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Fantasy Baseball Player Notes

2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Notes

Bryce Harper Note
Bryce Harper photo 11. Bryce Harper RF,DH
In 157 games in Harper's first year with the Phillies, he batted .260 with 35 home runs, 98 runs, 114 RBI, and 15 steals. In 2020, his 157-game pace was .268 with 35 home runs, 111 runs, 89 RBI, and 21 steals. In other words, Harper provides an incredibly safe baseline now with Philadelphia, and fantasy managers can expect roughly 35 home runs, 15-20 steals, and 220 combined runs and RBI. There were some gains for Harper in 2020, as he walked more and struck out less than he ever had in his career, and hit the ball as hard as ever. But there's no reason to expect much growth in Harper's surface numbers at this point. Take the incredibly high floor in the second round and be happy with it.
2 days ago
J.T. Realmuto Note
J.T. Realmuto photo 35. J.T. Realmuto C
Realmuto fractured the thumb on his throwing hand in mid-February, and is iffy for Opening Day. He is in a tier to himself among catchers when healthy, putting up consistently excellent numbers in what is the thinnest of positions. He had the highest barrel rate and hard hit percentage of his career in 2020, and also walked at a career-best pace. Realmuto is in his age-30 season, so that's getting near the point where catchers begin to decline. But given that he's shown no real slippage in his skills to this point, his numbers shouldn't fall off much in 2021, assuming he has no setbacks and returns on or around Opening Day. Back with Philadelphia now and for several years after signing a five-year contract, Realmuto is the only catcher worth drafting before the sixth or seventh round.
2 days ago
Alec Bohm Note
Alec Bohm photo 71. Alec Bohm 1B,3B
Bohm's major league debut was a success, in that he batted a robust .338 with an .881 OPS. But despite hitting the ball hard consistently (his 10.3% barrel rate and 46.8% hard hit percentage was well above the major league average), he hit just four home runs, and his xBA was just .286. The problem is he simply pounded the ball into the ground, putting up a 53.2% ground ball rate and just 4.8 degrees of launch angle. Bohm never showed a ton of power in the minors, but he's just entering his age-25 season, so there's always room for growth. But for redraft leagues, buy him as a high-average bat with unexceptional power.
1 day ago
Rhys Hoskins Note
Rhys Hoskins photo 87. Rhys Hoskins 1B
Hoskins' stock was down heading into the 2020 season, after he batted just .229 and continued his three-year trend of declining in almost every noticeable category. But he was slashing .241/.381/.485 before he was hit by a pitch on his hand and struggled to finish the year. Last year, Hoskins slashed .245/.384/.503 and was on a 40-homer, 100-RBI pace, similar numbers to those he put up prior to his 2019 injury. Unfortunately, an elbow injury ended Hoskins' 2020 season early, and he had surgery in early October with a 4-6 month recovery timeframe. Everything looks good for Hoskins as of now, and assuming he has no setbacks as spring training ramps up, he should make a fine starting first baseman in mixed leagues.
2 days ago
Didi Gregorius Note
Didi Gregorius photo 91. Didi Gregorius SS
From a fantasy standpoint, Gregorius isn't special. He doesn't walk much, he's injury prone, and his Statcast data from 2020 was downright awful. But there is no denying that Gregorius knows how to take advantage of his home parks, first Yankee Stadium, and now Citizens Bank Park. With Gregorius back with the Phillies, you should again bank on his typical 25-homer power, good counting stats, and a handful of steals. Considering that he's rarely someone who fantasy managers target, his ADP will likely remain discounted, and he's a fine fallback option if you miss out on most of the early- or mid-round options.
2 days ago
Andrew McCutchen Note
Andrew McCutchen photo 105. Andrew McCutchen LF,CF,DH
Jean Segura Note
Jean Segura photo 115. Jean Segura 2B,3B,SS
Segura's strikeout rate ballooned last season to above 20%, though his walk rate also took a corresponding jump. But other than that, there wasn't much notable or exciting about his season. He ran a bit less than usual in the shortened year, but he still ranked in the 87th percentile in sprint speed, suggesting that the stolen base potential is still there if he wants to take it. The bigger issue with Segura as he enters his age-31 season is that there's almost no upside, as he'll bat near the bottom of the order and has established a fairly firm ceiling in his career. He's a borderline startable middle infielder in mixed leagues, but nothing more.
2 days ago
Scott Kingery Note
Scott Kingery photo 213. Scott Kingery 2B,3B,SS,LF,CF
Roman Quinn Note
Roman Quinn photo 298. Roman Quinn CF
Adam Haseley Note
Adam Haseley photo 369. Adam Haseley LF,CF,RF
Odubel Herrera Note
Odubel Herrera photo 396. Odubel Herrera 2B,CF
Jeff Mathis Note
Jeff Mathis photo 424. Jeff Mathis C
Matt Joyce Note
Matt Joyce photo 426. Matt Joyce LF,RF,DH
Travis Jankowski Note
Travis Jankowski photo 427. Travis Jankowski CF,Util
Andrew Knapp Note
Andrew Knapp photo 433. Andrew Knapp C
Brad Miller Note
Brad Miller photo 451. Brad Miller 2B,3B,LF,DH
Rafael Marchan Note
Rafael Marchan photo 562. Rafael Marchan C
Mickey Moniak Note
Mickey Moniak photo 617. Mickey Moniak LF,Util
Austin Listi Note
Austin Listi photo 626. Austin Listi 1B
C.J. Chatham Note
C.J. Chatham photo 632. C.J. Chatham SS
Ronald Torreyes Note
Ronald Torreyes photo 646. Ronald Torreyes SS,Util
Nick Maton Note
Nick Maton photo 722. Nick Maton SS