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8 Dynasty Players to Buy Low/Sell High (Fantasy Football)

Feb 24, 2021

 
With free agency right around the corner and the NFL Draft happening in a couple months, the offseason is about to get into full swing! It’s the perfect time to be proactive and make deals on anticipated free agent transactions before the NFL makes its own moves. While that carries a ton of risk and is especially nerve-wracking as a result, this is the best opportunity to get a discount on someone who stands to benefit this offseason. Plus, this is also a great chance to send someone away at their peak value before expected offseason transactions hurt that player’s outlook. Read on to see who our featured analysts think are the best buy-low and sell-high candidates ahead of the NFL’s free agency period.

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Expert Buy Low Sell High
Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros) Jerry Jeudy (WR – DEN) Allen Robinson (WR – CHI)
Jacob W. Dunne (New Life Fantasy) Lamar Jackson (QB – BAL) David Montgomery (RB – CHI)
Garret Price (Dynasty Nerds) Van Jefferson (WR – LAR) Alvin Kamara (RB – NO)
Joe Pisapia (FantasyPros) Keenan Allen (WR – LAC) Odell Beckham Jr. (WR – CLE)

 
Q1. Which player are you selling now in dynasty leagues and why? Also, what kind of return are you looking for?

Allen Robinson (WR – CHI) 
“We’ve continually talked about the fact that Robinson has never played with an above-average quarterback, yet he’s continually produced WR1/WR2-type numbers. We don’t know if that will change in 2021, as he’s slated to be a free agent, but the Bears are reportedly contemplating the franchise tag. If Robinson does leave the Bears, it might not be the best thing for his fantasy projection. He’s continually talking about wanting to play for a Super Bowl ring, which means he’s not going to simply follow the money, but rather look for a team that’s a contender. The No. 1 team that comes to mind that needs a wide receiver is the Ravens, and while Lamar Jackson is above average, I promise you Robinson’s stock would take a major hit, as there simply aren’t enough targets to go around in a run-first offense. When you look at contenders in general, most have competent wide receivers, so it’s unlikely he walks in and sees 150-plus targets as he did with the Bears and Jaguars. Robinson has only averaged more than 8.3 yards per target once in his career, so those targets are valuable. If you can get Tee Higgins for Robinson right now, I’d jump on that.”
– Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros)

David Montgomery (RB – CHI) 
“It’s time to cash in on Montgomery’s stellar 2020 season. His RB4 finish doesn’t tell the entire story. Montgomery was only the RB20 through the first 10 weeks of the season before turning it on in the second half and finishing as the RB4 overall in half PPR leagues. While the finish is impressive, Montgomery capitalized on a very RB-friendly schedule from Weeks 12-17 and averaged an unsustainable 23.7 fantasy points per game. If you roster him in dynasty, move him for a first-round draft pick and an established RB2.”
– Jacob W. Dunne (New Life Fantasy)

Alvin Kamara (RB – NO) 
“I am looking to sell Kamara. Thus far in his career, he has been nothing but successful. However, it’s very rare for a running back to have continued success as an RB1 after the age of 26 and we saw a glimpse of how he might not produce at as high of a level if Taysom Hill is the starting QB next season. I’m looking to get two first-round picks inside of the top six in the 2021 rookie draft. I’d rather be out a year too early than a year too late on most of these running backs.”
– Garret Price (Dynasty Nerds)

Odell Beckham Jr. (WR – CLE) 
“Beckham Jr. still brings ‘name brand’ attention, and for some reason, absence due to injury makes the heart grow fonder for many fantasy players. The uncertainty of his role (or potential new landing spot), makes me feel this is the last chance to get any decent return for Beckham. You have to ask yourself: How many WR1 seasons does he have in front of him? I feel the answer is zero. I would gladly take a D.J. Chark or Deebo Samuel ‘buy low’ exchange.”
– Joe Pisapia (FantasyPros)

Q2. Which player are you buying now in dynasty leagues and why? Also, what are you willing to give up to get him?

Jerry Jeudy (WR – DEN) 
“After the rookie season that Jeudy had, his asking price has fallen to the point where he’s probably the best buy-low in dynasty formats. Route running translates at every level and that was precisely the case with Jeudy, though his hands were a bit shaky in his first year. Drops are something that some of the best wide receivers in the league deal with, but they meant even more to Jeudy because he didn’t receive catchable targets very often. Just 64 of his 113 targets this year were deemed catchable, which means that even if he caught every single ball that he had a chance to, he would’ve had just a 56.6 percent catch rate. The quarterback play will get better one way or another, so buying Jeudy after his letdown of a rookie season makes all the sense in the world. If you can land him for someone like Adam Thielen or Brandin Cooks, you should.”
– Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros)

Lamar Jackson (QB – BAL) 
“This time last year, Jackson was being taken as the No. 1 or No. 2 QB in dynasty leagues. A rough start to the season plummeted Jackson’s value, but he ended the season on a high note. Jackson was the QB2 over the final five weeks of the season, proving that he is still a top-tier fantasy QB. If you’re in a dynasty Superflex league, I’d be willing to spend a mid-to-late first-round draft pick along with an aging WR1 such as Julio Jones or Adam Thielen to acquire Jackson’s services.”
– Jacob W. Dunne (New Life Fantasy)

Van Jefferson (WR – LAR) 
“It was a small sample, but Jefferson looked great during the Rams’ playoff run, and the coaching staff raved about him as the season came to a close. Cooper Kupp has had injury issues and Robert Woods is getting older. The stronger veteran presence of Matthew Stafford can only help the long-term value of Jefferson. He’s very under the radar and could be had for very little. That’s a good thing considering his upside in 2021 and beyond. I think he can be had for a late-second/early-third round rookie draft pick.”
– Joe Pisapia (FantasyPros)

Keenan Allen (WR – LAC) 
“I am still buying Allen. This is only for a team that considers themselves a contender, but at 29 years old, you are now getting him at a discount. However, he will still be the featured target of Justin Herbert and I wouldn’t be shocked at all if he still continues to be a top-10 receiver for the next two-to-three seasons. I’d give up a mid-first round pick to acquire him.”
– Garret Price (Dynasty Nerds)


Thank you to the experts for naming their trade candidates. Be sure to give them a follow on Twitter if you’re not already doing so and check out our latest podcast below for more great advice.


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