When preparing for your fantasy football draft, it’s important to have a sense of where players are getting drafted. This is known as their average draft position (or ADP). Unlike traditional ADP, our Real-Time ADP quickly detects changes in a player’s average draft position. Instead of showing you where players were drafted yesterday, Real-Time ADP shows you where they’re being drafted now. Let’s look at a few risers and fallers over the last week according to Real-Time ADP.
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Fantasy Football Risers & Fallers
With real drafts now underway, where a player was going last week matters far less than where he is going right now. Real-Time ADP is built for exactly this moment. Instead of showing you yesterday’s draft position, it detects changes in a player’s average draft position as they happen, so you see the market as it actually is on draft day. Using the seven-day Real-Time ADP trend, here are the players climbing and sliding fastest heading into your draft, and the reasons behind each move.
Let’s dive into a few notable ADP risers and fallers along with fantasy football outlook from our analysts.
Fantasy Football Risers
The biggest riser on the board, up nearly 27 draft spots in a week to a Real-Time ADP around pick 100. The catalyst is Ricky Pearsall‘s season-ending PCL injury, which blew open the San Francisco receiver room, and Stribling has been zooming up boards ever since. The one complication is San Francisco bringing back Deebo Samuel on a one-year deal, which could give the market pause, but the case for drafting Stribling at cost holds: Christian Kirk is already dealing with a calf injury to open camp and can no longer be counted on for health or weekly production, and Stribling’s skill set fits what the 49ers ask of their receivers. This is a maturing injury cascade the market is still pricing in.
A rookie rising fast, up 15 spots on the week. Concepcion has the talent to be Cleveland’s clear No. 1 receiver, and at his current cost the downside (shaky quarterback play, target competition from Denzel Boston and Harold Fannin Jr.) is fully priced in while the upside is not. He can threaten all three levels and create after the catch, ranking top-35 in FBS in yards after catch per reception in two of his last three college seasons. A cheap swing on a potential team target leader.
A clean, news-driven riser. It is now official that Allen is a Colt for 2026, and his ADP responded. The signing is partly a signal about Alec Pierce‘s health, but it is mostly a reflection of how painfully thin Indianapolis has been at receiver behind Pierce and Josh Downs. Allen immediately helps: he was the WR36 in fantasy points per game last year and still ranks among the league’s better route-winners and slot producers. A veteran with a clear path to volume.
Another landing-spot riser. Doubs lands in New England as Drake Maye‘s clear No. 2 behind A.J. Brown, and the move should come with a volume bump: he goes from Green Bay, which ranked 30th in neutral passing rate, to a Patriots offense that ranked ninth and could throw even more with Brown, Doubs, and a second year of Maye in the system. His steady climb reflects the market rewarding the improved situation.
Jayden Reed (WR – GB) is up about seven spots as he returns to health after a broken collarbone and Jones-fracture surgery cost him most of 2025. And J.K. Dobbins (RB – DEN) continues a multi-week climb as Denver’s early-down hammer, a nice RB2/flex whenever he is on the field.
Fantasy Football Fallers
The steepest fall of the week, down nearly 34 spots on a hamstring injury that is now expected to linger into the regular season, possibly as far as Week 7. Tyson profiles as the eventual second target in the Saints offense once healthy, but his 2026 availability is the whole question, and that makes him a player to avoid unless he slips well past his ADP. He is a fine WR4 or WR5 dart, but he is impossible to trust as anything more this season.
A name-brand faller whose slide is now nearly complete, down another 13 spots as his stock continues to crater. The Dolphins released him this offseason, and coming off a devastating knee injury in 2025 he may not be ready to contribute to an NFL roster until midway through 2026. Once one of the most valuable assets in fantasy, Hill is now a late-round stash at best, and the Real-Time ADP is still catching down to that reality.
Down about 13 spots as his path narrows. Tracy looked like a potential handcuff-with-upside in the Giants backfield, but the signing of Najee Harris plus Tracy blowing a pass-protection assignment in the preseason opener has muddied the workload split. With the backfield division genuinely up in the air, he is a player to avoid in drafts until the picture clears.
A steady faller, and the notes explain why the market is right to cool on him for fantasy even as he thrives in real life. Seattle finished 25th in neutral passing rate and dead last in passing rate when trailing, an offense built to run. Darnold was the QB22 in points per game last year with just seven weekly QB1 finishes, and nothing about the 2026 setup suggests that changes. A real-life success who remains a fantasy avoid.
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