Sundays typically offer larger main slates for MLB DFS, and today is no different. DraftKings’ main slate begins at 1:35 p.m. ET and includes 10 games. FanDuel has a slate with the same 10 games available.
Sunday’s Top MLB DFS Picks & Player Props
Sunday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings (6/7)
- Cam Schlittler had his worst start of the season in his last start. That game was a bit of expected regression, but the season stat line still looks sublime. His strikeout-minus-walk rate remains an elite 24.1%. He’s already had nine starts this season with at least 35 FanDuel points.
- The Seattle Mariners have decided to go with a six-man rotation, which moves Luis Castillo back into the traditional starting pitcher role. He was pitching a bit better as a reliever with a 3.68 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in his two relief appearances. At his new price point, it’s not a bad idea to take a chance on Castillo maintaining his new, improved form.
- Gage Jump is making his third career start today. Luckily for him, it’s a road start at Daikin Park against the Houston Astros. He’s posted five strikeouts in each of his two starts, but a 37% chase rate points to even more strikeout upside. Houston has the third-highest strikeout rate in the league.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
Philadelphia Phillies Projected Lineup (6/7)
Sundays typically offer larger main slates for MLB DFS, and today is no different. DraftKings’ main slate begins at 1:35 p.m. ET and includes 10 games. FanDuel has a slate with the same 10 games available.
Sunday’s Top MLB DFS Picks & Player Props
Sunday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings (6/7)
- Cam Schlittler had his worst start of the season in his last start. That game was a bit of expected regression, but the season stat line still looks sublime. His strikeout-minus-walk rate remains an elite 24.1%. He’s already had nine starts this season with at least 35 FanDuel points.
- The Seattle Mariners have decided to go with a six-man rotation, which moves Luis Castillo back into the traditional starting pitcher role. He was pitching a bit better as a reliever with a 3.68 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in his two relief appearances. At his new price point, it’s not a bad idea to take a chance on Castillo maintaining his new, improved form.
- Gage Jump is making his third career start today. Luckily for him, it’s a road start at Daikin Park against the Houston Astros. He’s posted five strikeouts in each of his two starts, but a 37% chase rate points to even more strikeout upside. Houston has the third-highest strikeout rate in the league.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
Philadelphia Phillies Projected Lineup (6/7)
| POS |
PLAYER |
DraftKings Salary |
FanDuel Salary |
| OF |
Kyle Schwarber |
$6,300 |
$4,000 |
| SS |
Trea Turner |
$5,000 |
$3,000 |
| 1B |
Bryce Harper |
$5,400 |
$3,600 |
| OF |
Brandon Marsh |
$3,800 |
$3,000 |
| 3B |
Alec Bohm |
$3,100 |
$2,700 |
| 2B/SS |
Bryson Stott |
$3,700 |
$2,900 |
| C |
J.T. Realmuto |
$3,300 |
$2,500 |
| OF |
Adolis Garcia |
$2,800 |
$2,500 |
| OF |
Justin Crawford |
$2,900 |
$2,600 |
- Today will be David Sandlin‘s first MLB start against a team that isn’t the Minnesota Twins. His first start went well, but then disaster struck in game two. His 8.10 ERA is a bit unlucky, with a 4.06 expected ERA and a 5.30 FIP. So far, only 36.7 of his outs have come via ground balls, which will leave him susceptible to the home run ball.
- If you can find the salary, it’s always a good choice to have Kyle Schwarber in your lineup. He can hit the ball out of any park and against both left-handed and right-handed pitchers. The one notable split he has is that his home OPS is 1.065 while his road OPS is .810.
- This is the type of matchup where Brandon Marsh has been most successful. Against righties at home, he has hit 16 of his 20 extra-base hits and six of his seven home runs. Marsh also has a .951 OPS in home games as opposed to a .768 OPS on the road.
- Adolis Garcia‘s season-long stat line of six home runs with a .203 batting average inspires little confidence. However, if you look a bit under the hood, there are still some encouraging marks. Garcia has a 92.5 miles per hour (MPH) average exit velocity and a 48% hard-hit rate. His issue has been too many strikeouts. It’s a risky play, but there is also a lot of upside at Garcia’s cost.
Cincinnati Reds Projected Lineup (6/7)
| POS |
PLAYER |
DraftKings Salary |
FanDuel Salary |
| OF |
Blake Dunn |
$3,700 |
$2,700 |
| OF |
JJ Bleday |
$5,200 |
$4,100 |
| 1B/3B |
Sal Stewart |
$4,800 |
$3,600 |
| 3B |
Eugenio Suarez |
$4,100 |
$2,700 |
| 1B |
Nathaniel Lowe |
$3,600 |
$3,000 |
| OF/2B/1B |
Spencer Steer |
$4,200 |
$3,100 |
| C |
Tyler Stephenson |
$2,700 |
$2,500 |
| 2B/SS |
Edwin Arroyo |
$2,100 |
$2,400 |
| 2B/SS |
Matt McLain |
$3,400 |
$2,700 |
- One of the clearest regression candidates in all of baseball is Michael McGreevy. He is currently sporting a 2.98 ERA, which is among the 20 best marks in baseball among qualified pitchers. His expected ERA is 5.67 with a FIP of 4.11. The expected ERA is the fourth-worst among qualified pitchers. He’s due for a bad outing soon, possibly today against the Cincinnati Reds.
- JJ Bleday has been a revelation this season for the Cincinnati Reds. He has 10 home runs in only 34 games with a corresponding .959 OPS. It’s fully supported by impressive hard-hit and barrel rates.
- Spencer Steer has had a bit of a return to form so far this season. His .806 OPS is his best mark since he broke out in 2023. That comes with a 90th percentile mark in expected slugging rate and a nearly 14% barrel rate as he continues to hit the ball at optimal angles.
- Another revelation early in the season for the Cincinnati Reds has been Nathaniel Lowe. His underlying data is not quite as impressive as Bleday’s, but he still has a 92nd percentile expected slugging rate. All nine of his home runs have come against right-handed pitchers.
Core Studs
- Randy Arozena has a strong track record against Jack Flaherty — 4-for-10 against with three extra-base hits, including two home runs.
- Paul Goldschmidt is back to mashing against left-handed pitching. His OPS against left-handed pitchers is back to a league-leading 1.292.
- Jack Flaherty has pitched a bit better recently, but his groundball rate has fallen to 31%. That’s a lot of fly balls in the air against that could go over the wall. Luke Raley continues to mash right-handed pitchers with a 97th percentile expected slugging rate and a 98th percentile barrel rate.
Value Plays/Punts
- Josh Jung has one of the most striking home/away splits in baseball. In road games this season, he has a mere .677 OPS. That number jumps to an elite 1.041 mark at home.
- Wyatt Langford‘s price point is still low, as he just recently recovered from a flexor strain injury. While he has yet to hit a home run in his two games back, he has gone 1-for-6 with a double.
- After a short demotion to Triple-A, Royce Lewis was brought back to the Minnesota Twins yesterday. Lewis only had three home runs in 32 games with the Twins last season. He showed he can still hit home runs in Triple-A, with 10 in only 15 games.
Sunday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props
Aaron Nola is coming off an eight-strikeout game against the struggling San Diego Padres. Before that start, he hadn’t cleared this 5.5 line in five straight games and eight of his last nine games.
Today’s matchup is against a White Sox team that strikes out 24% on the season, but only 22.3% over the past two weeks.
Gage Jump‘s 37% chase rate should mean more strikeouts. He has recorded five strikeouts in each of his first two starts. Houston has a 26.9% strikeout rate in the last week.
Nick Gonzales has a matchup against right-handed pitcher Bryce Elder. He’s been substantially better against right-handed pitchers this season with an .811, as opposed to a .603 OPS against left-handed pitchers.
Gonzales has also been on a bit of a heater recently, clearing this line in his last eight games.
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