Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate at DraftKings and FanDuel has eight games, starting at 7:05 p.m. ET. The top pick ’em selections at Underdog and Sleeper are also from the eight-game slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Monday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Tyler Glasnow (LAD) vs. ATL
Tyler Glasnow isn’t my favorite starting pitcher in cash games since his matchup is more challenging than the two following pitchers, and his salary is substantially higher. Still, Glasnow’s ceiling is higher, and his betting info is excellent.
The Dodgers are -205, and the game’s total is 8.0 runs. Additionally, Glasnow is coming off a stellar, if slightly unlucky, season. According to FanGraphs, in 21 starts spanning 120 innings in 2024, Glasnow had the following stats.
- Nine wins
- 14 quality starts
- 3.49 ERA
- 2.65 xERA
- 2.68 xFIP
- 2.90 SIERA
- 0.95 WHIP
- 6.7 BB%
- 32.2 K%
- 30.4 CSW%
- 108 location+
- 102 location+
- 112 pitching+
Five of Atlanta’s projected starters for tonight have had at least a 23.0 K% versus righties since 2023 or debuting in the majors, enhancing Glasnow’s ceiling. Glasnow is a high-upside pick for GPPs.
Drew Rasmussen (TB) vs. PIT
Drew Rasmussen has been outstanding for the Rays when healthy. Tampa Bay eased him into action last year after returning from having an internal brace procedure for his UCL in July 2023. Rasmussen worked in spurts last year and had an encouraging spring training.
Tonight, he has a cupcake matchup. Only three of Pittsburgh’s hitters have had a wRC+ above 100 versus righties since 2023 or debuting in the Majors, and three are at 85 or lower. Furthermore, five of the projected starters have had at least a 23.5 K%, and two more have had at least a 20.5 K%, increasing Rasmussen’s strikeout potential. Finally, the Rays are -170, and the game’s total is 8.5 runs.
Bowden Francis (TOR) vs. WAS
Bowden Francis enjoyed a breakout last year while transitioning to Toronto’s rotation. His 2.92 ERA in 13 starts spanning 77 innings overstated Francis’s breakout. Nevertheless, his 3.92 xFIP, 3.60 SIERA, 0.75 WHIP, 4.5 BB%, 25.2 K%, 27.5 CSW%, 100 stuff+, 103 location+ and 102 pitching+ in starts were rock-solid or much better.
Francis can get off to a good start this year in a plus matchup. Only four of Washington’s projected starters have been above-average hitters against righties since 2023 or debuting. Only two of those hitters have had a wRC+ above 106, so two of the above-average hitters aren’t world-beaters, either. Predictably, the betting info is tasty for Francis. The Blue Jays are -170, and the game’s total is 8.5 runs.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
The Blue Jays have a mouthwatering matchup tonight. Michael Soroka hasn’t pitched like a quality MLB-caliber starter since 2020. In 25 appearances (nine starts) last year, Soroka had a 4.74 ERA, 4.59 xERA, 4.54 xFIP and 4.40 SIERA. Soroka had a 6.39 ERA as a starter and allowed a .366 wOBA to 193 batters last year. It’s an eruption spot for Toronto’s offense, and while they’ll likely be chalky, they’re good chalk.
- Road (Daikin Park)
- Game Total/Moneyline: 8.5 Runs/SF EVEN
Ronel Blanco had a shocking age-30 breakout last year, spinning a 2.80 ERA. Yet, his sub-3.00 ERA flew in the face of his 4.00 xERA, 4.09 xFIP and 4.17 SIERA.
The Giants aren’t an offensive powerhouse. Still, six of their projected starters have had at least a 109 wRC+ against righties since 2023 or debuting, and Jung Hoo Lee and Heliot Ramos are likely better against righties than their 97 wRC+ and 87 wRC+. As a result, San Francisco’s hitters are collectively underpriced, making them an intriguing stack, namely in GPPs.
Core Studs
- Shohei Ohtani is a tantalizing selection when his exorbitant salary can be easily worked around, such as tonight’s slate. He’s had a .424 OBP, .389 ISO and 202 wRC+ against righties since 2023.
- In 550 plate appearances against righties at home since 2023, Vladimir Guerrero has hit 22 homers with a .360 OBP, .197 ISO and 136 wRC+.
- Since 2023, Anthony Santander has had a .313 OBP, .246 ISO and 125 wRC+ against right-handed pitching.
Value Plays/Punts
- Andres Gimenez‘s speed could be on full display tonight. He’s stolen 30 bases in back-to-back seasons, and Soroka yielded 13 stolen bases in 25 appearances (nine starts) last season.
- Soroka coughed up a .331 wOBA to 172 lefties last season. Meanwhile, Will Wagner has had a .375 OBP, .145 ISO and 149 wRC+ in 72 plate appearances against righties since reaching The Show last season.
- In 678 plate appearances against righties since 2023, Mike Yastrzemski has hit 30 homers with a .322 OBP, .230 ISO and 117 wRC+.
Monday’s Top 3 Sleeper and Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Vladimir Guerrero: 1.5 Total Bases – More (Sleeper) (1.85x)
Vladimir Guerrero: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher (Underdog)
Guerrero is coming off a highly productive season at the dish. In 697 plate appearances last year, he had 124 singles, 44 doubles, one triple, 30 homers, a .323 batting average, .321 xBA, .544 slugging, .567 xSLG and .221 ISO.
Vladito exceeded 1.5 total bases 77 times in 2024. He’s on a three-game hitting streak entering tonight and has a cushy matchup. The 175 right-handed batters who faced Soroka last season had 21 singles, six doubles, one triple, seven homers, a .229 batting average and .418 slugging. Thus, we project Guerrero to tally 2.1 total bases tonight.
Anthony Santander: 6.5 Fantasy Points – Higher (Underdog)
In addition to Santander’s excellent numbers against righties since 2023, which were highlighted above, he’s coming off a monstrous year at the dish. In 665 plate appearances last season, the switch-hitter had a .308 OBP, .271 ISO and 129 wRC+. Santander’s fantasy-scoring outlook is also improved tonight by his matchup against Soroka and run-production upside, batting third in Toronto’s lineup. The 172 lefties who faced Soroka last season had a .331 wOBA.
Shohei Ohtani: 1.5 Total Bases – More (Sleeper) (1.78x)
Shohei Ohtani: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher (Underdog)
Ohtani’s over for 1.5 total bases tonight has a five-star rating on our MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet. We project him to have 3.1 total bases. Ohtani is off to a fast start after claiming the NL MVP Award last season. In 23 plate appearances this year, Ohtani has three singles, one double, two homers, a .333 batting average, .327 xBA, .722 slugging and .556 xSLG. He’s surpassed 1.5 total bases in three of five starts this year.
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
