Skip to main content

Fantasy Baseball Player Notes

2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Notes

Xander Bogaerts Note
Xander Bogaerts photo 24. Xander Bogaerts SS
Bogaerts largely backed up his excellent 2019 season with a strong 2020 campaign. He didn't hit the ball quite as hard and his launch angle dropped, but he did manage to maintain his .300 average and put up a similar home run pace. Two things from last year stand out and probably shouldn't be written off entirely: first, Bogaerts' RBI pace dropped significantly, and considering that the Red Sox lineup went from a relative strength to a weakness, it seems unlikely he'll approach 100 RBI in 2021. Second, after dropping for three consecutive seasons, Bogaerts' steal pace increased to the highest of his career. The drop in RBI and increase in steals may be related, as Bogaerts likely looked to manufacture runs with less help around him. Both trends are worth projecting going forward, and while Bogaerts' value doesn't change much, fantasy managers will likely take the increase in steals going forward.
15 hours ago
Rafael Devers Note
Rafael Devers photo 33. Rafael Devers 3B
Devers' 2020 season was . . . fine. That's about the best you can say about it. He still hit the ball hard, ranking in the 96th percentile in average exit velocity, and he increased his barrel rate significantly. His counting stat paces from his breakout 2019 season went down, but not dramatically so (other than his batting average), and fantasy managers never felt like Devers was a drain on their teams. But, at the same time, his already poor walk rate declined, his strikeout rate jumped to a career worst, and he didn't even attempt a single stolen base. Devers is just 24 years old, so there is plenty of upside for him. The safest course of action is to build in some natural regression from Devers' strong 2019 season, and pencil him in for roughly 30 home runs and 200 combined runs and RBI. That still makes him an asset to any fantasy team.
15 hours ago
J.D. Martinez Note
J.D. Martinez photo 63. J.D. Martinez LF,RF,DH
Martinez had a disastrous 2020 season, during which he slashed just .213/.291/.389 and hit seven home runs. Martinez simply didn't hit the ball nearly as hard as he used to, and hit a ton of fly balls, the combination of which helped to drain his batting average significantly. There's a ton to dislike about last year, but given that Martinez has talked about how much he relies on watching video in-game, and his inability to do so last year because of COVID-19 protocols, it seems likely that you can write off last year to a slump that didn't have time to end. He'll be eligible at utility only, but there's a massive opportunity for profit if you are willing to largely look past 2020.
15 hours ago
Alex Verdugo Note
Alex Verdugo photo 113. Alex Verdugo LF,CF,RF
Verdugo's first season in Boston went about as well as you would have expected. He hit for a high average, scored plenty of runs, and added just a bit of power and speed. But under the hood, there were some concerning signs. Specifically, his quality of contact was generally below the MLB average in every notable measure, and his expected batting average was just .238, a full 70 points below his actual batting average. And his strikeout rate rose to 20.4%, a career worst. But, in the end, Verdugo is going to continue to lead off for the Red Sox and contribute in both batting average and runs scored even on his worst day, and he'll offer at least some production in the remaining categories. Nitpick if you must, but he'll be a valuable contributor overall, regardless of the Statcast data.
15 hours ago
Christian Vazquez Note
Christian Vazquez photo 183. Christian Vazquez C,1B
Vazquez was a late bloomer, but he's developed into one of the more reliable catchers in the game. Not only does he provide 20-homer power, but he's one of the best assets at catcher in both batting average and stolen bases. Entering his age-31 season, there's certainly the possibility for a major decline in his numbers, but there is little in his underlying metrics to suggest it is imminent. Draft Vazquez as a strong starter in single-catcher formats, and you won't need to do so before the double-digit rounds.
15 hours ago
Eduardo Rodriguez Note
Eduardo Rodriguez photo 184. Eduardo Rodriguez SP
Rodriguez missed the entire 2020 season because of serious complications from a heart conditions caused by COVID-19, but he looks to be healthy heading into 2021. Assuming he doesn't have any setbacks, he should be considered one of the safest pitchers in the game. You know what you're going to get from Rodriguez: an ERA around 4.00, a WHIP around 1.30, and solid strikeouts. Those numbers won't wow you, but Rodriguez has consistently limited hard contact throughout his career, so he should retain what amounts to a fairly high floor. Plus, the usual innings concerns shouldn't be as much of a factor for him, considering nearly every pitcher has similar concerns after 2020. For a late-round pitcher, he's hardly an upside play, but he should be someone you can stick in the back end of your rotation and not think much about it.
15 hours ago
Matt Barnes Note
Matt Barnes photo 212. Matt Barnes RP
Barnes should be considered the clubhouse leader for the closer's role in Boston after he tallied nine saves last season, but it's hardly a given that he'll keep the role. His walk rate has been above 13% for each of the last two seasons, and his WHIP is 1.38 over that span. Adam Ottavino, Darwinzon Hernandez, and Hirokazu Sawamura are in play to take over for Barnes if he struggles. For now, particularly because he hasn't yet been named the closer, consider Barnes on the very tail end of draftable relievers in fantasy.
15 hours ago
Chris Sale Note
Chris Sale photo 226. Chris Sale SP
Nathan Eovaldi Note
Nathan Eovaldi photo 233. Nathan Eovaldi SP,RP
Bobby Dalbec Note
Bobby Dalbec photo 287. Bobby Dalbec 1B
Franchy Cordero Note
Franchy Cordero photo 363. Franchy Cordero RF,Util
Hunter Renfroe Note
Hunter Renfroe photo 364. Hunter Renfroe LF,RF
Tanner Houck Note
Tanner Houck photo 379. Tanner Houck SP
Adam Ottavino Note
Adam Ottavino photo 397. Adam Ottavino RP
Garrett Richards Note
Garrett Richards photo 417. Garrett Richards SP
Danny Santana Note
Danny Santana photo 440. Danny Santana 1B,2B,3B,SS,LF,CF,RF
Kike Hernandez Note
Kike Hernandez photo 456. Kike Hernandez 2B,SS,LF,CF,RF
Marwin Gonzalez Note
Marwin Gonzalez photo 489. Marwin Gonzalez 1B,2B,3B,LF,RF
Marcus Walden Note
Marcus Walden photo 495. Marcus Walden RP
Kevin Plawecki Note
Kevin Plawecki photo 515. Kevin Plawecki C
Michael Chavis Note
Michael Chavis photo 516. Michael Chavis 1B,2B,LF
Jeter Downs Note
Jeter Downs photo 577. Jeter Downs SS
Ryan Brasier Note
Ryan Brasier photo 586. Ryan Brasier RP
Jarren Duran Note
Jarren Duran photo 591. Jarren Duran CF
Darwinzon Hernandez Note
Darwinzon Hernandez photo 628. Darwinzon Hernandez RP
Garrett Whitlock Note
Garrett Whitlock photo 732. Garrett Whitlock SP
Daniel Gossett Note
Daniel Gossett photo 773. Daniel Gossett SP
Connor Seabold Note
Connor Seabold photo 783. Connor Seabold SP
Nick Pivetta Note
Nick Pivetta photo 785. Nick Pivetta SP,RP
Ryan Weber Note
Ryan Weber photo 786. Ryan Weber SP,RP
Dylan Covey Note
Dylan Covey photo 791. Dylan Covey SP,RP
Martin Perez Note
Martin Perez photo 799. Martin Perez SP
Matt Andriese Note
Matt Andriese photo 821. Matt Andriese RP
Christian Arroyo Note
Christian Arroyo photo 850. Christian Arroyo 2B,3B
Yairo Munoz Note
Yairo Munoz photo 856. Yairo Munoz 3B,SS,LF,RF
Josh Taylor Note
Josh Taylor photo 910. Josh Taylor RP
Austin Brice Note
Austin Brice photo 1005. Austin Brice RP
John Schreiber Note
John Schreiber photo 1013. John Schreiber RP
Kyle Hart Note
Kyle Hart photo 1072. Kyle Hart SP
Kevin McCarthy Note
Kevin McCarthy photo 1159. Kevin McCarthy RP
Matt Hall Note
Matt Hall photo 1161. Matt Hall RP
Colten Brewer Note
Colten Brewer photo 1214. Colten Brewer SP,RP
Phillips Valdez Note
Phillips Valdez photo 1243. Phillips Valdez RP
Chris Herrmann Note
Chris Herrmann photo 1318. Chris Herrmann C,RF
Connor Wong Note
Connor Wong photo 1322. Connor Wong C
Josh Ockimey Note
Josh Ockimey photo 1429. Josh Ockimey 1B
Jonathan Arauz Note
Jonathan Arauz photo 1438. Jonathan Arauz 2B
Marcus Wilson Note
Marcus Wilson photo 1449. Marcus Wilson LF,CF
Cesar Puello Note
Cesar Puello photo 1463. Cesar Puello LF,CF,RF
Triston Casas Note
Triston Casas photo 1470. Triston Casas 1B,3B