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Players to Sell
Chuba Hubbard found the end zone but remains locked in a true 50/50 split with Rico Dowdle.
Per Mike Florio…
- Chuba Hubbard: 59% snaps, 12 carries, 11 routes, 1 target (34 yds, TD)
- Rico Dowdle: 34% snaps, 8 carries, 9 routes, 0 targets (54 yds)
However, the carries were 7/7 in the first half. And it looks like Dowdle might have lost out on a series after an Andy Dalton fumble (Hubbard took next series even after Dowdle’s was cut short). So, the touches are somewhat skewed in favor of Hubbard when they are still splitting drives.
Not ideal. Because I don’t think the Panthers will change their approach unless there is an injury.
And keep in mind that Hubbard might still be knocking off some rust after missing time with an injury.
However, it’s becoming increasingly obvious to anyone watching which Panthers RB should be seeing more work.
His efficiency lags behind his teammate, and Carolina’s injury-ravaged offensive line caps upside. Managers see a TD and assume stability — it’s the perfect time to cash out. Sell before the Packers clamp this run game in Week 9.
Travis Etienne was bottled up for the third straight game vs the Rams. 8 for 44 yards on just 54% of the snaps. Been talking about his fall off in efficiency, tough schedule and potential for a healthy Bhayshul Tuten to seize a larger role. Tuten has been on the IR with a shoulder all year, something that might not hinder out of the bye week.
All of these things are starting to become very apparent for Etienne’s fantasy value. Remains a sell with the Jags coming off their bye week.
I’ve talked about Etienne as a sell…and the tougher matchups he has had are hurting his production (although his efficiency was better in Week 7 with center Robert Hainsey back in the lineup). The Jags schedule doesn’t get much easier after the BYE with the Raiders and Texans in the next month.
Jordan Addison provided one of the few bright spots, catching three of four targets for 26 yards and a touchdown.
Both Vikings WRs this season rank 13th and 7th, respectively, in XFPPG The Vikings playmakers have performed at an extremely high level with Carson Wentz under center. Justin Jefferson has averaged nearly 100 receiving yards per game with Wentz as this QB.
But Minnesota’s not winning games because of Wentz…and J.J. McCarthy is coming back (Week 9). Wentz is not coming back at all…after he was placed on IR.
When buying/selling, it’s about believing in the player. Obviously, Jefferson is a top-5 real-life WR. So, if you can “buy” that player…I think it’s worth it. Even if the game splits suggest that Wentz is better for McCarthy…I think the QB that gives the Vikings the best chance to win…should ultimately help Jefferson in fantasy circles. McCarthy’s still a very small sample size…and I still want to believe in the Kevin O’Connell offense.
5th in the NFL in target share (29%). Third in air yards share (42%). 17th in PPG. He continues to get it done in this offense regardless of the QB (something he has always done).
Solid stretch of matchups as the fantasy playoffs come into play for the Vikings. Top-10 schedule rest of season for WRs and for QBs.
That being said, it would seem Addison, as the Vikings’ No. 2 WR, would take the biggest hit if there is any downgrade with J.J. McCarthy back under center.
I’d be more concerned about Addison – so he would be the one I’d look to flip after he scored on Thursday night. We have a zero game sample of McCarthy with Addison this season. Considering Addison is 10th in PPG (four games) this would logically be his cooling off part to his season. Jefferson is just 17th in PPG despite ranking 5th in receiving yards (only one TD).
Quentin Johnston, failed to draw a single target on Thursday Night, as his role has sharply diminished following Oronde Gadsden‘s emergence.
Once we finally felt safe to rank Johnston as a top-24 guy…he gets hurt and immediately loses all his targets to a Day 3 rookie tight end. I’m being tongue-and-cheek here, but this is a major red flag. With Gadsden emerging and Ladd McConkey reclaiming WR1 status…QJ is really tough to trust now and difficult for fantasy managers to deal with.
It’s now 2 games since his injury that his targets have tanked. It’s easy for me as a QJ offseason fader to just completely bury the guy…but I felt that the start of the year was really strong. Maybe he is still getting over the hamstring injury. I think that’s a legitimate concern. But selling him for nothing when he has shown upside as a top-5 weekly finisher should not be underrated.
The Chargers play Dallas in Week 16. Even if QJ rides your bench until Week 16…that one game alone could make him worth targeting.
That being said…he is still PFF’s 31st-lowest graded WR this season. The lowest among the top-3 Bolts WRs.
Through 8 weeks, the lowest No. 1 Chargers WR has finished is WR21 in half-PPR. And only twice in eight games has Herbert failed to get at least two of his pass-catchers to strong finishes (sometimes three).
- 2, 10, 25
- 17, 18
- 11, 23, (TE16)
- 7
- 21
- 6, (TE12)
- 6, (TE1)
- 4, (TE3)
Long story short – all these Chargers WRs/TEs have tremendously weekly upside. If somebody is undervaluing that week-winning potential. I’d take advantage.
Like we saw with QJ’s injury…just takes one guy to miss for the production floodgates to open for the other Chargers pass-catchers.
But if the volatile nature of QJ is too much – or he just can’t be dealt than I think you have to hold him. A very price-dependent player that should be traded a lot. I think there’s a price where QJ is useful, but he projects to be very boom-or-bust. When the Chargers get Omarion Hampton back they could lean on the ground game more. Also FWIW, the Chargers ROS for WRs in near the bottom of the league (playoffs withstanding of course).
Andrews saw just three targets for 34 yards and continues to depend on touchdowns for fantasy relevance. With Isaiah Likely splitting snaps (50/50) and potential trade rumors circulating, his weekly floor is dangerously low. The Ravens offense is evolving without guaranteed volume for the veteran. Move him while the name still carries weight. Or wait until he faces Miami (good matchup) to flip him for a stronger return.
Kamara logged only six carries for 21 yards and two catches in an offense that’s utterly stalled. He ranks RB29 in points per game despite RB12 expected usage, with PFF grading him near the bottom of the league. Devin Neal is stealing routes and targets. Sell before age and offensive collapse erase what value remains.
Hall erupted for 147 yards and two scores, even throwing a TD pass — a perfect sell-high spot. His upcoming schedule (CLE, NE) is a gauntlet, and the Jets offense remains volatile. Weeks 15-16 are both on the road, and Week 17 is the Pats. If he stays in New York, the bust risk is high; if he’s traded, role potentially uncertain. Flip him now for a locked-in asset before regression hits. Again…the Bengals defense is TERRIBLE.
Brown missed Week 8 and could return post-bye, but the Eagles’ passing volatility creates weekly boom-or-bust outcomes. With DeVonta Smith thriving and Saquon Barkley staring to heat up, target volume may normalize lower. His name still commands WR1 trade value despite the fact that Smith has been the more productive WR this season. Sell into that brand before Philadelphia leans heavier on the run.
After two strong weeks – you “could” get a ton for DeVonta Smith. A.J. Brown should return after the bye week (although hamstring injuries can be tricky). Or even trading AJB should still be on your radar. Eagles offense was fine on Sunday without jamming him targets.
And as I think about this situation more…shouldn’t Smith be valued over AJB?
This season, Smith is PFF’s 9th-highest graded WR. Brown is 23rd. Through 7 games they have nearly identical target shares. However Smith has been much more efficient. Has more yards/catches by a substantial margin. Smith is averaging 2.24 yards per route. Career high.
I always talk about No. 2 WRs being undervalued…and Smith feels like that guy because of AJB’s alpha-ness. But given the way AJB has carried him self this season, I think Smith might finish this season as the Eagles No. 1 WR. We have seen teams phase out alphas post bye weeks.
And don’t forget that Brown still needs to overcome this hamstring…which might be a contributing factor to his lack of efficiency in 2025.
This Broncos offense is in for a full 180 experience going from Dallas to Houston.
Denver overall has a tougher remaining schedule – bottom-10 per FP SOS tool, so don’t be afraid to SELL HIGH on a QB like Bo Nix.
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