Josh Shepardson | Mon, Jul 6th 2026, 6:55am EDT

MLB DFS Picks & Underdog Player Props: Monday (7/6)

Monday’s MLB DFS main slate starts at 6:40 p.m. ET on DraftKings and FanDuel. Both sites’ main slate features seven games. The Underdog pick’em choices are also from those seven games.

Monday’s Top MLB DFS Picks & Player Props

Monday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings (7/6)

Griffin Jax (SP – TBR) vs. New York Yankees

Griffin Jax is dialed in. According to FanGraphs, Jax has amassed the following numbers in his previous five starts, totaling 26 innings:

3 wins
1 quality start
1.73 ERA
5.56 xERA
3.03 xFIP
3.24 SIERA
1.00 WHIP
4.0 BB%
25.7 K%
13.6 SwStr%
31.2 CSW%
98 stuff+
108 location+
111 pitching+

Jax’s xERA is unsightly, but his other numbers are outstanding.

The righty’s matchup is mixed, but his betting info is good. The Yankees are ninth in wRC+ (106) with a 23.4 K% versus righties and 18th in wRC+ (96) with a 24.2 K% on the road in 2026. Still, the Rays are -118 favorites, and the game’s total is 7.5 runs.

Landen Roupp (SP -S FG) vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Landen Roupp has taken advantage of his pitcher-friendly home confines. In 85 innings at home since last year, Roupp has a 3.39 ERA, 3.45 xFIP, 1.26 WHIP, 8.7 BB% and 24.4 K%.

Roupp has a plus matchup and adequate betting info tonight. The Blue Jays are tied for 22nd in wRC+ (97) with a 19.6 K% versus righties and tied for 28th in wRC+ (83) with an 18.9 K% on the road this year. Nevertheless, the Giants are -105 underdogs, but the game’s total is a non-threatening 8.0 runs.

Shane Drohan (SP – MIL) at St. Louis Cardinals

Shane Drohan has spent time in Milwaukee’s bullpen and rotation in his rookie campaign. He’s in good form lately as a starter. Drohan has recorded the following stats in his last five starts spanning 26.1 innings:

1 win
1 quality start
3.42 ERA
3.58 xERA
3.72 xFIP
3.87 SIERA
1.33 WHIP
7.2 BB%
23.4 K%
11.2 SwStr%
28.5 CSW%
98 stuff+
100 location+
94 pitching+

Drohan has a desirable matchup and OK betting info tonight. The Cardinals are tied for 11th in wRC+ (100) with a 17.3 K% versus lefties and 22nd in wRC+ (96) with a 19.1 K% at home this season. St. Louis is also tied for 22nd in wRC+ (87) with a 25.9 K% in the last 30 days. Thus, the Brewers are -115 favorites, and the game’s total is 8.0 runs.

Suggested Lineup Stacks

Home (UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium )
Game Total/Moneyline: 10.5 Runs/LAD -178

Kyle Freeland is a train wreck, owning a 7.25 ERA, 5.56 xERA, 4.35 xFIP, 4.19 SIERA and 1.60 WHIP in 15 starts this season. The veteran lefty has allowed a .313 wOBA to 73 left-handed batters and a .415 wOBA to 282 right-handed batters in 2026. In addition, the Rockies are 26th in bullpen ERA (5.01) this year.

Home (Nationals Park)
Game Total/Moneyline: 10.0 Runs/WSH -136

Mike Burrows is having a lousy first year with the Astros, with a 5.58 ERA, 4.57 xERA, 4.81 xFIP and 4.71 SIERA in 17 appearances (16 starts). The 26-year-old righty has allowed only a .306 wOBA to 171 right-handed batters, but lefties have teed off for a .414 wOBA. Washington’s projected lineup features six left-handed batters and one switch-hitter. The Nationals can pile up runs and DFS points tonight.

Core Studs

Shohei Ohtani has slugged 33 homers with a .345 on-base percentage (OBP), .248 ISO, .371 wOBA and 139 wRC+ in 604 plate appearances against lefties since 2024.
CJ Abrams has drilled 45 dingers with a .328 OBP, .212 ISO, .341 wOBA and 118 wRC+ in 1,109 plate appearances against righties since 2024. The speedy shortstop has also stolen 14 bases this year.
Andy Pages has hit 10 home runs with a .361 OBP, .160 ISO, .361 wOBA and 132 wRC+ in 361 plate appearances against lefties since 2024.
Luis Garcia is having a breakout campaign at the plate, smashing 19 homers with 42 runs, 64 RBI, three stolen bases, a .313 OBP, .279 ISO, .371 wOBA and 135 wRC+ in 294 plate appearances.

Value Plays/Punts

Daylen Lile has belted 17 bombs with a .335 OBP, .217 ISO, .357 wOBA and 128 wRC+ in 539 plate appearances against righties since reaching the Majors last season.
Jake Cronenworth has mashed 26 taters with a .345 OBP, .158 ISO, .329 wOBA and 114 wRC+ in 945 plate appearances against righties since 2024.

Monday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props

Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet

CJ Abrams (SS – WSH): 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs — Higher

CJ Abrams is tearing the cover off the ball this year. He’s rattled off 87 hits, including 18 home runs, with 53 runs, 61 RBIs, a .269 batting average, .348 OBP, .229 ISO, .364 wOBA and 130 wRC+. He’s also cleared 1.5 hits plus runs and RBIs in four of his last five games.

James Wood (OF – WSH): 1.5 Total Bases — Higher

James Wood has recorded 47 singles, 22 doubles, one triple, 23 homers, a .266 batting average, .533 slugging and .266 ISO in 425 plate appearances this year. He also excels with the platoon advantage, with 105 singles, 51 doubles, four triples, 43 homers, a .257 batting average, .495 slugging and .238 ISO in 950 career plate appearances against right-handed pitching.

Yordan Alvarez (OF – HOU): 1.5 Total Bases — Higher

Yordan Alvarez has tallied 59 singles, 16 doubles, 29 homers, a .320 batting average, .637 slugging and .317 ISO in 392 plate appearances this year. Conversely, Miles Mikolas has surrendered a .279 batting average and .458 slugging to 203 left-handed batters this year.

Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.

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