With such a small number of players on any given fantasy football roster, making a pick that does not return value — at any point in the draft — can be dangerous and lead to a season spent out of the postseason. Finding the right players in a draft on any platform, including Fantrax, is essential to building a championship roster.
All drafts are different, and Fantrax has its own unique average draft position (ADP) and nuances when you enter a league on its platform. After participating in several mock drafts on that site, I have noticed a number of players being selected much too high relative to FantasyPros’ consensus ADP.
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Overvalued Fantasy Football Players to Avoid on Fantrax
Let’s look at four players to avoid based on Fantrax ADP compared to consensus ADP for redraft leagues.
Trey McBride (TE – ARI) | ADP: 21.7 (TE2)
There is no questioning Trey McBride’s talent or his weekly ceiling. We saw it last season. But paying a late-second-round price in PPR leagues asks him to repeat an elite season while passing on high-end running backs and wide receivers. And this time, the offense and quarterback situation are much more uncertain.
Even if McBride finishes as the TE1 again, the opportunity cost is high. Drafting him at pick 21 means passing on players with legitimate top-five upside at positions that require multiple starters every week.
On most other fantasy platforms, McBride is available early in the third round (consensus ADP of 25.1), which makes much more sense and makes his Fantrax price too aggressive.
The better strategy is to let someone else pay the premium. If McBride slips closer to his consensus ADP outside of the top 25, he becomes much easier to justify. The positional advantage McBride or Brock Bowers offers is real, yet it is difficult to make up for the production lost by bypassing elite running backs and wide receivers available at the same point in the draft.
TreVeyon Henderson (RB – NE) | ADP: 48.4 (RB20)
TreVeyon Henderson possesses exciting upside entering his second NFL season, and we saw it several times when Mike Vrabel unleashed him in 2025. A fourth-round price on Fantrax assumes a major increase in workload that has not yet been guaranteed.
Henderson flashed explosive ability as a rookie and finished the year on a strong note, but he also had long stretches where inconsistent usage made him difficult to trust in weekly fantasy lineups. He also constantly lost work to Rhamondre Stevenson at the goal line.
Henderson’s current consensus ADP is closer to the middle of the fifth round, which allows you to secure four dominant players before taking on Henderson’s upside. He certainly has league-winning potential if his role expands, but fantasy managers are paying for that ceiling instead of accounting for the possibility of another committee backfield.
And how will the addition of A.J. Brown impact the offense? What about a healthier offensive line that will allow Drake Maye to run more? There are just too many questions to confidently take Henderson at pick 48.
Lamar Jackson (QB – BAL) | ADP: 46.5 (QB2)
This one is certainly controversial because Lamar Jackson has the upside (and track record) to be the number one overall fantasy football player this season.
But it’s not about what Lamar Jackson can or can’t do; it’s about where he is being taken on Fantrax relative to other sites. With the quarterback position a “onesie” in most standard drafts, any risk profile for a quarterback taken in the fourth round has to be all about opportunity cost.
I would much rather have Jayden Daniels at pick 63 on Fantrax. The rushing upside is elite for both, and Daniels is now considerably younger.
In 2025, Jackson played in only 13 games due to injury. His completion rate, yards per attempt and rushing yards per game all plummeted from 2024. At around his consensus ADP of pick 53, Jackson is much more tolerable because of the risk. It’s hard to pull the trigger on him toward the end of the fourth round.
Alec Pierce (WR – IND) | ADP: 76.8 (WR34)
Even before his injury that will sideline him for weeks, Alec Pierce was one of the most divisive players in fantasy football. He has undeniable big-play ability, which he showed last year, but can that be a consistent source of fantasy points with Daniel Jones as his quarterback? Can he be as efficient as he was in 2025? And can he come back for the start of the season completely healthy?
Pierce’s Fantrax ADP is about half a round higher than on other sites, which gives me quite a bit of pause. Especially in PPR leagues, many other wide receivers are healthier and safer.
Remember, in his amazing 2025 season, Pierce only caught 47 passes in 15 games. Are we going to absolutely pay a WR3 price for a player who caught three passes per game and is now hurt? I’m waiting until the ninth or 10th round in PPR formats to draft Pierce.
If Pierce catches passes at a 21.5-yards-per-reception clip again, it may not matter. But repeating the big plays and touchdowns of 2025 is asking a lot from a player on a team that also features Jonathan Taylor, Tyler Warren and Josh Downs.
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