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Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft: PPR, Early Pick (2023 Fantasy Football)

Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft: PPR, Early Pick (2023 Fantasy Football)

The 2023 NFL Draft is in the books. With the NFL Draft comes dynasty rookie draft season! We have you covered with our dynasty rookie draft coverage, and of course, you can complete fast and FREE dynasty rookie mock drafts using our mock draft simulator. While you take that simulator for a spin to prepare for your dynasty rookie mock drafts, check out our latest dynasty rookie mock and analysis from our analysts.

Dynasty Rookie Draft Kit

Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft

1.o2 – Jahmyr Gibbs (RB – DET)

Jahmyr Gibbs is a slasher back that has 0-to-60 speed. He wins with foot quickness and raw speed that can string together lightning-fast lateral movements. Gibbs can take any touch to the house with a small crease in the second level. He has average contact balance. Gibbs will never be a pile-pushing running back. This could leave his red zone usage more in the form of pass-game targets than two-yard goal-line dives.

Gibbs has been an elite receiving option out of the backfield for the last three seasons. Since 2020, he’s never ranked lower than ninth in yards per route run or sixth in PFF receiving grade among running backs (minimum 20 targets). He’s an angle route master that will destroy the soft underbelly of zone coverage. In limited pass pro reps seen on film, Gibbs has the ability to turn into a solid pass protector. His first punch is solid, and he had the leg drive to stand up defenders. Gibbs has a high motor. He’s sprinting out in front of his scrambling quarterback to try and set a block or fighting for extra yards at every turn. Coaches will love his energy.

Dynasty Outlook:  The Detroit Lions apparently agree with my comp. Gibbs replaces Swift in Detroit, as the former passing-down specialist was shipped off to Philadelphia after the Lions selected Gibbs 12th overall. My post-Draft ranking of Gibbs at 10th overall in Superflex drafts might not sit well with everyone, and that’s fine. Frame it however you’d like, but Gibbs is my RB2 of this class now, with Zach Charbonnet getting torpedoed by the Seattle Seahawks. You can make a case to take Gibbs as high as the 1.05 in Superflex drafts, but I prefer the four wide receivers and Dalton Kincaid, that were also selected in round one of the NFL Draft. Gibbs should have a productive rookie season, there’s no doubt about that, but David Montgomery will remain a big part of this offense. Last year, Jamaal Williams led the NFL in red zone rushing attempts and inside-the-five-yard line carries. Montgomery should soak up most of this work, but that doesn’t mean Gibbs won’t have a red zone role. Last season Swift ranked second on the team in red zone targets, despite missing time and being marginalized some weeks. Gibbs could eclipse that mark in his rookie season.

2.o2 – De’Von Achane (RB – MIA)

De’Von Achane’s compact build allows him to be slippery in close quarters. He sets up his blocks well as a patient runner with the bend to destroy pursuit angles. I was expecting more lateral agility in his game with jump cuts and jitterbug action, but he’s more downhill than I anticipated. Achane’s size shows up in a few different areas. His smaller frame isn’t as big of a problem in the second level or with a head of steam built up, but when he is contacted in the backfield, he can be wrapped up easier. He can shed arm tackles when weaving through traffic, but he also goes down on too many shoestring tackles, especially early in runs.

He has the lower-half strength to engage pass rushers at times when blocking, but he doesn’t anchor well, and on many snaps, he gets blown out of his cleats. Achane’s acceleration and big-play ability are evident immediately. His usage at Texas A&M was head-scratching. Over his final two collegiate seasons, he was utilized on “A” gap runs on 29.4% of his carries, with 5.0 yards per carry and 3.29 yards after contact per attempt. While Achane displays good vision on interior runs and he runs hard, this will never be his calling card because of his size. That’s not how any team should utilize him and expect him to be an interior pile pusher. He saw 29.1% of his carries on the edge over the last two years, which results in eye-popping numbers. He had 7.5 yards per carry and 4.6 yards after contact per attempt.

Achane is also a pass-game weapon. His explosiveness in space is on display here. In 2021, he saw an 18% snap rate in the slot or out wide. That number dropped to 6.7% in 2022. His yards per route run saw a huge hit dropping from 1.85 to 0.66. Achane could see his pass-game usage increase in the NFL. He has good ball tracking with some nifty over-the-shoulder catches on film. He has the speed and route chops to pull away from linebackers in coverage and after the catch.

Dynasty Outlook:  The diminutive Achane landed in one of the best possible spots, considering his skill set and size. If any coaching tree or organizational philosophy has been willing to toss size concerns to the side, it’s been Kyle Shanahan and his disciples. Mike McDaniel could deploy a three-headed committee, with Achane splitting work with Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson. That’s the risk of drafting Achane, but there’s also hope here.

Yes, Mostert and Wilson were retained this offseason on two-year deals, but each deal is essentially a puffed-up one-year deal. This backfield could evolve into a two-way split as early as this season or 2024 if the team keeps all three players on the roster. Achane’s speed and vision will suit Miami’s outside zone scheme well. Achane is a second-round rookie draft pick.

3.02 – Chase Brown (RB – CIN)

Chase Brown has good vision on zone runs and finding cut-back lanes. Brown does hesitate at the line when he should explode through the hole. He ran with more conviction as the 2022 season progressed. Brown is a runway back. He doesn’t display the ability to make the first tackler miss in the hole, but once he’s into the second level, he displays a good second gear and the ability to set up his blocks. Brown isn’t blessed with overwhelming lateral agility. He gets himself in trouble when he hesitates at the line or tries to bounce some runs outside. Brown doesn’t have the raw athleticism to get away with this. Brown displays soft hands in the passing game. He was mostly utilized as a check-down option or on the occasional rail route.

Dynasty Outlook: Brown’s draft capital (fifth round) isn’t much to sniff at, but the landing spot is interesting. Brown should be considered the favorite to grab the RB2 spot on the Bengals’ depth chart behind Joe Mixon. The team also added UDFAs Calvin Tyler and Jacob Saylors to the running back room, which gives us a small inclination that they haven’t been wowed by the performance of Trayveon Williams and Chris Evans in previous seasons. While Brown’s game doesn’t blow me away, and he shows little upside in the passing game, he’s still worth sprinkling into your rookie draft exposures across your leagues. The Bengals have shown no issue giving one running back all the work in any games Mixon has missed over the last few seasons. Brown is a good mid-round dynasty rookie pick that could pop off with some RB2 weeks in-season should Mixon miss any time. If that scenario played out, he would also be a good player to trade away in-season for a small equity gain for your dynasty squad. While the Bengals didn’t invest substantial capital into the running back position in this NFL Draft cycle, I would be shocked if they didn’t address the position with a high pick in 2023.

4.02: Evan Hull (RB – IND)

Evan Hull is a tough runner with a compact build. He’s more quick than fast, but Hull also displays good burst as soon as the ball is in his hands. He has excellent lateral agility and can jump cut on a dime. Hull has a strong leg drive to finish runs with impressive contact balance. He’s rarely dropped by the first defender he encounters. Watching Hull weave through traffic with jump cuts and impressive vision is a treat. Hull is also a plus-pass catcher. Hull is fluid in the passing game and has soft hands. He’s not a nuanced route runner, as he was utilized on dump-offs and simple stop routes. This part of his game could grow further in the NFL with a creative play-caller.

Dynasty Outlook: I’m an Evan Hull fanboy, and I don’t care who knows it. Hull has a three-down workhorse build and skillset. Zack Moss and Deon Jackson are scrubs to which new head coach Shane Steichen has no previous ties. The fifth-round pick could quickly ascend to RB2 on the Colts’ depth chart and factor in on passing downs. Jonathan Taylor is an unrestricted free agent after this season. I’m not saying that Hull is the heir apparent because the team could easily sign Taylor to an extension at any moment, but I also won’t rule out that Hull could take over for Taylor if the team moves on. Hull will slip to the fourth or maybe fifth round in many rookie dynasty drafts. I have no issues with anyone drafting him as early as the late-third round. This class becomes a grab bag of “get your guys” after round two.

5.o2 – Chris Rodriguez Jr. (RB – WAS)

Chris Rodriguez Jr. has questionable vision on zone runs. Rodriguez Jr. will take the cut back often as he lacks the speed to get to the edge. He won’t stretch it to the boundary. He is best utilized as a gap scheme back with clear downhill running lanes. Rodriguez Jr. is a dependable volume back and solid interior rusher. Rodriguez Jr. will get what is blocked, but he displays little ability to get more than that. He has a power-back mentality inviting contact, but he doesn’t have the extra thump or leg drive to run over people. Rodriguez Jr. is a straight line & one-speed runner.

Dynasty Outlook: The Commanders picked up Rodriguez Jr. in the sixth round. Rodriguez Jr. is an early-down grinder type who, at best, is the early-down handcuff to Brian Robinson for Washington. With zero passing game upside, meh draft capital and abysmal testing (56th percentile 40-yard dash and 24th percentile burst score per Playerprofiler.com), Rodriguez is a player that I’m content with letting fall to waivers or the last round of a dynasty rookie draft before considering adding him to my rosters.

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