are the only thing holding him back, but those could turn around here. Indy is allowing the third-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks!

DraftKings Running Backs

Najee Harris (RB – PIT): $5,500 at HOU

Woah! This one will scare some people, but Harris is one of the best GPP plays out there. We’re talking about the lead back in one of the best possible matchups. Houston is allowing the most fantasy points to opposing backs since the start of last season! We love that since Harris received 19 carries in Week 3 and averaged over 15 DK points per game in that type of role last season. Getting 15 fantasy points from a $5,500 player would be incredible!

Khalil Herbert (RB – CHI): $4,700 vs. DEN

Which running back is playing Denver this week? We just saw Miami’s running backs score nearly 100 combined fantasy points last week, and we have to use an RB against them. It’s tough to trust this Chicago backfield, but Herbert is the guy behind a 58 percent snap share over the last two weeks. He’s also in line to get double-digit carries, making him tough to avoid below $5K in such a premium matchup.

FanDuel Running Backs

Alexander Mattison (RB – MIN): $7,200 at CAR

We had Mattison as a smash start last week, and he pleased us with a solid performance. This is still the Vikings starting running back, scoring 15 FanDuel points in Week 3. He’s averaged close to 20 FD points per game in the past as the starter for Dalvin Cook, and all the negativity has Mattison overlooked by the DFS community. The matchup is wonderful, too, with the Panthers owning a 30th OPRK against opposing rushers.

Dameon Pierce (RB – HOU): $6,300 vs. PIT

Here we are with another struggling back. Pierce hasn’t been able to get anything going, but this matchup could get him back on track. The Steelers are surrendering 132 rushing yards per game this year, the second-worst mark in the NFL. That looks awesome since Pierce saw a season-high in snaps last week and should get more as the season progresses. He averaged 13 FD points per game over the closing 11 games of last year and should return to that form sooner rather than later.

DraftKings Wide Receivers

Gabe Davis (WR – BUF): $5,900 vs. MIA

Davis is the definition of a GPP player with his volatility, but we always want to use him in tasty situations. This is undoubtedly one of those because this Miami-Buffalo game could be a shootout behind the 54-point total. That makes Davis an intriguing option, but his role is his biggest asset. Davis is playing more than 80 percent of the team’s snaps and could be looking at double-digit targets since Josh Allen might attempt 40-50 passes in this potential shootout.

DJ Moore (WR – CHI): $5,600 vs. DEN

If we’re going to use Fields, we have to use Moore. It’s been a frustrating start for DJ, but he’s still got 13 and 19 DraftKings points in his two most recent outings. That’s hard to believe with how bad the Bears have looked, but it’s less surprising since he had 16 or more DK points in six of the final 11 games of last season. The matchup with Denver is the icing on the cake, with the Broncos surrendering the most points in the NFL!

FanDuel Quarterbacks

Terry McLaurin (WR – WAS): $6,700 at PHI

Scary Terry is the top target in Washington, and he will rip off some big games shortly. McLaurin has at least four receptions in all but a handful of games over the last three years and is the preferred target over Jahan Dotson. Facing Philly is what makes him a fantastic GPP option, with Terry totaling 14 catches for 230 yards against them in their two matchups last year. That’s no surprise since the Eagles allow the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing wideouts.

DeAndre Hopkins (WR – TEN): $6,300 vs. CIN

It’s been a terrible start for Tennessee, but Hopkins is still the go-to guy in this offense. This former All-Pro receiver leads the team with 14 receptions, which is twice as much as any player on this team! That sort of workhorse role made Hopkins a stud in the past, and we love it against a subpar Cincy secondary.

DraftKings Tight Ends

David Njoku (TE – CLE): $3,800 vs. BAL

Nothing about the statistics will tell you that Njoku is a good option, but the trend of this offense has us encouraged. Deshaun Watson has looked like a different player over the last two weeks, and this team will become a passing offense with Nick Chubb out. That means the opportunities will come for Njoku, which makes him an enticing GPP play below $4,000.

FanDuel Tight Ends

Dallas Goedert (TE – PHI): $5,900 vs. WAS

Goedert’s goose egg in Week 1 has killed his season-long numbers, primarily since he hasn’t scored a touchdown. That’s made him one of the biggest disappointments at the tight end position, but he’s still one of the best in the game! That makes him a heck of a value at this sub-$6K price tag, particularly since he has at least 10 FanDuel points in five straight matchups with Washington!

DraftKings Defense/Special Teams

Tampa Bay Buccaneers D/ST: $3,300 at NOS

Not many people will use Tampa, but they’re a tempting D/ST. They’re one of the league leaders with 10 DK points per game, and this is a much better matchup than it looks on the surface. The Saints are expected to be without Derek Carr, and this offense could look like a disaster with a turnover machine like Jameis Winston in action.

FanDuel Defense/Special Teams

Cincinnati Bengals D/ST: $4,100 at TEN

I was shocked to see Cincy so cheap! This defensive line was a force in Week 3, and they’re going to go nuts against a terrible Tennessee offensive line. A matchup like that is all we can hope for, especially since the Titans rank 29th in points scored and 30th in yardage. That’s why the Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in a game with a 40-point total!

CTAs


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Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Joel, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.

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