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6 Players You’ll Regret Passing On (2018 Fantasy Football)

Aug 28, 2018

With little competition for targets. especially early in the season, Chris Hogan has legitimate WR1 upside

Before the beginning of last season, league-winning players like DeAndre Hopkins, Kareem Hunt, and Alvin Kamara were likely passed on by every fantasy owner in 12-team leagues at least two, three, and 12 times, respectively, based on their 2017 PPR ADPs. Surely, those 11 other owners who lacked the foresight to nab these guys were kicking themselves late in the season, particularly if their decision not to select one of those breakout players prevented them from winning the title or even making the playoffs. We don’t want you to suffer that same dissatisfying fate, so we’ve got our featured pundits on hand to tell you which players you will regret passing on in drafts over these last nine days before the season starts.

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Q. Who is one player ranked outside the top 50 in PPR ADP that owners will regret passing on in their drafts? 

Chris Hogan (WR – NE)
“The answer seems pretty obvious to me, and it’s Hogan. If you prorate Hogan’s overall numbers from last year (including the postseason), he’d have 57 catches for nearly 800 yards and nine touchdowns. That’s not too shabby, but it’s especially encouraging when you consider that both Brandin Cooks and Danny Amendola are gone now. With Julian Edelman suspended for the first four games, Hogan should receive an extremely high volume of targets in that span, and he should be an outstanding option in PPR leagues all year, as long as he’s healthy.”
– Dan Harris (FantasyPros)

“It’s Chris Hogan, whose ADP has somehow been kept in check despite the other starting wide receivers in New England rumored to be Phillip Dorsett and Cordarrelle Patterson. Guys, we’ve been down this road with both of those players who have never lived up to expectations. Meanwhile, Hogan was the No. 7 wide receiver through eight weeks last year before getting hurt, and that was with Cooks on the roster. Hogan is worth a pick in the fourth round.”
– Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros)

Jordan Reed (TE – WAS)
“Reed is battling the injury-prone label rather than a training camp injury for the first time in his career, but his price is right for those willing to jump in. Since the NFL merger, Reed’s 17.44 PPR fantasy points per game in 2015 trails just three other tight ends: Rob Gronkowski, Jimmy Graham, and Todd Christensen among tight ends who scored 200 PPR points in a season. Third round picks Travis Kelce and Zach Ertz both don’t have a peak season as good as Reed’s 2015 in just 14 games, but missing a few games can skew perception.”
– Anthony Staggs (Pyromaniac)

Jamaal Williams (RB – GB)
“Williams was a top-10 fantasy running back over the second half of the 2017 season and enters 2018 poised to retain his three-down role with a Green Bay offense that will be far more potent with Aaron Rodgers under center. Once Williams took over as the workhorse, he never looked back from that role. In fact, Aaron Jones returned in Week 13 and played only two, eight, 26, and four snaps while Williams played 79 percent of the Packers’ snaps. With Jones suspended for the first two games, I think Williams grabs the vast majority of carries and never looks back.”
– Jody Smith (FantasyPros)

Peyton Barber (RB – TB)
“Having looked strong in preseason action (15 carries for 87 yards and two TDs), Barber is Tampa Bay’s clear-cut starting running back over the struggling Ronald Jones. Although he averaged just 3.9 yards per carry last year, he also posted a 57-percent success rate and was the RB21 over the final six weeks. He’s a steal at his current 113 ADP, which should keep precipitously rising this week.”
– Andrew Gould (FantasyPros)

Rex Burkhead (RB – NE)
“Burkhead caught 30 passes in just 10 games for the Patriots last season, and that 3.0 RPG number should increase this season with Edelman suspended for the first four games. Expect Burkhead to be one of Brady’s favorite targets as New England will be short on reliable receiving options, making him a steal in PPR formats in the late sixth round.”
– KJ (Fantasy Team Advice)

Corey Davis (WR – TEN)
“I’m growing convinced that Davis is going to carry teams to their fantasy football playoffs this season. He was compared to Brandon Marshall coming out of the draft, and it appears the Titans plan on using him in a similar fashion as their clear-cut number one receiver. 140 targets is not off the table, and if that were to happen with his touchdown upside, it wouldn’t surprise me to see him sneak into the back end of the WR1 discussion like Adam Thielen did last year.”
– Bobby Sylvester (FantasyPros)

Thank you to the experts for naming their players you’ll regret passing on. Be sure to give them a follow on Twitter if you’re not already doing so and check out our latest podcast below for more great advice.

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