FantasyPros prides itself on many things. One of the most unique aspects we bring to fantasy football content is our expert consensus rankings (ECR), a collection of over 100 aggregated industry expert fantasy football rankings.
While ECR can often be wildly different from average draft position (ADP) data of different sites, it is helpful to see where potential values and pitfalls may lie. In this article, we’ll take a look at the players whose values are significantly different in Underdog ADP versus ECR.
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Overvalued Fantasy Football Players Experts Avoid
28 Players ECR Is Lower On
| Player Name | TEAM | ECR | ADP | ADP vs. ECR |
| Kyle Williams | NE | 177.7 | 124.8 | 52.9 |
| Quentin Johnston | LAC | 201.4 | 155.4 | 46 |
| J.K. Dobbins | FA | 215.3 | 170.3 | 45 |
| Cooper Kupp | SEA | 125.8 | 85.5 | 40.3 |
| Justice Hill | BAL | 217.8 | 181.2 | 36.6 |
| Will Shipley | PHI | 218.3 | 182 | 36.3 |
| Tre Harris | LAC | 145 | 108.8 | 36.2 |
| Xavier Legette | CAR | 205.2 | 172.3 | 32.9 |
| Rashod Bateman | BAL | 147.2 | 115.8 | 31.4 |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | DEN | 146.6 | 115.6 | 31 |
| Isaiah Likely | BAL | 173.6 | 144 | 29.6 |
| Jayden Higgins | HOU | 134.6 | 105.6 | 29 |
| Colston Loveland | CHI | 144 | 117.1 | 26.9 |
| Michael Pittman | IND | 127.4 | 101.5 | 25.9 |
| Matthew Golden | GB | 104.6 | 79.4 | 25.2 |
| Devin Neal | NO | 210.6 | 186.8 | 23.8 |
| Deebo Samuel | WAS | 93.8 | 70.6 | 23.2 |
| Jauan Jennings | SF | 85.4 | 62.3 | 23.1 |
| Cedric Tillman | CLE | 168 | 145.4 | 22.6 |
| Keon Coleman | BUF | 144.8 | 122.3 | 22.5 |
| Chig Okonkwo | TEN | 210.8 | 188.5 | 22.3 |
| Wan’Dale Robinson | NYG | 188.4 | 166.4 | 22 |
| Jaydon Blue | DAL | 149.4 | 128.6 | 20.8 |
| Rashid Shaheed | NO | 138.2 | 117.4 | 20.8 |
| Josh Downs | IND | 111.6 | 91 | 20.6 |
| Ray Davis | BUF | 171 | 150.9 | 20.1 |
| Rashee Rice | KC | 49.2 | 29.2 | 20 |
| Kyle Pitts | ATL | 167 | 148 | 19 |
Kyle Williams‘ ADP being 50 spots higher on Underdog than it is in the ECR is incredibly eye-opening. The Patriots aren’t blessed at wide receiver, making it tempting to use the ‘someone has to catch the ball’ argument, but ECR rankers seem more negative.
After all, we’ve seen this argument fall flat plenty of times before. At cost, though, Hunter Henry feels like he might be the smarter pick.
Saw Kyle Williams working a good amount outside the numbers. He caught a deep out from Drake Maye and got open on another but Josh Dobbs threw the ball behind him.
— Alex Barth (@RealAlexBarth) May 20, 2025
Quentin Johnston lands much lower in ECR despite his seven touchdowns in 2024. We know touchdown production can be tricky to predict year over year, so it makes sense drafters are wary, particularly with the Chargers bolstering their running back room.
Rashod Bateman being ranked 31.4 spots lower in ECR is interesting, as the Ravens did very little to enhance their receiving room, outside of the addition of the soon-to-be 33-year-old DeAndre Hopkins.
Bateman firmly established himself as the No. 2 WR in Baltimore last year and has played 33 games over the past two seasons, distancing himself from the perhaps unfair injury-prone label he had to start his career. Bateman finished as the WR46 in half-PPR points per game, ahead of Jaylen Waddle, Michael Pittman and Rome Odunze, among others. He could prove to be a solid value once again if ECR is incorrect.
Just recorded a video of all 190 TD passes over 20+ air yards from last NFL season.
Some wild things popped up on tape. But one thing is for certain – Rashod Bateman.
Massive sleeper in fantasy football this year. pic.twitter.com/bdvIAEXnrd
— Kurt Benkert (@KurtBenkert) March 31, 2025
Jayden Higgins was drafted by the Texans with the second pick in the second round of this year’s NFL Draft, giving him excellent draft capital and an ADP of 105.6. However, ECR seems concerned, with him ranked almost 30 spots lower. It’s easy to see both sides of the coin here with Nico Collins similar to Higgins in build and firmly entrenched as the No. 1 WR.
The Texans also recently traded for Christian Kirk, and Higgins himself will be competing with fellow Iowa State teammate Jaylin Noel, who was drafted a round after Higgins. The positive spin would be that Higgins will likely rarely see top cornerbacks thanks to Collins and the Texans could be pass-heavy if their poor offensive line forces them to abandon the run.
Deebo Samuel has a change of scenery with his trade to Washington, but instead of ECR thinking it could be a good thing, they seem down on his chances.
It’s fair to point out that Samuel has never played for anyone but Kyle Shanahan, but Kliff Kingsbury, despite his head coaching faults, is also a good offensive coordinator and should make big efforts to get the most out of Samuel. Perhaps the true value lies somewhere in the middle of these two numbers.
It seems ECR is firmly done with Kyle Pitts, despite Underdog ADP propping him up 19 spots higher. Pitts has done very little to deserve any faith at this point, and his best ball selection feels more due to a lack of other options than a true reflection of his potential worth.
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