Fantasy Baseball Prospect Rankings: 51-75 (Updated)

These prospect rankings are based on FANTASY value, not on real-life value. Considering such, hitters generally weigh a bit heavier for me due to the injury risk and higher volatility of prospect pitchers. Proximity to the Majors is also prominent in the equation, though these rankings are taking a longer-term / dynasty look on these guys (think of it more as a 5-year plan).

Rather than getting into writing little bios on all of these hitters, I’ve decided to keep my rankings simple by providing the most recent year’s stats of each player across all levels, a player comp, a small blub on the player’s prime skills for fantasy including my tool grades / pitching arsenals and an explanation of my ranking that may include trending data.

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Fantasy Baseball Prospect Report

Please note these rankings are the result of months of work from using available data, regular in-person scouting (Florida based), writing weekly prospect performance columns for Fantasy Pros and regular film review; I have provided my personal comps for each prospect (for fun – note: comps may be based on mechanics, body type, pitching arsenal or similar skills & box score style) and how I generally think each prospect will perform once in the majors over the next five or so seasons.

Please keep in mind that since this is a massive write-up, the statistical inputs will have varying dates and are not based upon one static date.

NOTE: Rookie status is determined by 130 at-bats or 50 innings pitched at the Major League level. Christian Scott (SP – NYM) was removed from prospect status.

Full Top 150 Prospect Rankings:

• Prospects 1-25
• Prospects 26-50
• Prospects 51-75
• Prospects 76-100
• Prospects 101-125
• Prospects 126-150

51. Gage Jump (SP – Athletics)

• 2024 College: 83 IP | 23.3 K-BB% | 3.47 ERA, 1.06 WHIP
• 2024 A+/AA (as of 8/22/25): 102 1/3 IP | 23.5 K-BB%, 13.4 SwStr%, 30.3 CSW% | 2.02 ERA, 0.96 WHIP
• Age: 22
• ETA: Mid 2026
• Comp: Lean high velo Carlos Rodon
• Prime Skills: Jump is a smaller college lefty who is known as a gamer and was drafted in the second round in 2024 out of LSU with a high 90s fastball from the left side (sitting 94-97, but hitting up to 100 mph), with very nice ride when he throw it high in the zone and deception at his release point along with a really slick 2-plane diving slider and a knee breaking 81 mph curve that breaks vertically. He could be a quick riser as the Athletics aren’t super deep at the higher levels with pitching. He’s incredibly efficient with his pitches and has run a fantastic 2.57 SIERA (JA ERA) on the season.
• Ranking Explanation: Jump has already nailed pitch counts in the 80-90 range, but the Athletics have pulled back on the innings and the pitch count starting around July in an effort to keep him in the 120-130 range. Henderson is a bit more developed than Jump and gets the edge, though Jump does get a small bump for being a lefty with significant velocity and for having better breaking pitches.
• Previous Rank: 56
• Arsenal Grades:
  • FA (94-100 mph): 65/65
  • SL (83-86 mph): 55/60
  • CU (78-81 mph): 40/50
  • CH (83-86 mph): 30/40
  • Command: 50/60

52. Jordan Lawlar (SP – Diamondbacks)

• 2024 AA/AAA: .318/.417/.485 | 9 XBH, 2 HR, 6 SB (23 games)
• 2025 AAA: .310/.399/.574 | 11.8 BB%, 23.3 K% | 37 XBH, 11 HR, 20 SB (59 games)
• 2025 MLB (as of 8/21/25): 0/19 (8 games – part-time)
• Age: 22
• ETA: MLB (on IL)
• Comp: Trea Turner light
• Prime Skills: Lawlar has a nice power swing, but it may affect his contact ability in the majors – he has all fields power and ridiculous speed, he’s a very aggressive base runner and puts himself in good positions to make things happen on top of having way above average plate discipline for his age. Lawlar put up a 75.1% contact and 83.2% Z-Contact at AAA, which are average-ish, but the angles were very good with a 10.6% barrel rate and 15-degree launch angle. His trouble with breakers has killed him in his small major league sample size. He puts up a solid 88.8 average EV, 104.3 90th percentile and a great max EV of 113.3, showing he doesn’t get close to his top-level power enough, so there is room for growth.
• Ranking Explanation: Lawlar has had a rough time in the majors after mashing at AAA, but the biggest issue might be his lack of regular playing time. It’s tough to judge him when he’s popping in for pinch hits instead of starting, and it may just take a little time for him to warm up, but the minor league numbers show us a solid player on the field when he’s healthy, with more room to grow in his power potential. The keys for Lawlar are health, learning to hit off-speed pitches, and regular playing time. The health is what drops him to this spot in my rankings, and I nearly placed him below Spencer Jones because of his lack of health, but Jones’ hit tool is just so bad that I’m not sure he can make it in the majors – he’s such a wild card.
• Previous Rank: 17
• Hitter Tool Grades:
  • Hit: 45/50
  • Plate Approach: 45/55
  • Power: 50/60
  • Speed: 65/65

53. Spencer Jones (OF – Yankees)

• 2024 AA: .259/.336/.452 | 9.9 BB%, 36.8 K% | 53 XBH, 17 HR, 25 SB
• 2025 AA (as of 8/19/25): .284/.381/.606 | 12.7 BB%, 31.3 K% | 45 XBH, 30 HR, 25 SB
• Age: 24
• ETA: Early 2026
• Comp: Joey Gallo w/ more speed
• Prime Skills: He’s huge at 6′ 6″ and has ridiculous power potential with decent speed to boot. He has a ton of sneaky speed to go along with the huge power potential, but the swing has some massive holes in it and has gotten progressively worse (73.2% contact rate in 2023, 61.6% in 2024, and 60.9% in 2025). The contact part of the hit tool is bad, but the quality of contact is great as he has a 17.9% barrel rate and 14-degree average launch angle on the season, which is the only reason I give him a potential 40 grade on the hit tool. Developing a consistent (even if below average) contactability is what he will live or die by in the majors.
• Ranking Explanation: He has changed his stance a number of times this season, which has led to major inconsistencies from week to week, with a .181/.274/.250 slash in his last 19 games, and he had hit .423/.478/.962 in the 19 games prior to that. At the end of the day, the stats look good, but it’s a weird journey to get there, and it might not be fun in a weekly H2H league. He’s basically the living, breathing risk-reward line for “go big or go home.”
• Previous Rank: 72
• Hitter Tool Grades:
  • Hit: 30/40
  • Plate Approach: 35/35
  • Power: 60/75
  • Speed: 60/60

54. Franklin Arias (SS – Red Sox)

• 2024 Cpx/A: .309/.409/.487 | 13.4 BB%, 17.5 K% | 36 XBH, 9 HR, 35 SB (87 games)
• 2025 A+ (as of 8/20/25): .280/.336/.389 | 7 BB%, 9.8 K% | 31 XBH, 6 HR, 11 SB
• Age: 19
• ETA: 2028
• Comp: Righty Luis Arraez with a tad more power potential and better glove
• Prime Skills: Good plate skills with above-average power, really quick bat speed and hands, and great speed. He has an elite hit tool, one of the best in the minors, with an 89.5 Contact% in high A. He’s also shown the ability to steal some bags and has non-zero power, with the power actually improving at high A from low A. The highest recorded max EV for Arias is only 105, but that was also back when he was at A ball and we had those readings, while he has an average-ish for his age, 102.6, 90th percentile EV. He has at least an average ability to get decent angles on the ball with a solid doubles profile, but has yet to translate that to homerun power.
• Ranking Explanation: I learned my lesson by only ranking Jacob Wilson in the 60s… don’t underestimate an advanced hit tool in young guys that could still add power or speed. He has a 105 wRC+ in high A as a 19-year-old, with which an age-to-level bump would give him another 50 points. The speed potential has unfortunately fallen off this year, but I think there could be 10-15 homer upside for a guy who should be a consistent .280 plus hitter. Having Arias ranked right next to Spencer Jones is hilarious because they are polar opposite players, but I give Jones the nod based on proximity and that the power/speed tools are just more tantalizing for most fantasy baseball leagues.
• Previous Rank: 22
• Hitter Tool Grades:
  • Hit: 65/70
  • Plate Approach: 55/60
  • Power: 35/45
  • Speed: 40/40

55. Eli Willits (SS – Nationals)

• 2025 A (as of 8/21/25): .750/.800/.750 | 20 BB%, 0 K% | 0 XBH, 0 HR, 1 SB
• Age: 17
• ETA: 2028
• Comp: Bigger Jimmy Rollins type
• Prime Skills: Willits is best known for being a very well-rounded player and could be kind of a high school JJ Wetherholt type (with less power), where he will just kind of be boringly good at every level. We basically have no EV data on Willits publicly available since 2024, so there’s no point in repeating those numbers, and there’s not a ton of public data yet, so I’m going to get a lot on feel from the video we have available.
• Ranking Explanation: Willits should be a very solid across the board player and will be on my rankings for the next 3-4 years or so as he makes his way through levels, so hopefully in 2-3 years I’m not writing about prospect fatigue on him. His rank is based more on my gut feel and projecting off not a lot of video, rather than hard data and a ton of video / in-person looks. The good thing is, I should get to see him a decent amount next Spring Training.
• Previous Rank: N/A
• Hitter Tool Grades:
  • Hit: 45/60
  • Plate Approach: 45/55
  • Power: 30/45
  • Speed: 60/60

56. Payton Tolle (SP – Red Sox)

• 2024 College: 81 1/3 IP | 37.1 K-BB% | 3.64 ERA, 1.15 WHIP
• 2025 A+ (as of 8/22/25): 86 2/3 IP | 29 K-BB%, 18 SwStr%, 36.2% CSW | 3.12 ERA, 1.04 WHIP
• Age: 22
• ETA: Debuted (in MLB)
• Comp: Young Tarik Skubal light still developing pitches around the fastball
• Prime Skills: Tolle has given up some damage, but has been great despite some homer issues earlier in the season. Tolle has 41 Ks and only 3 BBs in his last five starts, but has also had some HR issues blemishing his stellar under-the-hood metrics. He’s a huge 6’6″, 230 pound lefty who gets up to 96 MPH on the fastball with a ridiculous 21.2 SwStr% on it at AAA this year thanks to elite extension (only surpassed by Tyler Glasnow and Logan Gilbert in the majors), he also has a potential above average hard sweeper, a developing potentially plus change up and a solid dropping cutter / arm-side sinker combo off his fastball.
• Ranking Explanation: Oddly, Tolle has some reverse split issues as he has a 37,3 K-BB% against righties and a 32.8 K-BB% against lefties, against whom he does not locate nearly as well, while he just backfoots the sweeper against righties. Last rankings update, I wrote “To counter this, he probably needs a vertical hard slider or sinker to bridge the fastball and sweeper and perfect the arsenal”… which he added as the cutter works as that hard slider. Tolle has a 1.83 SIERA (JA ERA) across all levels, more or less on the back of the fastball and plus command. Tolle has a workhorse build that Jump does not, but Jump’s breakers have more movement, thus more potential, so I give him the edge.
• Previous Rank: 96
• Arsenal Grades:
  • FA (94-98 mph): 65/70
  • SL (84-88 mph): 45/55
  • FC (89-90 mph): 40/45
  • CH (83-86 mph): 45/55
  • FS (94-96 mph): 30/40
  • Command: 60/60

57. Jonny Farmelo (OF – Mariners)

• 2024 A: .264/.398/.421 | 16.3 BB%, 23.5 K% | 17 XBH, 4 HR, 18 SB (46 games)
• 2025 A+ (as of 8/22/25): .273/.367/.558 | 12.2 BB%, 27.8 K% | 11 XBH, 5 HR, 0 SB (20 games)
• Age: 20
• ETA: Late 2027
• Comp: Charlie Blackmon
• Prime Skills: Big, long levered lefty with some big-time power / speed potential with quick back speed. He tends to coil up as the pitch is coming in and unleashes to make some nice driving contact that I think will lead to a big doubles profile. The hit tool has been down this year from 80% in 2024 to 65.4% in 2025, but the slug has been up as he hit three doubles in a row once he returned from injury. Farmelo had a 103.2 90th percentile EV in 2024 as a 19-year-old and he has hit to excellent angles when healthy.
• Ranking Explanation: Farmelo missed the second half of the season in 2024 after suffering a right knee injury that required surgery, and then missed a large part of 2025 with a couple more injuries. We haven’t seen the speed this year or the hit tool, but his previous outcomes have shown these skills exist. This is almost a good, but injury-riddled tier between Farmelo and Emmanuel Rodriguez. I give the edge to Farmelo, though, as I believe his hit and speed tools have greater potential.
• Previous Rank: 49
• Hitter Tool Grades:
  • Hit: 35/50
  • Plate Approach: 45/60
  • Power: 50/60
  • Speed: 55/65

58. Kyson Witherspoon (SP – Red Sox)

• 2025 College: 119 IP | 30.1 K-BB% | 3.18 ERA, 1.06 WHIP
• Age: 21
• ETA: Mid 2027
• Comp: Emmet Sheehan / Nolan McLean mash
• Prime Skills: At 6′ 2″, he’s not the biggest pitcher, but I love his fastball coming from the lower release point, it has some electric IVB on it. The slider is a beast as a vertically cutting slider with similar shape to the aforementioned Sheehan, while his cutter also has some insane vertical movement which is more like a gyro slider in the mold of Nolan McLean’s sweeper with some insane velocity to break, while the curve ball is a slower, deeper break than the slider or cutter.
• Arsenal Grades:
  • FA (95-98 mph): 65/65
  • SL (85-88 mph): 60/65
  • FC (89-91 mph): 55/60
  • CU (79-81 mph): 50/55
  • CH (86-88 mph): 40/45
  • Command: 45/60

59. Carson Williams (SS – Rays)

• 2024 AA: .256/.352/.469 | 11.5 BB%, 28.5 K% | 46 XBH, 20 HR, 33 SB
• 2025 AAA: .213/.318/.447 | 12.4 BB%, 34.1 K% | 40 XBH, 23 HR, 22 SB
• 2025 MLB (as of 8/23/25): .500/.500/1.250 | 0.0 BB%, 25 K% | 1 XBH, 1 HR, 0 SB
• Age: 22
• ETA: Debuted (in MLB)
• Comp: Trevor Story outside of Coors w/ better defense
• Prime Skills: Power, speed, OK-plate skills the only thing this kid is missing right now is the hit tool (62.7 Contact% and 77.1 Z-Contact%). He has quick hands and changed his stance from a slight crouch to be more upright since last year, but those Ks need to go down for him to reach his potential as a 20/20 type with a good walk rate in the majors. He does have a high quality of contact which balances out the terrible general contact rates as he’s running a 40.6 SweetSpot%, 12% barrel rate, 25.6% line drive rate and 107 90th EV which are all phenomenal. The power is plus as he hits the ball hard consistently with great angles when he does make contact and has put up an 111.7 max EV.
• Ranking Explanation: The power and speed skills are both still intact, and his ability to take a walk, but the contact rates have always been horrendous. The good news is he will get playing time because the defense is phenomenal, and the power / speed will play. I bumped him over Emmanuel Rodriguez since he is already in the majors, and I think he just generally hits to better angles, which bumps his hit tool in my mind via quality of contact.
• Previous Rank: 62
• Hitter Tool Grades:
  • Hit: 35/40
  • Plate Approach: 40/45
  • Power: 60/60
  • Speed: 60/60

60. Chase DeLauter (OF – Guardians)

• 2024 AA/AAA: .261/.341/.500 | 11.6 BB%, 13.4 K% | 18 XBH, 8 HR, 1 SB (39 games)
• 2025 Season (as of 8/24/25): .264/.379/.473 | 15.8 BB%, 15.8 K% | 16 XBH, 7 HR, 1 SB (42 games)
• Age: 23
• ETA: Late 2025 / Early 2026
• Comp: Hunter Pence (without the speed) and lefty Matt Holliday mash
• Prime Skills: He’s shown a really strong hit tool (82.8% contact rate and 85.6% Z-contact) and has some unrealized power in his small sample size at the minor league level (107 90th percentile EV and 110 max EV). The pull power from his college days is tantalizing. Coming off injury, we just need to see some health from this doubles machine, but he’s only played 138 games in three pro seasons, which really limits his upside.
• Ranking Explanation: DeLauter just can’t stay healthy, and that’s tanked his prospect profile a bit for me. Every time he’s healthy and I think I’m back in on him, he gets hurt again. If he could stay healthy, he has a .270-.280 profile with 25 homerun upside plus a ton of doubles power. If he didn’t have the health issues, he would be up in the 30s of my prospect rankings, but I do still like him more than the other oft-injured OF in this range, Emmanuel Rodriguez.
• Previous Rank: 43
• Hitter Tool Grades:
  • Hit: 55/60
  • Plate Approach: 65/65
  • Power: 55/60
  • Speed: 40/40

61. Theo Gillen (OF – Rays)

• 2024 CPX: .154/.353/.192 | 23.5 BB%, 41.2 K% | 1 XBH, 0 HR, 1 SB (8 games)
• 2025 A (as of 8/23/25): .267/.433/.387 | 19.6 BB%, 23.1 K% | 18 XBH, 5 HR, 36 SB
• Age: 19
• ETA: 2028
• Comp: Smaller, more toolsy Parker Meadows
• Prime Skills: Gillen has great timing at the plate, nice load and really gets on pitches with a sweet and powerful lefty swing. He has a nice sized athletic build and should develop into a power / speed threat. He played SS in highschool, but with a weak arm has moved off to the OF. The hit tool is performing better than I had expected out of the gate with a 74.3% contact rate and only a 8.8% SwStr%, while he’s shown a fantastic eye at the plate, but he has been a little too patient with only a 34.3% Swing%. He’s been getting to better angles this year with a plus air-pull rate, as he’s also lowered the groundball rate and increased the linedrive rate. I have not found publicly available max EVs since high school, but this year he has a reported 103.2 90th percentile EV, which is good for his age.
• Ranking Explanation: Gillen is a bit of a flier as a high school athlete in a system that can get crowded with Tampa, but there is a good power / speed skill set here that will play up in this system if he can develop the hit tool – as a lot of Rays guys have good power and speed and never develop the plus hit tool. His plate approach and angles will help the hit and power tool play up, and he has been a burner on the basepaths this year despite rookie reports of only above-average run times. I spotted Gillen between DeLauter and E Rod (the injured bros), because I think DeLauter has a very safe profile if he can ever stay on the field, while E Rod has louder tools, but there’s a chance he’s a faster Miguel Sano.
• Previous Rank: 112
• Hitter Tool Grades:
  • Hit: 40/50
  • Plate Approach: 60/65
  • Power: 40/55
  • Speed: 60/60

62. Quinn Mathews (SP – Cardinals)

• 2024 A/A+/AA/AAA: 143 1/3 IP | 26.8 K-BB%, 16.1 SwStr%, 32.9 CSW% | 2.76 ERA, 0.98 WHIP
• 2025 CPX/A/AAA (as of 8/23/25): 75 IP | 11.4 K-BB%, 15.4 SwStr%, 28.6 CSW% | 3.60 ERA, 1.52 WHIP
• Age: 24
• ETA: Early 2026
• Comp: Cole Ragans light
• Prime Skills: Mathews is a big college lefty with some ridiculous breakers that play way better when he can spin his fastball with mid-90s velo and above average rise to it and the slider is a swing and miss machine paired with that fastball. His command has gone from elite to lost this year, but he has been better of late and has shown himself in college to be a workhorse.
• Ranking Explanation: Mathews had a shoulder injury at the beginning of the season that ruined his command, and his velocity has been down since last year, but his command has been significantly better since the beginning of August. I have a feeling most of this has to do with hitters sitting on the high fastball, letting ABS do the work for them, and forcing him to throw the fastball in the zone or fall behind in the count. Mathews needs to spend the offseason working on regaining some vertical break and command on the fastball to allow his very good secondaries to play up.
• Previous Rank: 38
• Arsenal Grades:
  • FA (93-96 mph): 40/50 – lost velo and command this year
  • SL (84-86 mph): 60/70
  • CH (81-83 mph): 70/70
  • CU (75-77 mph): 50/55
  • SI (92-94 mph): 45/55
  • Command: 35/55

63. Seth Hernandez (SP – Pirates)

• 2025 MILB: 0 IP | – K-BB% | – ERA, – WHIP
• Age: 18
• ETA: Mid/Late 2026
• Comp: Andrew Painter (yes, I’m comparing a prospect to a prospect)
• Prime Skills: Hernandez is a well built starter with an old-school top-end starter’s arsenal, great command and a smooth delivery. The breakers need some work developing, but the fastball and changeup combo alone will help him raise quickly through the levels despite his age and with health this is a dude who could debut at 20/21 years-old.
• Ranking Explanation: The fastball is ridiculous. Good luck to the low A hitters who will have to try to hit that thing. I doubt Hernandez runs into trouble at any level until AAA, and he’s in an organization with a lot of great young pitchers that should help him out as he comes up. High school pitchers are hard to pump in fantasy baseball prospect rankings; he should be higher in non-fantasy related rankings, simply because proximity really matters with pitching prospects, as injuries are just a killer for pitchers in fantasy baseball. Stuff alone, he’s a top 30 prospect for me right now- but the fact that we have to go through two to three years of avoiding serious injury before you can use him pushes him down below some proximity guys like Quinn Mathews.
• Previous Rank: N/A
• Arsenal Grades:
  • FA4 (94-100 mph) w/ arm side run: 60/70
  • FA2 (93-97 mph): 50/60
  • CH (81-84 mph): 55/65
  • SL (86-88 mph): 40/50
  • CU (77-82 mph): 45/55
  • Command: 50/60

64. Emmanuel Rodriguez (OF – Twins)

• 2024 CPX/A/AA/AAA: .280/.459/.567 | 24.4 BB%, 29.7 K% | 25 XBH, 9 HR, 9 SB (47 games)
• 2025 AAA (as of 8/22/25): .273/.423/.430 | 19.2 BB%, 32.7 K% | 15 XBH, 5 HR, 7 SB (51 games)
• Age: 22
  ETA: Cup of Coffee 2025
• Comp: Rafael Devers meets Max Muncy with speed (credit to James Anderson)
• Prime Skills: Great eye and insane power (114.6 max EV in 2024 and a 107.7 90th percentile EV in 2025) with a tad of speed mixed in despite being a bigger boy, quick hands though. Like many of these guys, Rodriguez has to work on his hit tool a bit and cut down on the strikeouts. The power and speed potential is ridiculous, but he has not been able to get anywhere near his potential thanks to injuries, inconsistencies and strikeouts as the contract rate has not been able to develop (66.7% contact rate and 76% Z-Contact%).
• Ranking Explanation: He’s dealt with injuries the last couple of years, but has been good on a per plate appearance basis, despite too many strikeouts and a high three outcome potential. Rodriguez is a former top 10 prospect for me who has great potential if he can improve the hit tool and limit the strikeouts. He’s almost a tempered-down version of Spencer Jones, but the lack of a developed hit tool pushes him below guys like Arias and Willits.
• Previous Rank: 25
• Hitter Tool Grades:
  • Hit: 30/35
  • Plate Approach: 55/55
  • Power: 55/65
  • Speed: 50/55

65. Charlie Condon (OF- Rockies)

• 2024 College: .433/.566/1.009 | 58 XBH, 37 HR, 3 SB
• 2024 A+: .180/.248/.270 | 3.7 BB%, 31.2 K% | 6 XBH, 1 HR, 4 SB (25 games)
• 2025 CPX/A+/AA (as of 8/22/25): .290/.398/.458 | 13.3 BB%, 25.4 K% | 28 XBH, 10 HR, 2 SB
• Age: 22
• ETA: Late 2026
• Comp: Less athletic righty Cody Bellinger
• Prime Skills: Condon is all about the power, but how much of the power will translate from college and can he hit breaking pitches are the big questions. He’s a big-time fastball hunter and guys at the higher levels might expose him on breakers. He has a long body, but keeps his hands in so he doesn’t get exposed inside. He smashes pitches up in the zone and it will be interesting to see if he can keep the strikeout rate down as he’s only making contact on 68.4% of his swings and this has downticked since he reached AA, however the contact he is making is with excellent angles as he has a 28% line drive rate on the season and a 49% pull rate. Condon put up some killer EV numbers in college, but I don’t have any sure things in pro ball.
• Ranking Explanation: Condon’s home/away college splits are incredibly concerning amongst the rumors of SEC teams using a live feed in the dugout when at home (.482/.530/1.125 HOME vs. .279/.367/.698 ROAD). Thankfully, we are finally starting to see what he can do healthy this year after a terrible transition to the minors in 2024, and while there is some volatility in the contact profile, the angles he’s showing are a pleasant surprise. E Rod gets the nod over Condon as he has closer proximity, a better plate approach (despite all the Ks), and more speed.
• Previous Rank: 45
• Hitter Tool Grades:
  • Hit: 40/45
  • Plate Approach: 45/45
  • Power: 50/70
  • Speed: 35/40

66. Justin Crawford (OF – Phillies)

• 2024 A+/AA: .313/.360/.444 | 6.4 BB%, 18.7 K% | 38 XBH, 9 HR, 42 SB (110 games)
• 2025 AAA (as of 8/22/25): .326/.406/.431 | 11.7 BB%, 18.7 K% | 31 XBH, 4 HR, 42 SB
• Age: 21
• ETA: Cup of coffee 2025
• Comp: Carl Crawford w/ less power (Taller Juan Pierre perhaps?)
• Prime Skills: Speed, lightning speed like his dad. The hit tool is plus or better and the plate skills are improving. We may also get 10-15 homer power to go along with the rest of the tools, once he improves his ability to get to quality contact. Crawford has an 84.7% contact rate and 91.4% Z-Contact rate along with an over 65% Z-swing – so the hit tool is very solid. The crazy thing is his raw power is also not bad, despite no homers, because he is not barreling balls (only 3.1%) and hitting the ball on the ground more than 60% of the time. He has decent 103.1 90th percentile and 110.6 max EV this year.
• Ranking Explanation: Crawford has performed like a stud leadoff hitter at an advanced level for his age throughout his time in the minors. The lack of power in his profile will stop him from ever reaching the top level of prospects, but he’s projected as an effective source of speed and batting average for the future, and could get into 15 homer power if he can translate his raw power into game power (needs to improve angles and get the ball off the ground). Condon gets the edge with his power upside, but Crawford is underrated and could be the next iteration of the speed guys like Victor Scott to hit the majors and should be up this season, but first needs to get more quality angles and also needs to improve efficiency on the basepaths.
• Previous Rank: 47
• Hitter Tool Grades:
  • Hit: 60/65
  • Plate Approach: 50/55
  • Power: 35/45
  • Speed: 60/70

67. Jamie Arnold (SP – Athletics)

• 2025 College: 84 2/3 IP | 26.2 K-BB% | 2.98 ERA, 1.06 WHIP
• Age: 21
• ETA: 2027
• Comp: Mini Chris Sale
• Prime Skills: Arnold is an athletic lefty with a slighter build and throws from a unique arm angle that made him one of the top pitching prospects coming into the season and leaving the season, as he has a well-rounded fastball, slider, change up combo and above average command, especially for the arm-slot. The cutter is also kind of just a vertical gyro slider, it’s just a matter of semantics.
• Ranking Explanation: It’s easy to group Jamie Arnold and Hagen Smith together because they have such similar arm-slots from the left side. Smith has better stuff and more velocity, but Jamie Arnold has much more command and is more polished, so he gets the edge. He should climb pretty quickly and could even debut by the end of 2026 thanks to his polish, but I see 2027 as more likely, and Hernandez gets the bump on him even with the delay of having to wait for him because the stuff and command are ace-level on Hernandez, while Arnold profiles more as a #2-3 starter.
• Previous Rank: N/A
• Arsenal Grades:
  • FA (92-96 mph): 60/60
  • SL (84-87 mph – sweeper): 65/65
  • CH (84-87 mph): 50/55
  • FC (86-88 mph): 45/50
  • Command: 55/55

68. Emil Morales (SS/3B – Dodgers)

• 2024 DSL: .342/.478/.691 | 19.9 BB%, 22.4 K% | 25 XBH, 14 HR, 12 SB (46 games)
• 2025 CPX/A (as of 8/22/25): .309/.391/.527 | 11.5 BB%, 27.1 K% | 37 XBH, 14 HR, 10 SB
• Age: 18
• ETA: 2028
• Comp: Fernando Tatis Jr. light
• Prime Skills: Big, athletic shortstop with high end power potential and decent speed. He has the Fernando Tatis Jr. swing which has led to a similar batted ball profile (though beware of the high swinging strike rate as an average hit tool is likely the best case outcome with a 73% contact rate). Morales has a reported 102.6 90th percentile EV which is good at his age and when you combine his projected growth as a big 6′ 3″ kid with the optimal angles he gets to there is a lot of power upside here.
• Ranking Explanation: It’s hard to rate the younger complex / DSL guys, but Morales is up to A ball now, and it should be noted that the plate skills have actually improved from complex to A ball. There’s a lot of potential here with Morales, and skills-wise I like him better than guys like Condon, but the proximity gives him a raw hit tool that needs a lot of refining (unlike a guy like Edward Florentino), bumping him below some rough around the edges proximity guys like Spencer Jones and Condon.
• Previous Rank: 114
• Hitter Tool Grades:
  • Hit: 30/45
  • Plate Approach: 30/50
  • Power: 45/65
  • Speed: 50/50

69. Carter Jensen (C – Royals)

• 2024 A+/AA: .259/.359/.450 | 13.2 BB%, 23.4 K% | 46 XBH, 18 HR, 17 SB
• 2025 AA (as of 8/23/25): .285/.370/.478 | 11.9 BB%, 25.1 K% | 40 XBH, 17 HR, 10 SB
• Age: 22
• ETA: Late 2025
• Comp: Bo Naylor mechanics w/ a bit of a Will Smith batted ball profile
• Prime Skills: Jensen is a beast of an athlete for a catcher. The Royals are the masters at developing stud catchers it would seem – with the Cardinals. He has some solid pull power while also showing the ability to hit the ball the other way, which should keep him from getting shifted to death. Jensen has a 73.9% contact rate on the season and a very good 86.9% Z-Contact at AAA despite a lower overall contact rate at the level, so he makes good quality contact within the zone as evidenced by his 16.3% barrel rate and 107.3th percentile which has resulted in an insane 59.6% hard hit rate at AAA and an over 23% line drive rate, so while he has below average contactability, the quality of contact is excellent and boosts his overall hit tool.
• Ranking Explanation: I don’t think Jensen is going to be a superstar, but he does have average to above-average tools pretty much across the board, making him a very solid player. Jensen has bounced around through my rankings a bit in the past couple of years and has managed a strong season that should lead to a call-up in the near future, but without an elite tool, it’s hard to rank him even with the proximity ahead of a guy like Emil Morales and his power potential.
• Previous Rank: 146
• Hitter Tool Grades:
  • Hit: 45/55
  • Plate Approach: 45/50
  • Power: 55/55
  • Speed: 50/45

70. Hagen Smith (SP – White Sox)

• 2024 College: 84 IP | 161 Ks, 34 BBs | 2.04 ERA, 0.89 WHIP
• 2024 MLB: 7 2/3 IP | 15.2 K-BB%, 12.7 SwStr%, 28 CSW% | 3.52 ERA, 1.17 WHIP
• 2025 AA (as of 8/23/25): 59 IP | 17.9 K-BB%, 14.3 SwStr%, 29.8 CSW% | 3.51 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
• Age: 21
• ETA: Early/Mid 2026
• Comp: Yusei Kikuchi w/ some Chris Sale-esk arm action on the slider
• Prime Skills: Big, strong lefty with a quick, lower 3/4 -esque arm action that almost just snaps his fastball and slider straight in there at high 90s velocity. He’s working on a changeup / splitter pitch as well to throw against his primarily fastball and slider combo. He’s run into some command issues this season as his walk rate is at a completely unsustainable 16.3% rate, which is some scary reliever stuff.
• Ranking Explanation: I don’t have pitch level data to analyze why his command has been so bad this year, since he’s not at AAA, but I’m not going to quit on him so quickly – so let’s give him some patience, as the fastball / slider combo is obviously ridiculous. Mechanically, though, it makes sense how he could lose command so easily – it’s a very different delivery. He has been limiting walks of late, despite not having a strike rate above 50% in a game since July 4th.
• Previous Rank: 39
• Arsenal Grades:
  • FA (94-100 mph): 60/65
  • SL (83-87 mph): 65/70
  • CH (86-89 mph): 45/55
  • Command: 25/40

71. JoJo Parker (SS/3B – Blue Jays)

• 2025 MILB: N/A
• Age: 19
• ETA: 2028
• Comp: Roman Anthony-esk light swing mechanics
• Prime Skills: Parker has a good swing for staying back on the ball and has a toe tap with big time coil before he strides into the ball from the back of the box. As noted with some of the other high school guys, a lot of what I’m going on is a small amount of video, some limited sabermetrics and high school stats. He had a max EV earlier in the season of 99.3, but due to his consistent swing and good angels he has a mid 20s power upside.
• Ranking Explanation: Parker was one of my favorite players in the draft class and has a swing that portends to pull power that should play up as scouts report he has good barrel presence. Carter Jensen might have a slightly lighter tools profile than Parker, but he has proximity on his side and could be up soon, whereas Parker likely has 3 years in the minors before we see him in the majors.
• Previous Rank: N/A
• Hitter Tool Grades:
  • Hit: 45/60
  • Plate Approach: 50/55
  • Power: 30/55
  • Speed: 50/50

72. Hector Rodriguez (OF – Reds)

• 2024 A/A+: .293/.343/.495 | 5.6 BB%, 18.8 K% | 51 XBH, 16 HR, 18 SB
• 2025 AA (as of 8/23/25): .296/.353/.476 | 7.8 BB%, 14.3 K% | 42 XBH, 16 HR, 10 SB
• Age: 21
• ETA: Early 2026
• Comp: Wilyer Abreu and Michael Harris II mash (as hitters)
• Prime Skills: Rodriguez has fire hydrant build as a 200-pound 5’11” player with a short, quick swing that leads to a plus hit tool (83.3 contact% and 90.6 Z-Contact%) though he misses a tad on his swings (strange 5.2% barrel rate still leading to a 29.9% line drive rate). Rodriguez has a much improved plate approach this season and above average power (106.1 90th percentile EV and 110.7 max EV) and a potential 20/10, gap hitter profile that can really boom in Cincinnati. He’s good enough against lefties to avoid the strongside platoon risk many lefties face.
• Ranking Explanation: The biggest issue Rodriguez faces is a lack of barrels that leads to inconsistencies across his batted ball profile that diminishes would could be a 65 hit tool and a sure-fire 55 grade power as the batted ball spread is all over the map, though he still tends to find the gaps and pile up a number of liners. Parker has a higher upside than Rodriguez, though Rodriguez is close to the majors and gets some proximity bump; the difference is a potential All-Star in Parker vs a guy I expect to end up as a solid regular, but not a major DUDE in Rodriguez.
• Previous Rank: 109
• Hitter Tool Grades:
  • Hit: 60/60
  • Plate Approach: 50/55
  • Power: 50/55
  • Speed: 45/45

73. Carlos Lagrange (SP – Yankees)

• 2024 CPX/A: 21 IP | 7 K-BB%, 11.4 SwStr%, 30.1 CSW% | 6.86 ERA, 1.62 WHIP
• 2025 A+/AA (as of 8/23/25): 100 1/3 IP | 21.4 K-BB%, 15.7 SwStr%, 32.9 CSW% | 3.95 ERA, 1.21 WHIP
• Age: 22
• ETA: Mid 2026
• Comp: Joe Musgrove with more velocity
• Prime Skills: Lagrange improved his command significantly early this season which made him a completely different pitcher, especially as a 6′ 7″ beast throwing from a higher 3/4 arm-slot who can touch 102 mph on the fastball complimented by a hard vertical slider that seems to disappear when it’s working and a sweeper. Lagrange is rocking a 2.69 JA ERA (SIERA) and though he has piled up a ton of strikeouts, his biggest killer has been a return of the erratic command in AA that haunted him last year. He also throws a 2-seamer with arm-side run that has some nice movement and destroys lefties.
• Ranking Explanation: Lagrange has been one of the best pitchers in the minors this season and should move up in short order as a 22-year-old. Lagrange is consistent and going deep into games, running pitch counts regularly in the 90s, and has insane stuff. He sometimes throws a sweeper, but it has almost a curve hook to it and is more vertical than horizontal, and needs something that runs east to west to complete the arsenal, as well as locking in the command. His stuff is very good, and he could be Misiorowski-esque if he can figure out the command. I give Hagen Smith the slight edge, because I feel like he’s the easier fix command-wise, thanks to Lagrange’s size / more moving parts.
• Previous Rank: 78
• Arsenal Grades:
  • FA (97-102 mph): 60/60
  • FS (90-92 mph): 60/65
  • SL (85-88 mph) – vertical: 65/65
  • CH (86-88 mph): 30/40
  • SW (81-85 mph): 40/40
  • Command: 30/40

74. Jarlin Susana (SP – Nationals)

• 2024 A/A+: 103 2/3 IP | 24.5 K-BB%, 17.5 SwStr%, 33.4 CSW% | 4.34 ERA, 1.31 WHIP
• 2025 AA (as of 8/24/25): 54 2/3 IP | 26.1 K-BB%, 16 SwStr%, 33.7 CSW% | 3.13 ERA, 1.28 WHIP
• Age: 21
• ETA: Mid 2026
• Comp: Paul Skenes light
• Prime Skills: Another 6′ 6″ righty for the Nationals, but Susana came to them in the Juan Soto trade from San Diego… the gift trade that keeps on giving. Susana has an insane 100-102 MPH missile of a fastball, a 88-91 mph nasty power slider that continues to improve and is his best pitch along with a diving, death ball change up with curve like action. He almost reminds me of a better version of Kumar Rocker. Susana is rocking a 2.20 JA ERA (SIERA) on the season.
• Ranking Explanation: The Nationals are flooded with ridiculous pitching prospects right now at the lower level. Susana and Sykora are going to cause problems for a long time, except that Susana is putting up terrible walk rates (16.4%) and looks like he needs to go down to A ball to figure out his command. The strike rate itself is pretty solid, but the f-strike% is bad (45-ish percent), and he must be falling behind in the count. Both of these guys should be in the majors, but Susana might be in the majors as a closer, not a starter.
• Previous Rank: 122
• Arsenal Grades:
  • FA (98-103 mph): 60/65
  • SL (88-91 mph): 70/70
  • CH (86-89 mph): 40/50
  • CU (85-87 mph): 30/40
  • Command: 30/40

75. Owen Murphy (SP – Braves)

• 2024 A+: 41 IP | 31 K-BB%, 13.7 SwStr%, 31.9 CSW% | 1.54 ERA, 0.73 WHIP
• 2025 CPX/A+: 22 IP | 35.1 K-BB%, 16.3 SwStr%, 32.9 CSW% | 0.41 ERA, 0.50 WHIP
• Age: 21
• ETA: Late 2026
• Comp: Bryce Miller
• Prime Skills: Murphy is a former first rounder with ridiculous fastball characteristics (up to 22″ IVB on it.) and just returned from Tommy John. The fastball runs into the lower/mid-90s with excellent ride to it, and he’s good and pounding it into the top of the zone. He throws a curve against a 12/6 slider, it would be killer if he could add a sweeper to the arsenal or something with more horizontal movement and the change up has some splitter characteristics.
• Ranking Explanation: I love Murphy; it’s good to have him back, and the command has been sublime since returning from TJ. The velocity is down a bit, but with the movement there and the command actually improved, he should be able to have a normal offseason and could perhaps add some velocity in a pitching lab. Ultimately, I like his stuff better than Lowder’s, and thus he gets the edge despite the fact that Lowder will almost definitely break camp with the big league squad.
• Previous Rank: 137
• Arsenal Grades:
  • FA (91-94 mph): 60/65
  • SL (83-86 mph): 60/65
  • CU (76-80 mph): 55/60
  • CH (78-82 mph): 40/45
  • Command: 60/65

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