Monday’s MLB DFS main slate starts at 6:40 p.m. ET on DraftKings and FanDuel. Both sites’ main slate features seven games. The Underdog pick’em choices are also from those seven games.
Monday’s Top MLB DFS Picks & Player Props
Monday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings (7/6)
Griffin Jax is dialed in. According to FanGraphs, Jax has amassed the following numbers in his previous five starts, totaling 26 innings:
- 3 wins
- 1 quality start
- 1.73 ERA
- 5.56 xERA
- 3.03 xFIP
- 3.24 SIERA
- 1.00 WHIP
- 4.0 BB%
- 25.7 K%
- 13.6 SwStr%
- 31.2 CSW%
- 98 stuff+
- 108 location+
- 111 pitching+
Jax’s xERA is unsightly, but his other numbers are outstanding.
The righty’s matchup is mixed, but his betting info is good. The Yankees are ninth in wRC+ (106) with a 23.4 K% versus righties and 18th in wRC+ (96) with a 24.2 K% on the road in 2026. Still, the Rays are -118 favorites, and the game’s total is 7.5 runs.
Landen Roupp has taken advantage of his pitcher-friendly home confines. In 85 innings at home since last year, Roupp has a 3.39 ERA, 3.45 xFIP, 1.26 WHIP, 8.7 BB% and 24.4 K%.
Roupp has a plus matchup and adequate betting info tonight. The Blue Jays are tied for 22nd in wRC+ (97) with a 19.6 K% versus righties and tied for 28th in wRC+ (83) with an 18.9 K% on the road this year. Nevertheless, the Giants are -105 underdogs, but the game’s total is a non-threatening 8.0 runs.
Shane Drohan has spent time in Milwaukee’s bullpen and rotation in his rookie campaign. He’s in good form lately as a starter. Drohan has recorded the following stats in his last five starts spanning 26.1 innings:
- 1 win
- 1 quality start
- 3.42 ERA
- 3.58 xERA
- 3.72 xFIP
- 3.87 SIERA
- 1.33 WHIP
- 7.2 BB%
- 23.4 K%
- 11.2 SwStr%
- 28.5 CSW%
- 98 stuff+
- 100 location+
- 94 pitching+
Drohan has a desirable matchup and OK betting info tonight. The Cardinals are tied for 11th in wRC+ (100) with a 17.3 K% versus lefties and 22nd in wRC+ (96) with a 19.1 K% at home this season. St. Louis is also tied for 22nd in wRC+ (87) with a 25.9 K% in the last 30 days. Thus, the Brewers are -115 favorites, and the game’s total is 8.0 runs.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
Kyle Freeland is a train wreck, owning a 7.25 ERA, 5.56 xERA, 4.35 xFIP, 4.19 SIERA and 1.60 WHIP in 15 starts this season. The veteran lefty has allowed a .313 wOBA to 73 left-handed batters and a .415 wOBA to 282 right-handed batters in 2026. In addition, the Rockies are 26th in bullpen ERA (5.01) this year.
Mike Burrows is having a lousy first year with the Astros, with a 5.58 ERA, 4.57 xERA, 4.81 xFIP and 4.71 SIERA in 17 appearances (16 starts). The 26-year-old righty has allowed only a .306 wOBA to 171 right-handed batters, but lefties have teed off for a .414 wOBA. Washington’s projected lineup features six left-handed batters and one switch-hitter. The Nationals can pile up runs and DFS points tonight.
Core Studs
- Shohei Ohtani has slugged 33 homers with a .345 on-base percentage (OBP), .248 ISO, .371 wOBA and 139 wRC+ in 604 plate appearances against lefties since 2024.
- CJ Abrams has drilled 45 dingers with a .328 OBP, .212 ISO, .341 wOBA and 118 wRC+ in 1,109 plate appearances against righties since 2024. The speedy shortstop has also stolen 14 bases this year.
- Andy Pages has hit 10 home runs with a .361 OBP, .160 ISO, .361 wOBA and 132 wRC+ in 361 plate appearances against lefties since 2024.
- Luis Garcia is having a breakout campaign at the plate, smashing 19 homers with 42 runs, 64 RBI, three stolen bases, a .313 OBP, .279 ISO, .371 wOBA and 135 wRC+ in 294 plate appearances.
Value Plays/Punts
- Daylen Lile has belted 17 bombs with a .335 OBP, .217 ISO, .357 wOBA and 128 wRC+ in 539 plate appearances against righties since reaching the Majors last season.
- Jake Cronenworth has mashed 26 taters with a .345 OBP, .158 ISO, .329 wOBA and 114 wRC+ in 945 plate appearances against righties since 2024.
Monday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
CJ Abrams is tearing the cover off the ball this year. He’s rattled off 87 hits, including 18 home runs, with 53 runs, 61 RBIs, a .269 batting average, .348 OBP, .229 ISO, .364 wOBA and 130 wRC+. He’s also cleared 1.5 hits plus runs and RBIs in four of his last five games.
James Wood has recorded 47 singles, 22 doubles, one triple, 23 homers, a .266 batting average, .533 slugging and .266 ISO in 425 plate appearances this year. He also excels with the platoon advantage, with 105 singles, 51 doubles, four triples, 43 homers, a .257 batting average, .495 slugging and .238 ISO in 950 career plate appearances against right-handed pitching.
Yordan Alvarez has tallied 59 singles, 16 doubles, 29 homers, a .320 batting average, .637 slugging and .317 ISO in 392 plate appearances this year. Conversely, Miles Mikolas has surrendered a .279 batting average and .458 slugging to 203 left-handed batters this year.
Subscribe: YouTube | Spotify | Apple Podcasts | iHeart | Castbox | Amazon Music | Podcast Addict | SoundCloud | TuneIn
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
