Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate has 13 games starting at 7:05 p.m. ET at DraftKings and FanDuel. Today’s pick ’em suggestions at Sleeper and Underdog are also from the 13-game slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Friday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) vs. CHC
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been lights out this season after an excellent MLB debut in 2024. According to FanGraphs, in three starts spanning 16 innings this year, Yamamoto has had the following stats.
- 1.69 ERA
- 2.97 xERA
- 2.48 xFIP
- 2.67 SIERA
- 1.06 WHIP
- One win
- One quality start
- 9.5 BB%
- 30.2 K%
- 68.4 GB%
- 13.4 SwStr%
- 31.8 CSW%
- 101 stuff+
- 131 location+
- 141 pitching+
Yamamoto has a challenging quartet of Ian Happ, Kyle Tucker, Seiya Suzuki and Michael Busch to navigate, but the other five projected starters for the Cubs are unimposing. Thus, the Dodgers are -200, and the game’s total is 8.0 runs.
Nick Pivetta (SD) vs. COL
Salary considered, Nick Pivetta could be ranked ahead of Yamamoto. San Diego’s righty is underpriced tonight in a cupcake matchup. The Rockies have an unserious lineup. Since 2023 or debuting, Colorado’s projected starting nine hitters have had a 103 wRC+ or lower against righties, with marks of a 103, 97, 85, 81, 78, 77, 77, 48 and -2 wRC+ behind Mickey Moniak‘s 103 wRC+. They’re all a strikeout-prone group, too. Pivetta also has the added benefit of catching them in their first game after a series at Coors Field.
Even an average pitcher can take advantage of the Rockies in a non-Coors Field ballpark, and Pivetta is considerably above average at his best. Unsurprisingly, the Padres are commanding -220 favorites, and the game’s total is a tiny 7.0 runs.
Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) vs. MIL
Eduardo Rodriguez is the other pitcher who benefits from facing a team in their first game after a series at Coors Field, drawing the Brewers in Arizona tonight. E-Rod’s statistics are a mixed bag of good and bad this season. Through two starts spanning 10.1 innings, the veteran southpaw has an ugly 6.10 ERA, 9.7 SwStr%, 26.1 CSW% and 88 stuff+. Yet, Rodriguez has a 4.03 xERA, 2.00 xFIP, 2.12 SIERA, 1.16 WHIP, 41.5 K%, 115 location+ and 102 pitching+.
Rodriguez is a volatile pick. Still, seven of Milwaukee’s projected starters have had a 105 wRC+ or lower versus lefties since 2023 or debuting, five were 96 or lower and three were 67 or lower. The Brewers are a favorable matchup for southpaws, and the Coors Field hangover could make them more exploitable tonight. Finally, the Diamondbacks are -138, and the game’s total is 8.5 runs.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
The early returns for Sutter Health Park are in. Per Baseball Savant, it’s a launching pad, with park factors of 130 for runs, 112 for singles, 136 for doubles, 244 for triples and 136 for homers on a scale with 100 as neutral. JP Sears has a 47.5 GB% through two starts this year. However, he had a 37.3 GB% last year, and he has a 34.9 GB% in his career. Sears’s fly-ball tendencies throughout his career could get him lit up in his 2025 home ballpark. New York’s righties are the most enticing stacking options since Sears has coughed up a .332 wOBA to 652 righties since 2024.
- Home (George M. Steinbrenner Field)
- Game Total/Moneyline: 8.5 Runs/TB -115
Bryce Elder significantly outkicked his ERA estimators in 2022 and 2023, and the other shoe dropped last year. In 10 starts spanning 49.2 innings in 2024, Elder had a 6.52 ERA, 5.04 xERA, 3.95 xFIP and 4.12 SIERA. In one start this year, he had a 6.75 ERA, 8.54 xERA, 4.83 xFIP and 4.83 SIERA. Since last season, Elder has permitted a .419 wOBA to 129 lefties and a .317 wOBA to 114 righties. Tampa Bay’s offense can shine in a cushy matchup.
Core Studs
- Aaron Judge is an unstoppable force against southpaws. In 278 plate appearances against lefties since 2023, Judge has had 28 homers, a .471 OBP, .443 ISO and 230 wRC+.
- In 379 plate appearances against lefties since 2023, Francisco Lindor has had 27 homers, a .332 OBP, .285 ISO and 142 wRC+.
- Pete Alonso is smashing this season. In 12 games and 51 plate appearances in 2025, Alonso has three homers, seven runs, 15 RBIs, a .451 OBP, .333 ISO and 208 wRC+.
Value Plays/Punts
- In 243 plate appearances against righties since 2023, Jonathan Aranda has had nine homers, a .342 OBP, .206 ISO and 131 wRC+.
- Kyren Paris tore the cover off the ball in spring training and has kicked it up in the regular season. He’s on an unsustainable pace and could turn into a pumpkin. Nevertheless, in 34 plate appearances this year, Paris has five homers, four stolen bases, a .485 OBP, .607 ISO and 312 wRC+. He’s an appealing punt at DraftKings and less enticing at his salary on FanDuel.
- Luis Torrens will hopefully return to the lineup tonight, putting him on the punting radar at catcher on DraftKings. In 66 plate appearances against lefties since 2023, he’s had a .318 OBP, .186 ISO and 112 wRC+.
Friday’s Top 3 Sleeper and Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Brandon Lowe: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Sleeper) (1.81x)
Brandon Lowe: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Underdog)
Brandon Lowe has slotted second in Tampa Bay’s order in nine of 11 games this year, including eight in a row. In 47 plate appearances this year, he has had 13 hits, five runs, eight RBIs, a .289 batting average, .305 xBA, .489 slugging, .673 xSLG, .319 OBP and .200 ISO. Lowe has surpassed 1.5 hits plus runs and RBIs in seven of 11 games this year, and Eldred hasn’t had answers for lefties since last season. We project Lowe to have 2.55 hits plus runs and RBIs tonight.
Francisco Lindor: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher (Sleeper) (1.78x)
Francisco Lindor: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher (Underdog)
In 379 plate appearances against southpaws since 2023, Lindor has had 93 hits (49 singles, 17 doubles and 27 homers), a .270 batting average, .555 slugging and .285 ISO. The switch-hitting shortstop has muscled up against lefties and should take advantage of a favorable matchup and mouthwatering hitting conditions tonight. As a result, we project Lindor to have 2.12 total bases tonight on 0.47 singles, 0.29 doubles, 0.01 triples and 0.26 homers.
Aaron Judge: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Sleeper) (1.67x)
Aaron Judge: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Underdog)
Judge is building on a career year and an MVP campaign from last year. Through 12 games and 56 plate appearances this year, Judge has had 17 hits, 14 runs, 20 RBIs, a .354 batting average, .318 xBA, .792 slugging and .796 xSLG. He’s exceeded 1.5 hits plus runs and RBIs in 10 of 12 games. Judge is unlikely to slow down tonight against a pitcher he’s eviscerated. Per Baseball Savant, in 13 plate appearances against Robbie Ray, Judge has had three hits (all homers), four walks, a .375 batting average, .456 xBA, 1.500 slugging and 1.624 xSLG. We project Judge to have 2.26 hits plus runs and RBIs tonight.
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
