Fantasy baseball enthusiasts are always looking for an edge in their leagues, and one strategy that can pay off is buying low on struggling players and selling high on those who have exceeded expectations. Below, our featured experts take a closer look at some players they’re targeting for these trades. Our experts have closely monitored the latest player trends and performance metrics to identify key players you should consider buying low and selling high to maximize your roster’s potential.
By leveraging our exclusive trade analyzer and relying on advanced metrics and our comprehensive player rankings and player projections, our experts have determined which players you should be targeting in trades, and which ones you should be looking to move. So, whether you’re in need of a roster shake-up or simply looking to capitalize on a player’s hot streak, this article is here to guide you through the process.
Let’s dive into these trade recommendations, analyzing the rationale behind each move and providing you with actionable advice to help you dominate your league. And don’t forget to check out our other fantasy baseball resources to help you stay ahead of the competition all season long. Happy trading!
- Weekly Waiver Wire Advice
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- MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet
Players to Buy Low and Sell High
Which one MLB player are you trying to buy low and why? Also, who are you willing to give up for him?
Francisco Lindor (SS – NYM)
“When a player struggles in New York, those negatives get overamplified by the large media contingent there and a vocal fan base. Francisco Lindor has not been good this season, with a .703 OPS and a .214 BA. However, he still has 11 HR, 4 SB, and has scored 34 runs. That’s a pace of 23-25 HR, 12 SB and 90 runs. He’s hitting just .202 versus right-handed pitching this year but has a career .262 mark against them. Eventually, that ship will correct, and Lindor will be in line for a big second half. I’d gladly take him over, say Dansby Swanson ROS.”
– Joe Pisapia (FantasyPros)
Blake Snell (SP – SD)
“Blake Snell is someone worth buying low. Every year of his career, he has had a better ERA in the second half of the season than the first. His strikeouts are down, and his walks are up, but his quality of contact is in line with his career norms. The velocity on his fastball is down about a tick from last year, and batters are swinging and missing less on that pitch, leading to a .276 average, but we’ve seen him turn it around many times before, and his upside is worth a gamble. Some guys that have had more success thus far that I would be willing to give up include Michael Wacha, Jose Berrios, and Drew Smyly.”
– Tristan Davis (SEMO Fantasy Sports Podcast)
Randy Arozarena (OF – TB)
“One player I would be looking to buy low is Randy Arozarena. After a huge April where he hit .330 at the plate, Arozarena slowed down in May, hitting .259, and he is hitting just .220 over the last 15 days (as of June 6). Despite his recent struggles, Arozarena still ranks in the 95th percentile in average exit velocity and 91st percentile in hard hit percentage per Baseball Savant. I believe it’ll only be a matter of time until he picks it back up with his production at the plate. Depending on where the strengths are on your roster, I’d either look to move a player at a position your team is strong in exchange for Arozarena or potentially trade an outfielder who you believe is overperforming for him. ”
– Ari Koslow (FantasyPros)
Logan Gilbert (SP – SEA)
“For me, it’s Logan Gilbert. First and foremost, his 4.08 ERA might scare people off, but his FIP (3.14) is a lot more representative of how effective he’s been. On top of that, Gilbert has seen considerable improvement in terms of missing bats from his curveball so far and has added a new split-finger offering this season that is already posting elite metrics. And that’s all without mentioning that he’s upped his strikeout rate considerably while cutting down on his walks. I’d try and trade a starter who’s found success but might be a candidate for some regression – like Bryce Elder or Michael Wacha – for Gilbert.”
– Ben Rosener (Tigers Rebuild)
Christian Walker (1B – ARI)
“I will tell you why you should take advantage of Walker’s unappealing stats. Walker has had a pretty slow start to the season, hitting well below the Mendoza line at around .190 with a sub .250 OBP. However, all of his skills are still quite intact. Walker is striking out less than 15% of the time and continues to make great contact, as he ranks above the 90th percentile in maximum exit velocity.”
– Rex Rutchik (Left Turns)
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What one MLB player are you trying to sell high right now and why? Also, who would you try to get in return?
Christopher Morel (2B,3B,SS,OF – CHC)
“Chris Morel served his purpose, and now it’s time to move on from the Cubs outfielder. His overall stats look solid on the surface: .256 BA, 9 HR, .959 OPS. But over his last 18 at-bats, Morel is 0-18 with 8 K’s. He’s an “all or nothing” kind of guy in the Javy Baez mold. The league has made adjustments to him, and it’s time to deal him before the bottom drops out. I’d flip him for his teammate Seiya Suzuki or even a bat like Brandon Belt, who’s getting hot in the middle of that strong Blue Jays order.”
– Joe Pisapia (FantasyPros)
Paul Sewald (RP – SEA)
“One player I would consider looking to sell high is Paul Sewald. I mentioned Andres Munoz as a buy-low target last week, and he returned on Tuesday to throw a 1-2-3 inning with two strikeouts. I will preface this by saying that I’d give more consideration to looking to move Sewald in a league that only accounts for saves. I expect Munoz and Sewald to rotate 8th and 9th innings most nights, so Sewald will still hold comparable value in leagues that account for both holds and saves. It is those leagues that only account for saves where Sewald’s value may drop a tad bit with the return of Munoz at the end of the Mariners’ bullpen. If your team is strong in the saves department, I’d look to move Sewald to a team who could use an upgrade at the position for a player at another position.”
– Ari Koslow (FantasyPros)
Luis Arraez (1B,2B – MIA)
“The fact that Luis Arraez is hitting close to .400 this far into the season is incredible. But it might be worth it to see what’s out there to be had in a trade for the infielder. That’s not to say trade him just to trade him, but if you’re set from a batting average standpoint elsewhere, it might make sense to pursue a deal because that’s really all Arraez is likely going to make an impact in (at least from an above-average standpoint) fantasy-wise. Among the 162 qualified batters, 136 had scored more runs than Arraez (22), and 62 had collected more RBI (29) than the veteran. If you can get an elite or decidedly above-average fantasy player for Arraez, now’s the time to make a deal.”
– Ben Rosener (Tigers Rebuild)
Bryce Elder (SP – ATL)
“Bryce Elder is a great sell-high candidate. His ERA is impeccable: 1.92. However, his xERA, FIP and xFIP are all at least 1.50 runs higher than his actual ERA, with the highest being his xERA at 3.95. He’s giving up lots of hard contact (47% Hard Hit), and his strand rate is 16 percentage points higher than the league average. Regression can be expected sooner than later. I would look to sell him for a top-40 pitcher. Hunter Greene and Joe Musgrove are both guys I would like to make a swap for.”
– Tristan Davis (SEMO Fantasy Sports Podcast)
“Bryce Elder is someone I am selling high. He has a league-leading 1.94 ERA, but his expected statistics of a 3.73 xFIP and a 4.30 xERA suggest that regression will soon come for the Atlanta Brave. Some people I would trade Elder for in return would be George Springer (if possible, with someone selling very low), Tommy Edman, and Tyler O’Neil. These are all others I’m looking to buy low.”
– Rex Rutchik (Left Turns)
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