Fantasy Football Projections: Wide Receivers Over/Under Picks

We are in the thick of the second week of preseason football. Teams are figuring out rosters, while the fantasy football world dives headfirst into research and drafting. Today we focus on wide receiver projections. Here are some picks over and under our fantasy football projections for wide receivers.

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Fantasy Football Projections: Wide Receiver

Drake London (WR – ATL) | Under 1,328 Receiving Yards

Let’s be real, things are looking grim at the quarterback position for the Atlanta Falcons. This will no doubt have a direct impact on Drake London’s outlook. Projections suggest something entirely different from what is currently transpiring in Atlanta.

Between Tua Tagovailoa‘s disastrous performance in the Falcons’ first preseason contest and Michael Penix Jr. still recovering from ACL surgery, Atlanta has not even committed to a starting quarterback. Unless something drastically changes, it appears London will finish the season way below projections.

Unfortunately, it’s possible that a discussion is needed about London finishing the season as a WR2 or WR3, rather than the WR1 he is being drafted as. London is currently projected as a top-10 fantasy asset at the wide receiver position. The young receiver is projected to score close to 70 more fantasy points compared to last season (201.9).

Given the way things are going in Atlanta, even a repeat of last season would be highly questionable. Granted, Atlanta will be down in most contests, so they will be throwing the ball more times than not this season. The question remains: Who will be throwing the ball? The answers are on the unfavorable side at this point.

Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) | Under 1,376 Receiving Yards & 293.71 Fantasy Points

As is the case with Drake London, Justin Jefferson finds himself in a quarterback situation where neither candidate is particularly promising. Kyler Murray is by far the more reliable option over J.J. McCarthy, based on experience alone.

However, Murray hasn’t played since Week 5 of last season due to a foot injury. Nothing about this environment screams top-five receiver numbers for Jefferson in 2026. On the one hand, you have a young signal-caller who’s struggling to keep his job. On the other side is a player who has thrown for over 3,000 yards in one of the past four seasons.

Jefferson barely cracked 1,000 yards last season, and the outlook for this season isn’t much better. Jefferson finished with 201.5 fantasy points last season and is projected to produce 90+ fantasy points above that mark this season. That’s just not going to be possible unless something severely changes at the quarterback position.

Jefferson caught a career-low two touchdowns last season. While that number has to increase somewhat, we don’t see it being enough to draft Jefferson in the first round. You’re probably better off letting someone else deal with the young superstar altogether.

Mike Evans (WR – TB) | Under 903 Receiving Yards & 100 Targets

Preseason projections suggest that this season will once again be another in which Mike Evans falls short of 1,000 yards. His last season in a Tampa Bay uniform went as horribly as possible, following two separate injuries that caused Evans to play in only eight regular-season games.

The veteran receiver is already dealing with tightness in his quad, and while it may not be considered serious, it’s not a very promising start by any means.

Sure, 903 yards may sound quite attainable for a crafty veteran receiver who is paired with an efficient quarterback. However, Evans is more of a threat in the end zone at this stage of his career than someone the team will constantly rely on to move the chains.

The number that stands out the most is the 100 targets. It’s hard to envision a scenario where Evans sees over 100 targets on a team that utilizes the running back heavily in the passing game, along with the other mouths that will need feeding at the wide receiver position for San Francisco.

George Kittle is currently on track to be available in the first few weeks of the season, if not Week 1. Kittle is obviously a favorite target for Brock Purdy, and there’s no doubt this would impact the volume and looks for Evans. Kyle Shanahan is notorious for also trying to utilize the run game when given the talent.

Kaelon Black and Sincere McCormick have looked solid for the Niners through two preseason games, and the running back room is led by Christian McCaffrey, who touched the ball on 400 plays last season. There’s only one ball, and it just doesn’t seem feasible that Evans can reach 100 targets or 900 yards given all of San Francisco’s offensive options.

De’Zhaun Stribling (WR – SF) | Over 275 Fantasy Points

We have been banging the drum since before the first week of preseason that De’Zhaun Stribling could be someone at the end of your draft who could make a huge splash on your roster.

Well, that ship has seemingly sailed. The Niners continue to have injury issues at wide receiver, and availability may be the driving force behind Stribling’s success. His season-long projections are 43 receptions for 646 yards. Four touchdowns do seem quite reasonable for a wide receiver who may start off as the second or third option for the first few weeks.

However, it wouldn’t be surprising to see Stribling cross the end zone on seven or more occasions. He has hauled in 11 passes through two preseason games for nearly 110 yards. After failing to connect with Deebo Samuel early in the first drive, Brock Purdy hit Stribling on two consecutive passes — including a 21-yard pickup for a first down.

The rookie wide receiver has caught 11 passes on 13 targets in not even two full games. The door is wide open for Stribling, and we are way higher on him than the current projections.

Jameson Williams (WR – DET) | Over 1,028 Receiving Yards + Over 208.4 Fantasy Points

We close out our recommendations with a player who’s sure to be completely overlooked because of his name rather than his production. Jameson Williams finished last season with 65 receptions and turned that into 1,100 yards. Projections suggest a drop-off of around 100 yards, and that could be a very short-sighted outlook for the electric receiver.

Williams has an average draft position (ADP) of WR26 in PPR leagues and is being drafted 58th overall. The wide receiver for the Lions finished 12th in fantasy points (219.9) in leagues that reward a point per reception. There are a plethora of players being drafted ahead of Williams who will more than likely accumulate fewer fantasy points

Williams may not blow away his production from last season. Having said that, he’s also not in any position to regress. The young receiver averaged 17.2 yards per reception last season — third amongst all receivers. For those who pass on the early wideouts, Williams will be a fantastic addition for any team looking for a receiver who could heavily outperform their draft position.