Skip to main content

Fantasy Baseball Player Notes

2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Notes

Nolan Arenado Note
Nolan Arenado photo 30. Nolan Arenado 3B
On the bright side, Arenado struck out just 10% of the time, a career-best. On the down side, there was everything else. Arenado batted just .253 and put up a 162-game pace of 27 home runs, 78 runs, 88 RBI, and zero steals. Those numbers won't kill your fantasy team, but considering Arenado's worst numbers over the previous five seasons were 37 home runs, 97 runs scored, and 110 RBI, they were a disaster. The good news, at least from the standpoint of projecting Arenado into the future, is that he was dealing with an injured AC joint in his shoulder for most of the season. In other words, fantasy managers can largely ignore Arenado's poor 2020 numbers, and focus instead on how he will perform now that he's been traded to the Cardinals. Although there's likely to be some dip in his numbers, we've seen hitters leave the Rockies and largely retain their value (or, in the case of DJ LeMahieu, increase their value), The best part is you won't have to pay that first-round price anymore, and if his ADP drops after the trade to St. Louis, it should be easy to turn a profit.
4 weeks ago
Paul Goldschmidt Note
Paul Goldschmidt photo 46. Paul Goldschmidt 1B
Goldschmidt had an interesting 2020 season, during which he brought his batting average back up to .304 and his walk rate to 16%, while simultaneously dropping his strikeout rate to a career best 18.6%. After swinging more than he ever had in his first season with the Cardinals, Goldschmidt returned to the patient approach he had developed throughout his career, swinging at just 40.5% of pitches (after a 46.4% swinging strike rate the year before). But while his average went up, his power waned, as he hit just six home runs and had a career-worst .466 slugging percentage. Nolan Arenado batting behind him this year should help, and he had bone chips removed from his elbow this offseason. There could be another big-time power season left in Goldschmidt's bat, but the more likely scenario is that he will put up solid but unspectacular production at the first base position.
4 weeks ago
Tommy Edman Note
Tommy Edman photo 100. Tommy Edman 2B,3B,SS,LF,RF
After a highly successful 2019 season in which he hit 11 home runs and stole 15 bases in 92 games, Edman's numbers regressed in nearly every meaningful way last year. His batting average slipped from .304 to just .250, he hit just five home runs, and he went 2-for-6 in stolen base attempts. Edman was a bit unlucky last year, as his xBA and xSLG outperformed his actual numbers. And despite his down year on the basepaths, he was in the 95th percentile in sprint speed. He's likely to lead off for the Cardinals this year, and should be good for double digits in both home runs and steals, with plenty of runs scored. Considering he has multi-position eligibility, he should be drafted before the double-digit rounds.
4 weeks ago
Dylan Carlson Note
Dylan Carlson photo 101. Dylan Carlson LF,CF,RF
Carlson caught major buzz heading into the season last year as he looked likely to earn an everyday role in the outfield, but he sputtered for much of the season even when he did play, slashing just .200/.252/.364 with three home runs in 119 plate appearances. But he had a successful, albeit brief, post-season, and now again looks ready to claim a starting outfield spot for the Cardinals. Carlson is just 22 years old and has a strong minor-league track record. If he can hold down his spot, he has 25-15 potential, and should hit for a solid average. Given his age and his poor 2020 season, there's some obvious risk, but the draft capital necessary to get him on your team is not prohibitive, and his upside should make him a target in all formats.
4 weeks ago
Paul DeJong Note
Paul DeJong photo 116. Paul DeJong SS
Yadier Molina Note
Yadier Molina photo 185. Yadier Molina C
The ageless wonder is back for another year in St. Louis as he enters his age-39 season. Molina isn't what he once was - the token stolen bases are gone and his runs scored continue to decline. But he has yet to fall off a cliff in either batting average of power, and his numbers there are still mildly enticing for a catcher. The run is going to end some day, perhaps this year, but the cost is that of a middling second catcher, and his track record suggests he'll again be worth that price.
4 weeks ago
Tyler O'Neill Note
Tyler O'Neill photo 200. Tyler O'Neill LF
Harrison Bader Note
Harrison Bader photo 254. Harrison Bader CF
Matt Carpenter Note
Matt Carpenter photo 299. Matt Carpenter 2B,3B,DH
Andrew Knizner Note
Andrew Knizner photo 311. Andrew Knizner C
Lane Thomas Note
Lane Thomas photo 316. Lane Thomas CF,RF
Tyler Heineman Note
Tyler Heineman photo 414. Tyler Heineman C
Nolan Gorman Note
Nolan Gorman photo 434. Nolan Gorman 3B
Justin Williams Note
Justin Williams photo 574. Justin Williams RF
Ali Sanchez Note
Ali Sanchez photo 586. Ali Sanchez C
Austin Dean Note
Austin Dean photo 598. Austin Dean LF,RF
Edmundo Sosa Note
Edmundo Sosa photo 619. Edmundo Sosa 2B,SS
John Nogowski Note
John Nogowski photo 648. John Nogowski 1B
Evan Mendoza Note
Evan Mendoza photo 726. Evan Mendoza 3B
Max Moroff Note
Max Moroff photo 743. Max Moroff 2B,SS
Kramer Robertson Note
Kramer Robertson photo 746. Kramer Robertson 2B,SS
Matt Szczur Note
Matt Szczur photo 791. Matt Szczur CF,LF,RF