The players below are the ones I’m looking at for NFL DFS GPP considerations this week. Salaries marked with an * indicate a strong value in pricing difference on FanDuel.
Week 14 NFL DFS GPP Advice & Picks
Quarterbacks
While Tyrod Taylor’s Week 13 was a low-volume pass day with fewer than 200 passing yards, his rushing upside carried him to a top-10 performance last week against Atlanta. Taylor had eight carries for 42 yards and a touchdown.
This week, Taylor faces a Miami defense that has given up the ninth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks. Taylor remains very modestly priced despite having two QB1 performances in just three starts this season. He offers extreme value for the pricing and should have fairly low rostership despite being a salary saver with proven upside.
Jordan Love (QB – GB) vs. CHI | DraftKings: $5,900/FanDuel: $7,400
Jordan Love can be inconsistent from week to week, but he has an excellent matchup against a Chicago defense that has allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks in a critical divisional matchup. He’s coming off one of his best performances of the season with four passing touchdowns and still offers moderate pricing at low rostership.
Divisional matchups can occasionally come in under their projected point totals. We have an expected point total of 44.5, hence the lower general rostership across the board, except for Josh Jacobs, making Love an interesting contrarian play this week.
Joe Burrow (QB – CIN) @ BUF | DraftKings: $6,500/FanDuel: $8,100
Joe Burrow is a natural leverage play with Josh Allen expected to be the highest-rostered quarterback on the slate. We are expecting snow in this matchup, but wind shouldn’t be an issue, and Burrow will likely have both of his top receivers at his disposal this week.
Burrow returned last week and had a solid outing — 261 yards and two touchdowns — against a Baltimore defense that has been performing at a higher level recently. Buffalo has been far friendlier against the run than the pass, so I wouldn’t advise Burrow as a cash play. However, there’s good pricing separation between him and Allen, and pairing him with Ja’Marr Chase is a good way to differentiate, as Chase will likely have high rostership.
Additional Considerations
Running Backs
RJ Harvey (RB – DEN) @ LV | DraftKings: $5,700/FanDuel: $6,500*
RJ Harvey had a strong top-five performance in Week 13. Technically, we did need overtime to truly get there. Nonetheless, it was excellent to see him thrive in his second game as the Broncos’ lead back. This week’s matchup is against a very inconsistent Raiders defense coming off a demoralizing performance against Chargers running backs, allowing over 150 yards and two touchdowns to the combination of Kimani Vidal and Jaret Patterson.
Despite the strong performance and his role as the lead back, Harvey still has sub-$6,000 pricing on DraftKings and should have a reasonable rostership. This is also a potential bounce-back game for Bo Nix. If Nix can have a strong performance and provide goal-line opportunities for Harvey, he could have another strong game.
Playing high-priced running backs is often about hitting the right back at low rostership when they’re in less-than-ideal situations. Jonathan Taylor has been on a streak of terrible matchups over the past two weeks and has struggled to pay off at his pricing.
This week’s matchup against Jacksonville isn’t any better. No running back has gone over 63 yards on the ground against Jacksonville this season, and they’ve really tightened up overall over the past several weeks. However, this is a critical divisional matchup for the Colts, and with Daniel Jones struggling to play through an injury, the Colts will need to lean aggressively on Taylor. All it takes is a couple of breakaway runs, and Taylor can hit.
The Titans have been very vulnerable to running backs this year and extremely inconsistent defensively. While the Cleveland offense isn’t exactly thriving — no matter who’s at quarterback — Shedeur Sanders moves the ball well enough.
The real key here for us is that with Sanders at quarterback, Kevin Stefanski has leaned heavier in the red zone on Quinshon Judkins, resorting not just to handoffs but to the wildcat formation. It’s been a while since we’ve seen a ceiling game for him, and this week’s matchup presents an excellent opportunity for it.
Additional Considerations
Wide Receivers
It appears Marvin Harrison Jr. will miss this week, putting Michael Wilson firmly back on the table. Wilson was fantastic in the absence of Harrison in Weeks 11 and 12, where he had a combined 25 receptions on 33 targets for over 300 yards, delivering two top-10 performances.
The matchup with the Rams isn’t ideal, but that should ensure Wilson’s rostership isn’t outrageous. His pricing is reasonable, and he’s still a strong value play for the ceiling that he offers. It is a risky play more suitable for GPPs. The Rams do allow for volume because quarterbacks typically are forced to chase points. However, they can clamp down on No. 1 WRs as we saw last week with Tetairoa McMillan. Still, Wilson offers slate-breaking potential in GPPs.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba can’t have two bad weeks in a row, right? Smith-Njigba was a weekly juggernaut this season before putting on his worst performance of the season last week against Minnesota with just two receptions on four targets for 23 yards. That was less about Smith-Njigba and more about Sam Darnold‘s struggles.
This week’s matchup against Atlanta can be hit or miss. The Falcons are very average against the pass, but that average comes from extreme highs and lows. Good quarterbacks tend to have very good days against the Falcons, but it’s the No. 1 WRs who underperform facing A.J. Terrell.
Given the matchup, the subpar Week 13 performance and remaining the highest priced receiver on the slate, rostership should be very moderate on Smith-Njigba, making him a fine play for GPPs in a game that should see him have a boom or bust week.
Jakobi Meyers offers extreme value as the Jags’ No. 1 WR, priced below $6,000 on DraftKings. And yes, I said it: No. 1 WR. Parker Washington will likely miss the game, and Brian Thomas Jr. has been wildly underwhelming. Myers has made the most of his limited time with the Jaguars and formed an excellent connection with Trevor Lawrence, coming off his best performance of the season last week.
Meyers has had touchdowns in two straight games with Jacksonville. He had zero in Vegas. Meyers also offers solid value in a matchup against an Indianapolis defense that has been prone to allowing high volume to No. 1 WRs. There is rain expected in the matchup, so monitor the severity.
Additional Considerations
Tight Ends
Brenton Strange has back-to-back TE1 performances and is one of the more stable tight ends with moderate pricing. Strange might not be giving us massive slate-breaking production, but he can produce top-five numbers. And he’s been able to deliver without a quarterback that’s been lighting it up with massive volume.
Again, Brian Thomas Jr. returned this past week and wasn’t really a factor. Parker Washington left the game with an injury. The running backs aren’t really significantly involved from a checkdown perspective. In terms of the pass, Strange is likely the second look for Trevor Lawrence. Yeah, we’ll take strange over someone like Oronde Gadsden II.
Additional Considerations
D/ST
Washington Commanders D/ST @ Minnesota Vikings | DraftKings: $2,800/FanDuel: $4,400
Playing the Commanders’ defense is definitely geared towards GPPs. They’ve struggled immensely this season overall, but they’ve shown the ability to generate turnovers, and they have a matchup with an extremely turnover-prone J.J. McCarthy, who has 10 interceptions on the season with just six passing touchdowns.
While we’d absolutely prefer Max Brosmer, McCarthy will do. The Commanders’ defense is sub-$3,000 on DraftKings. While their ceiling may not be as high as some of the higher-priced counterparts, they can certainly take advantage of McCarthy.
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