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Fantay Baseball Draft Outlook: Jung Hoo Lee, Kyle Schwarber, Yandy Diaz, Brandon Nimmo (2024)

Fantay Baseball Draft Outlook: Jung Hoo Lee, Kyle Schwarber, Yandy Diaz, Brandon Nimmo (2024)

The formulation of my fScores allows me a unique insight into how much plate skills impact fantasy value and it changes drastically depending on league type. The biggest benefactors of points leagues are hitters who have phenomenal plate skills and hitters who get a lot of hits and benefit more from consistent production at high volume rather than being the toolsy guy with a lot of speed. Contrasting from a hitter side, the players that get dinged the most in points leagues are the speedsters and standard, older school leadoff types or players who are a high HR/SB guy with bad plate skills.

In regards to pitching, closers are almost worthless. In some points leagues when you can use SPARPs (Starting Pitchers As Relief Pitchers), all relievers are worthless in comparison to any starter that can be plugged into that relief spot. Keeping in mind that the exact points league value changes will be dependent upon the exact format and valuation of points, some points league types have advantages over others. I prefer Ottoneu FanGraphs’ H2H points as a game style for points leagues, as the Ottoneu format does not allow for the use of SPARPs requiring five RP and utilizing a 40-man roster in a salary-formatted league. Therefore, RP are required and their value is closer to that of a real-life reliever or closer against the inflated cost of closers in saves, category leagues or uselessness of closers in points leagues where you can arbitrage relievers with SPARPs.

One oddity that takes getting used to in the FanGraphs’ points system is how much a pitcher gets dinged for giving up home runs, thus pitchers that pitch a ton of innings without allowing HRs (almost like a QS, but not quite) are well rewarded versus the pitcher that can only pitch 4-5 innings, even if they strike out everyone they face. Innings pitched are critical in almost any points format and to avoid just the glitch of spamming innings, Ottoneu leagues counter with a start cap for the week in weekly leagues – therefore, you need to pick your starts carefully.

We are going to dig into 10 of the biggest ranking differences for hitters in this article. We will, more or less, avoid pitching as a topic after this little intro because the values are all relative to what type of points league and the entire group of RP are just simply less relevant by at least 150-200 players. So just adjust downward by 10-15 rounds in snakes or maybe like 65-75% of value in salary format leagues on all relievers and you will be on the right track. When it comes to starters, just focus more on the high QS guys… anyone who pitches more innings without giving up damage (no HRs, more ground balls) will do well.

For example; Logan Webb was the number two starter in Ottoneu over Spencer Strider in 2023. Players like Webb, Framber Valdez, Sonny Gray, Jordan Montgomery, Merrill Kelly and Chris Bassitt play up in this sort of format while guys like Snell, Cease, Glasnow and Baz will all get dinged a little bit in overall value, while their weekly value might be fine.

That’s enough about pitchers, let’s get into the top hitters where the value is drastically different from categories to points leagues in a positive way. These are in no particular order, just the most noteworthy.

*If you are curious about the fScore ratings you can check out my fScore rankings and information.

Biggest Value Changes

Jung Hoo Lee (OF – SF)

Name fContact fDiscipline fPower fSpeed fDurability TOTAL FUTURE
Jung Hoo Lee 110 154 69 84 87 99 104

Jung Hoo Lee is popping over from Korea as the best hitter to come over since Ha-Seong Kim and already rates out as my 11th overall player in fDiscipline despite being dinged handedly in my Korea-to-MLB conversion table. As a new player, there is no current track record to base this assumption on but he’s the type of player that fits into this category as a high-contact, high-plate skills guy with limited power and speed. He’s also projected to lead off for the Giants, so I’m bumping him up a few rounds from the standard ADP for points leagues.

Kyle Schwarber (OF – PHI)

Name fContact fDiscipline fPower fSpeed fDurability TOTAL FUTURE
Kyle Schwarber 91 148 184 67 115 125 125

Kyle Schwarber is good in any format but he is way better in OBP or points formats because his bad batting average (his biggest flaw) won’t hurt you the way it does in batting average leagues. Schwarber ranked out as the 17th-best hitter in fDiscipline via my 2024 fScores and finished Ottoneu points as a top-15 earner in 2023, where he beat out guys like Ozzie Albies, Luis Robert, Yordan, Turner, Alonso and Lindor. He rates out in standard categories leagues around 35th or so as a hitter, so there’s a nice 20-spot bump near the top of the rankings between leagues for Schwarber.

Yandy Diaz (1B – TB)

Name fContact fDiscipline fPower fSpeed fDurability TOTAL FUTURE
Yandy Diaz 111 146 100 63 103 106 109

Yandy Diaz being on this list shouldn’t surprise anyone. In roto and categories leagues, Diaz is an above-average player, but in points leagues, he’s an absolute legend. He only ranks 18th in total fDiscipline but the big bang for your buck here is the above-average contact paired with the plate skills and the league-average power (which is tanked a bit due to his propensity to hit groundballs). Diaz ranks for me as around the 120-125th overall hitter in standard categories leagues, mainly because his stats are easily replaceable as a 1B. However, in points leagues, Diaz is an absolute beast finishing within the top 15 overall in Ottoneu points in 2023 ahead of guys like Witt, Albies, Judge, Schwarber and the crew we just mentioned above. Not only that, but he finished in the top 10 in points per game ahead of Juan Soto, Bryce Harper, Corbin Carroll, Kyle Tucker and Jose Ramirez. I would bump him up as a top-35 player or so pretty easily in points leagues. This is almost definitely the largest mover between league types you will find.

Brandon Nimmo (OF – NYM)

Name fContact fDiscipline fPower fSpeed fDurability TOTAL FUTURE
Brandon Nimmo 102 135 105 67 109 105 110

Brandon Nimmo is another points league legend, ranking out down at 41st in fDiscipline for 2024. He again gets a boost similar to Diaz in the well-rounded skills across the board, plus he has the bonus of being a lead-off guy who hits in front of Pete Alonso and will be driven in to score a lot of runs. Nimmo ranks in my hitting tier in standard leagues in the 100-110 range, but in points leagues, he’s up in Lars Nootbaar territory as a top 50-ish player or so for a 50-plus spot bump. In 2023, Nimmo finished as a top-20 points earner in Ottoneu points leagues ahead of the likes of Paul Goldschmidt, Turner and Yelich. He finished with over six points per game, which is better per-game production than guys like Adolis Garcia, Schwarber, Goldschmidt, Bregman, Tatis and Guerrero.

The exact bump for some of these guys will depend on your league format and points settings. This should, however, provide you with some options you can bump way up your rankings for hitting purposes in 2024 points league.

Fantasy Baseball Draft Strategy

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