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Fantasy Baseball Player Notes

2022 Fantasy Baseball Draft Notes

Robbie Ray Note
Robbie Ray photo 48. Robbie Ray SP
This is one of the riskiest bets in fantasy baseball for 2022. Ray tamed his chronic wildness in 2021, pounding the strike zone with his electric stuff and turning in a Cy Young season. But do you really want to wager that the control problems won't return? Ray walked 2.4 batter per 9 innings last year. His career average is 3.9 walks per 9 innings. Ray yielded a career-low BABIP of .269 last year. If there's regression in Ray's hit and walk rates, the results could be toxic. There's an enormous range of outcomes here. We saw the best of Ray last year, and he was immensely valuable. In his bad seasons, he's been a negative-value player. Where on the spectrum he lands this year is anyone's guess. Invest at your own risk.
24 weeks ago
Mitch Haniger Note
Mitch Haniger photo 93. Mitch Haniger RF,DH
Sports hernia surgery caused him to miss the 2020 season, but Haniger returned in a big way last year, posting career highs in home runs (39), RBI (100) and runs (110). There are some warning signs here, however. Haniger's strikeout rate has gone through the roof, and his on-base percentage has plummeted. His exit velocities suggest that he won't match last year's HR total. The good news is that Haniger's banner 2021 season hasn't driven his price sky-high. Still, some caution is warranted.
24 weeks ago
Jesse Winker Note
Jesse Winker photo 101. Jesse Winker DH,LF
Winker's value drops with the move to Seattle, which has one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in MLB. He should still provide a solid batting average, but aspirations of 30 HR and 90 RBI now seem far-fetched. Winker is yet another player who deals with chronic injuries. He's a guy I usually pass on and regret it at least 21 nights of the season, but pat myself on the back the rest of the year.
22 weeks ago
Luis Castillo Note
Luis Castillo photo 119. Luis Castillo SP
If Castillo is on your target list, make sure to buy a big bottle of Tums. By the end of the season, you'll probably be happy with your decision, to roster him, but there will be long stretches of the season where you'll be driven to the breaking point while following Castillo's starts on Stat Tracker. He's a notoriously slow starter, so be prepared for a bumpy ride until June. I've ridden the Reds ace through multiple tumultuous seasons, and I can't do it again. If you have a stronger constitution than I do, know that Castillo has SP1 stuff and will probably be worth it over the long haul.
24 weeks ago
Jarred Kelenic Note
Jarred Kelenic photo 146. Jarred Kelenic CF,LF,RF
Kelenic's season was shaping up to be an all-time disaster for a prospect, but a fairly strong final month, during which he hit seven homers and slashed .248/.331/.524, salvaged things a bit. He still batted just .180 on the year and struck out 28.1% of the time, but there's reason to believe he can put his year in the rear view mirror and start fresh. Kelenic has an advanced approach, and could pretty easily put up a 20-20 season without batting an eye if everything breaks right. With a stronger Mariners lineup batting behind him, Kelenic should be someone to target in fantasy drafts given his potential and strong close to the 2021 season.
21 weeks ago
Logan Gilbert Note
Logan Gilbert photo 148. Logan Gilbert SP
Gilbert pitched better than his 4.68 ERA, and became a fairly reliable starter by the end of the season. He's got two major assets - an elite fastball that sits at about 95 MPH and outstanding command. His home park helps, too, but he'll need to continue to develop a second pitch (his slider is good but inconsistent) if he wants to take a step forward. He's an ideal back-end-of-the-rotation arm for your fantasy team - he'll give you innings and strikeouts and rarely get crushed, but things will need to break right for him to finish with under a 3.80 ERA.
21 weeks ago
Ty France Note
Ty France photo 162. Ty France 1B,2B,3B,DH
Other than an awful May, during which he battled through a wrist injury and hit just .190, France had an outstanding 2021 season. He batted .291 overall and struck out just 16.3% of the time, all while putting up passable counting stats. There's a hard cap on France's value - he doesn't have a ton of power, he has no speed, and his expected stats say that he's due for a batting average correction. But absent an injury, there's pretty much no chance of the bottom dropping out, and he makes an ideal corner infielder who you can leave in your lineup without much concern.
22 weeks ago
Eugenio Suarez Note
Eugenio Suarez photo 205. Eugenio Suarez 3B,DH,SS
Suarez has continued to hit for power but his batting average has fallen off a cliff the last two seasons to just .199. Other than the fact that he had shoulder surgery just before the 2020 season, there's nothing really to explain. Almost all of his underlying metrics and quality of contact data look nearly identical to how they have his whole career, and he's just entering his age-30 season. But whatever the reason, Suarez is now a batting average drain, and he'll likely hit fewer home runs after being traded to Seattle. There's still plenty of value there, as he should still be a plus contributor in homers and RBI. But hope for a .230 batting avaerage as his ceiling at this point.
21 weeks ago
Julio Rodriguez Note
Julio Rodriguez photo 222. Julio Rodriguez CF,RF
Paul Sewald Note
Paul Sewald photo 243. Paul Sewald RP
Sewald is a fine reliever and he upped his strikeout rate to an impressive 39.4% last year, one of the best marks in the majors. His expected stats (.182 xBA, .262 xWOBA) were pristine, and he offered plenty of hope that he could hold the Mariners' closer job if given the opportunity. That last part is the operative phrase, however, as Seattle is likely looking at some form of committee between Sewald, Drew Steckenrider, Diego Castillo, and Ken Giles. Sewald isn't a bad late-round candidate for his ratios alone, and he should add on at least a few saves even if he doesn't win the job outright.
20 weeks ago
Kyle Lewis Note
Kyle Lewis photo 281. Kyle Lewis CF,DH
Lewis is dealing with knee issues and likely won't be ready for Opening Day. When healthy, he's a talented but low-floor option, as he doesn't have a ton of speed or power and his strikeout rate (29.5% career) keeps his batting average in check. He's just 26 years old so, of course, there's upside for more. But the knee issues are enough of a reason to look elsewhere when you're considering a late-round outfielder.
20 weeks ago
Adam Frazier Note
Adam Frazier photo 293. Adam Frazier 2B,LF,RF
Jonathan Villar Note
Jonathan Villar photo 296. Jonathan Villar 2B,3B,SS
Marco Gonzales Note
Marco Gonzales photo 326. Marco Gonzales SP
J.P. Crawford Note
J.P. Crawford photo 333. J.P. Crawford SS
Matt Brash Note
Matt Brash photo 334. Matt Brash SP,RP
Diego Castillo Note
Diego Castillo photo 351. Diego Castillo RP
Drew Steckenrider Note
Drew Steckenrider photo 358. Drew Steckenrider RP
Carlos Santana Note
Carlos Santana photo 364. Carlos Santana 1B,DH
Abraham Toro Note
Abraham Toro photo 365. Abraham Toro 2B,3B,DH
Chris Flexen Note
Chris Flexen photo 369. Chris Flexen SP
Ken Giles Note
Ken Giles photo 370. Ken Giles RP
Luis Torrens Note
Luis Torrens photo 487. Luis Torrens C,1B,DH
Andres Munoz Note
Andres Munoz photo 507. Andres Munoz RP
Dylan Moore Note
Dylan Moore photo 513. Dylan Moore 2B,3B,CF,LF,RF,SS
Matthew Boyd Note
Matthew Boyd photo 515. Matthew Boyd SP
Tom Murphy Note
Tom Murphy photo 522. Tom Murphy C
Casey Sadler Note
Casey Sadler photo 648. Casey Sadler RP
Erik Swanson Note
Erik Swanson photo 674. Erik Swanson RP
George Kirby Note
George Kirby photo 713. George Kirby SP
Anthony Banda Note
Anthony Banda photo 715. Anthony Banda RP
Cal Raleigh Note
Cal Raleigh photo 783. Cal Raleigh C
Curt Casali Note
Curt Casali photo 795. Curt Casali C
Evan White Note
Evan White photo 842. Evan White 1B
Ryan Borucki Note
Ryan Borucki photo 845. Ryan Borucki RP
Justus Sheffield Note
Justus Sheffield photo 847. Justus Sheffield SP,RP
Nick Margevicius Note
Nick Margevicius photo 878. Nick Margevicius SP
Andrew Albers Note
Andrew Albers photo 921. Andrew Albers SP
Riley O'Brien Note
Riley O'Brien photo 945. Riley O'Brien SP
Drew Ellis Note
Drew Ellis photo 980. Drew Ellis 3B
Chris Mazza Note
Chris Mazza photo 1044. Chris Mazza RP
Devin Sweet Note
Devin Sweet photo 1051. Devin Sweet RP,SP
Matt Festa Note
Matt Festa photo 1114. Matt Festa RP
Nick Ramirez Note
Nick Ramirez photo 1187. Nick Ramirez RP
Jairo Diaz Note
Jairo Diaz photo 1221. Jairo Diaz RP
Roenis Elias Note
Roenis Elias photo 1237. Roenis Elias RP
Taylor Williams Note
Taylor Williams photo 1244. Taylor Williams RP
Derek Hill Note
Derek Hill photo 1257. Derek Hill CF
Taylor Trammell Note
Taylor Trammell photo 1357. Taylor Trammell CF,LF,RF
Fernando Abad Note
Fernando Abad photo 1377. Fernando Abad RP
Jake Lamb Note
Jake Lamb photo 1380. Jake Lamb 3B,DH,LF,RF
Patrick Weigel Note
Patrick Weigel photo 1492. Patrick Weigel RP
Phillips Valdez Note
Phillips Valdez photo 1583. Phillips Valdez RP