Fantasy Football Player Notes

Last week, Christian Watson returned to the lineup with a 67.7% route share, a 25% target share, and a 26.3% first-read share. Watson was running wide open on multiple occasions last week and had numerous missed opportunities. It could have been a huge game for him, but sadly, it didn't work out that way as he finished with two receptions and 17 receiving yards. Watson's target volume remains a concern this week, but he should lead the Green Bay passing attack and has the big play upside to get the job done with limited volume. Since Week 11, Watson has been the WR20 in fantasy points per game with six red zone targets and a team-leading ten deep targets. Since Week 11, Baltimore has had the second-highest single high rate in the NFL (60.8%). Since Week 11, against single high, Watson has led the team with a 24.5% target share, 2.53 yards per route run, and a 32.1% first-read share. The Ravens have had issues defending perimeter wide receivers, which also helps Watson's case. Since Week 12, Baltimore has allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game and the second-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Last week, Jayden Reed led the team with an 83.9% route share as he had a 12.5% target share, 35 receiving yards, and a 15.8% first-read share. Reed did draw two red zone targets, though. With Malik Willis under center this week and the limited passing volume that is sure to accompany him, I'm sitting Reed this week. Baltimore has been strong against slot receivers. Since Week 12, they have allowed the ninth-fewest fantasy points per game and the 13th-fewest receiving yards per game to the position.

Last week, Romeo Doubs had a 25% target share and 26.3% first-read share that he turned into 84 receiving yards and a touchdown. Sadly, his route share dipped to 54.8%, and his 35% target per route run rate last week is unsustainable. Doubs could have a decent game this week against a pass defense that has struggled against perimeter wide receivers, but the coverage matchup isn't in his favor. Since Week 11, Baltimore has had the second-highest single high rate in the NFL (60.8%). Since Week 11, against single high, Doubs has had an 11.7% target share, 1.29 yards per route run, and a 13.2% first-read share. Those aren't encouraging numbers at all. It does work in his favor that since Week 12, Baltimore has allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game and the second-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Doubs is a deep league flex only.