Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate has eight games starting at 7:05 p.m. ET at DraftKings and FanDuel. Today’s pick ’em suggestions at Sleeper and Underdog are also from the eight-game slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Monday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Tarik Skubal (DET) at MIL
Tarik Skubal had the unenviable task of facing the Dodgers in his first start this year. He’s rebounded well and is coming off his best start of the year, holding the Yankees scoreless through six innings on four hits, zero walks and six strikeouts. According to FanGraphs, Skubal has a 15.8 SwStr%, 31.2 CSW%, 117 stuff+, 105 location+ and 123 pitching+ this season through three starts this year.
The defending American League Cy Young Award winner should twirl a second straight excellent start in a cushy matchup. Five of Milwaukee’s projected starters tonight have had a 95 wRC+ or lower against southpaws since 2023 or debuting, three have had a 59 wRC+ or lower and only one has had a wRC+ above 110. Thus, the Tigers are -160, and the game’s total is just 7.0 runs.
Framber Valdez (HOU) at STL
Framber Valdez is cooking with gas this year. He’s had the following stats in three starts spanning 18 innings in 2025.
- 2.50 ERA
- 3.34 xERA
- 3.04 xFIP
- 3.07 SIERA
- 0.94 WHIP
- One win
- Two quality starts
- 9.9 BB%
- 29.6 K%
- 53.7 GB%
- 12.5 SwStr%
- 28.6 CSW%
- 115 stuff+
- 103 location+
- 117 pitching+
Valdez is also a road warrior. In 182.1 innings on the road since 2023, he’s had a 3.36 ERA, 3.55 xFIP, 1.17 WHIP, 8.8 BB%, 22.9 K% and 56.5 GB%.
Like Skubal, Valdez has a plus matchup. Four of St. Louis’s projected starters for tonight have had a 91 wRC+ or lower against left-handed pitching since 2023 or debuting. The Red Birds have a few quality hitters against lefties, but two have had fewer than 100 plate appearances against lefties since 2023 or debuting. Finally, the Astros are -120, and the game’s total is a pitcher-friendly 7.5 runs.
Shane Baz (TB) vs. BOS
Shane Baz is the riskiest of the suggested hurlers on tonight’s slate, evidenced by the Rays listing as modest favorites (-120) and the game’s slightly concerning over/under (8.5 runs). Boston’s lineup has potency and depth. Still, there are a few soft spots, and Baz is thriving this year.
In two starts spanning 13 innings, Baz has one win, two quality starts, a 1.38 ERA, 2.70 xERA, 2.89 xFIP, 1.08 WHIP, 7.8 BB% and 31.4 K%. The righty’s excellent numbers were also supported by his 28.1 CSW%, 106 stuff+, 105 location+ and 114 pitching+. Baz could struggle against the Red Sox. Still, his upside is worth chasing in GPPs.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
The Dodgers have an expensive stack. Nevertheless, they can be partially stacked around the expensive duo of Skubal and Valdez, and the following stack can provide salary relief to stack with Los Angeles. LA’s high-powered lineup has a cupcake to feast on tonight. Antonio Senzatela has a 5.14 ERA, 5.84 xERA, 4.43 xFIP and 4.25 SIERA in three starts this year. Those numbers aren’t outliers, either. They’re representative of how bad Senzatela has been his entire career. The Dodgers should beat him up tonight.
- Road (American Family Field)
- Game Total/Moneyline: 7.0 Runs/DET -160
The Tigers don’t have a loaded lineup by any stretch of the imagination. Yet, they have a few high-caliber hitters against southpaws, many bargain salaries and a cushy matchup. Tyler Alexander‘s 2.84 ERA this year is a fluke. The lefty’s 5.11 xERA, 4.93 xFIP and 4.67 SIERA are more representative of the caliber of pitcher Alexander is.
The southpaw has been at his worst against righties. Since last season, Alexander has ceded a .331 wOBA to 367 right-handed batters. Detroit’s projected lineup has seven right-handed batters. The betting info isn’t favorable for stacking the Tigers, but it could help suppress the percentage of rosters they’re on, enhancing their GPP appeal.
Core Studs
- In 77 plate appearances this season, Shohei Ohtani has four homers, four stolen bases, 15 runs, five RBIs, a .377 OBP, .227 ISO and 145 wRC+.
- Gleyber Torres lights up lefties. In 300 plate appearances against southpaws since 2023, he’s had 15 homers, a .363 OBP, .221 ISO and 140 wRC+.
- Spencer Torkelson is ripping the cover off the ball. In 66 plate appearances this year, he has five homers, one stolen base, 13 runs, 11 RBIs, a .409 OBP, .364 ISO and 205 wRC+.
Value Plays/Punts
- Justyn-Henry Malloy is likely on the short side of a platoon with his primary competition for playing time healthy. Still, in 74 career plate appearances against lefties, Malloy has two homers, a .405 OBP, .211 ISO and 152 wRC+.
- In 788 plate appearances against righties since 2023, Michael Conforto has had a .327 OBP, .186 ISO and 108 wRC+. Conforto is overqualified at his salary on FanDuel, and his salary at DraftKings is reasonable, considering his matchup against Senzatela.
- Javier Baez has played like a player ready to wash out of MLB the previous three years. His case for usage in DFS lineups tonight is built mainly around his tiny salary, batting right-handed and facing Alexander. In addition, the options beyond the high-salaried studs at shortstop are mostly unappealing, enhancing the appeal to save salary by dropping all the way down to Baez.
Monday’s Top 3 Sleeper and Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Gleyber Torres: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Sleeper) (1.70x)
Gleyber Torres: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Underdog)
Torres has surpassed 1.5 hits plus runs and RBIs three times in four games this year. In 17 plate appearances, he’s had six hits, two runs, one RBI, a .400 batting average, .295 xBA, .600 slugging, .425 xSLG and .471 OBP.
Spencer Torkelson: 7.5 Fantasy Points – Higher (Underdog)
In 273 plate appearances against righties since 2023, Torkelson has had 17 homers, a .308 OBP, .291 ISO and 128 wRC+. So, not only is he crushing the ball this year, but he also has a track record of success with the platoon advantage.
Michael Conforto: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Sleeper) (1.82x)
Michael Conforto: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Underdog)
Conforto is playing well in his first season for the Dodgers. In 15 games and 58 plate appearances this year, Conforto has 11 hits, nine runs, five RBIs, a .224 batting average, .232 xBA, .429 slugging, .427 xSLG and .345 OBP.
He has a cushy matchup against Senzatela. The 65 lefties who’ve faced Senzatela since last year have had a .367 batting average, .415 OBP, .517 slugging and .407 wOBA. Thus, LA should tee off on him, and we project Conforto to have 1.69 hits plus runs and RBIs tonight.
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
