It’s officially Week 2 of the fantasy football season after a slate of ghastly performances last weekend. The good news is that my pace & efficiency column is back on FantasyPros for the 2025 NFL season to arm managers with intel to razz their league mates.
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NFL Offensive Pace & Efficiency
This series uses expected points added (EPA). For more information on EPA, click here.
Offenses Trending Up
Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers brought offensive execution to Brazil for their season opener against the Chiefs. A nearly 400-yard performance earned them a six-point victory and the third-best EPA/play (0.25) of Week 1.
The passing game stood out for the Chargers’ offense. Justin Herbert went 25-of-34 (73.5%) on 9.4 yards per attempt and three touchdowns.
Jim Harbaugh has historically opted for a run-heavy scheme, but with injuries on the offensive line, this playbook could balance out. Herbert showed he could handle more throwing volume out of the gate with a passer rating of 131.7.
There were three players with at least seven targets for the Chargers: Keenan Allen, Ladd McConkey and Quentin Johnston. Against softer secondaries, this can be expected, like this Sunday versus the Raiders.
While Johnston scored twice last week, Allen is a receiver with season-long promise who will be less expensive in the trade market. He averaged nearly 10 yards per catch and drew 10 targets. The Chargers were elite in EPA/pass (0.4).
Omarion Hampton had a low fantasy score, but his usage was very promising. He had 15 of the team’s 25 carries. There were multiple runs he likely breaks for big gains later in the season. Of his 48 rushing yards, 41 came after contact. Hampton is a solid hold.
It’s been one week, but the Chargers have a few things to clean up. One is quarterback pressure, another nod to Herbert’s performance. The second would be converting in the red zone. They went 2-for-4.
New York Jets
The Jets looked good offensively to start 2025. They hung 32 points and 394 total yards on the Steelers, who have quality personnel defensively. They were fifth in EPA/play (0.20).
The Jets had 182 rushing yards. It took 39 called runs; their efficiency can improve, but Breece Hall and Justin Fields will have plenty of opportunities this year.
Hall averaged 5.6 yards per carry on 19 attempts. Production on the ground with his ability as a receiver could make him a top-five fantasy running back this year. He did not score, yet tallied 15.5 points in half-PPR formats.
Justin Fields‘ average draft position (ADP) at quarterback was 13th in fantasy drafts this year. That could be one of the best values in fantasy football if last week was an indicator of what’s coming.
Fields’ completion rate was over 70%. One of the throws was a deep ball to Garrett Wilson for a touchdown. He slammed the door at the goal line twice, which could be the start of a Jalen Hurts-type role in short yardage. The threat of him and Hall running opens things up downfield. He was tied for second in EPA/pass (0.43).
If there is one concern with this Jets offense, it’s the lack of depth on the exterior. Garrett Wilson is clearly the No. 1 WR with no sign of a No. 2 pass-catcher besides Hall out of the backfield, who was second on the team in targets (four).
For now, expect Fields, Hall and Wilson to play off each other, making all three valuable fantasy assets. The Jets converted in the red zone three times out of four chances.
Offenses Trending Down
Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins were the most disappointing team of Week 1. They scored eight points with three turnovers and recorded an EPA/pass of -0.56.
Tua Tagovailoa ranked 30th in EPA (-17.1) at quarterback last weekend. He was 28th in total dropbacks (27) and faced a low quarterback pressure rate (25.9%). Costing your team over two touchdowns in expected points is shocking for a veteran.
The skill players have their work cut out for them. De’Von Achane and Malik Washington were the only players with a positive EPA. Tyreek Hill averaged 10 yards per reception, but only logged five yards after the catch.
The Dolphins were dead last in total plays (46). Don’t abandon ship on Hill and Achane, but shopping them after a spike week early may be wise. Miami lost two starting offensive linemen to injury, Austin Jackson and James Daniels, to top things off. There are trade rumors surrounding Hill.
New York Giants
The Giants had the lowest point total of Week 1, scoring just six points. They made the red zone twice and didn’t convert either chance with Russell Wilson going 2-for-9 (22.2%) inside the 20.
New York elected to throw on nearly 63% of the plays it ran in Week 1, but Wilson’s completion rate was in the mid-40s. Gaining four yards per throw won’t cut it when dropping back at that rate. The Giants were 27th in EPA/pass (-0.35).
Malik Nabers managers need not worry. He averaged over 14 yards per reception, and hoarded 38% of the team’s targets. Nabers is this offense’s top weapon, by a wide margin. He is a true No. 1 WR.
The Giants’ running game was lifeless. They had 74 rushing yards, with Russell Wilson picking up 44 of them. Wilson being the primary rusher is not a good trend.
The longest run between Tyrone Tracy, Devin Singletary and Cam Skattebo was eight yards. Brian Daboll has to give these players more looks to get this offense moving. They are not startable in fantasy lineups for the time being.
This Giants offense is not different from others around the NFL; it will depend on quarterback play. Wilson is on a short leash. There’s talent in New York, but they desperately need consistency at quarterback to build chemistry.
Players Trending Up
- Tucker Kraft (TE – GB): Through two games, Tucker Kraft has a 20% target share in Green Bay on a deep receiving unit. On Thursday night, he showed breakaway speed and red-zone usage.
- Zay Flowers (WR – BAL): The Ravens’ offense is spectacular. Zay Flowers caught seven of his nine targets in the opener with a touchdown. He won’t see as heavy coverage as other No. 1 WRs with Baltimore’s deadly running game.
- Emeka Egbuka (WR – TB): Anyone who scores twice in their NFL debut is trending the right way. Emeka Egbuka led the Buccaneers in receiving and will have breathing room on the depth chart until Chris Godwin returns.
- Travis Etienne (RB – JAX): Travis Etienne averaged nearly nine yards per carry against a bad run defense. Even a good team cutting that in half puts him in a good spot. The team traded Tank Bigsby this week.
Players Trending Down
- Jaylen Waddle (WR – MIA): The Dolphins are a mess. Jaylen Waddle is parked as the No. 2 WR behind Tyreek Hill. The offensive line is hurt, which won’t help with deep looks.
- Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR): Bryce Young looked back to square one. Tetairoa McMillan is a talented rookie with a bad franchise. His quarterback is not trustworthy and is backed up by Andy Dalton.
- Calvin Ridley (WR – TEN): The Titans were grossly inefficient with an EPA/play of -0.51 in Week 1. Efficiency was a huge issue last year in Tennessee. Calvin Ridley was drafted as a starting Flex player.
- Travis Hunter (WR – JAX): Travis Hunter is being pulled over to the defense this week to help with the Bengals’ air-raid. His usage offensively is unpredictable, and Brian Thomas is the anchor at receiver.
Efficiency Statistics
| Team | PPG | YPG | EPA/ Play | EPA/ Pass | EPA/ Run | RZ Conv % | ANY/A | QB Pressure % | Sacks | Turnovers |
| Baltimore Ravens | 40.0 | 432.0 | 0.28 | 0.34 | 0.24 | 33.3% | 11.14 | 27.3% | 2 | 1 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 33.0 | 418.0 | 0.26 | 0.43 | 0.13 | 50.0% | 9.40 | 24.2% | 1 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 27.0 | 394.0 | 0.25 | 0.4 | 0.03 | 50.0% | 9.84 | 36.6% | 3 | 0 |
| Buffalo Bills | 41.0 | 497.0 | 0.22 | 0.31 | 0.09 | 71.4% | 9.13 | 25.0% | 1 | 0 |
| New York Jets | 32.0 | 394.0 | 0.2 | 0.43 | 0.06 | 75.0% | 10.09 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 21.0 | 347.0 | 0.18 | 0.03 | 0.52 | 33.3% | 6.56 | 25.5% | 2 | 0 |
| Green Bay Packers | 27.0 | 266.0 | 0.16 | 0.44 | -0.09 | 60.0% | 10.36 | 34.8% | 0 | 0 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 24.0 | 302.0 | 0.14 | 0.05 | 0.19 | 100.0% | 6.00 | 42.4% | 1 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 21.0 | 432.0 | 0.12 | -0.02 | 0.27 | 75.0% | 7.03 | 21.6% | 3 | 0 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 34.0 | 271.0 | 0.1 | 0.21 | -0.1 | 100.0% | 8.76 | 26.5% | 4 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 26.0 | 378.0 | 0.1 | -0.01 | 0.21 | 40.0% | 4.94 | 18.2% | 0 | 1 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 23.0 | 260.0 | 0.07 | 0.13 | 0 | 100.0% | 6.64 | 40.5% | 1 | 0 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 17.0 | 384.0 | 0.05 | 0.31 | -0.21 | 40.0% | 5.97 | 60.5% | 1 | 2 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 20.0 | 389.0 | 0.05 | 0.3 | -0.34 | 100.0% | 8.11 | 41.0% | 4 | 1 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 20.0 | 358.0 | 0.04 | 0.21 | -0.22 | 50.0% | 7.19 | 43.5% | 1 | 0 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 20.0 | 276.0 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0 | 66.7% | 5.00 | 26.3% | 5 | 0 |
| New Orleans Saints | 13.0 | 315.0 | -0.01 | -0.08 | 0.12 | 25.0% | 4.43 | 28.6% | 1 | 0 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 20.0 | 307.0 | -0.03 | -0.02 | -0.04 | 66.7% | 5.53 | 34.3% | 0 | 1 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 14.0 | 296.0 | -0.04 | 0.08 | -0.18 | 66.7% | 5.53 | 31.3% | 3 | 1 |
| New England Patriots | 13.0 | 336.0 | -0.1 | -0.05 | -0.24 | 33.3% | 5.02 | 35.8% | 4 | 1 |
| Cleveland Browns | 16.0 | 327.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.09 | 66.7% | 4.43 | 35.4% | 2 | 2 |
| Detroit Lions | 13.0 | 246.0 | -0.11 | -0.02 | -0.3 | 25.0% | 4.07 | 27.9% | 4 | 1 |
| Chicago Bears | 24.0 | 317.0 | -0.13 | -0.28 | 0.08 | 100.0% | 5.89 | 34.9% | 2 | 1 |
| Houston Texans | 9.0 | 265.0 | -0.17 | -0.32 | 0 | 0.0% | 3.53 | 41.2% | 3 | 2 |
| Denver Broncos | 20.0 | 317.0 | -0.19 | -0.24 | -0.12 | 33.3% | 2.34 | 18.6% | 1 | 4 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 17.0 | 141.0 | -0.2 | -0.06 | -0.36 | 66.7% | 4.42 | 28.6% | 3 | 0 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 27.0 | 254.0 | -0.27 | -0.59 | 0 | 66.7% | 5.61 | 29.2% | 3 | 1 |
| New York Giants | 6.0 | 231.0 | -0.29 | -0.35 | -0.2 | 0.0% | 4.03 | 48.9% | 2 | 0 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 13.0 | 230.0 | -0.32 | -0.5 | -0.15 | 33.3% | 6.08 | 32.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Carolina Panthers | 10.0 | 255.0 | -0.33 | -0.55 | -0.01 | 0.0% | 2.00 | 40.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Miami Dolphins | 8.0 | 211.0 | -0.34 | -0.56 | 0.29 | 100.0% | 1.85 | 27.8% | 3 | 3 |
| Tennessee Titans | 12.0 | 133.0 | -0.51 | -0.53 | -0.47 | 0.0% | 1.82 | 50.0% | 6 | 2 |
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